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Aristis

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  1. Aladdin is safe to pass Dumbo. WE Dumbo Aladdin 1st 470k --- 470k 471k --- 471k 2nd 403k -14% 954k 513k +9% 1,08M 3rd 320k -21% 1,4M 331k -35% 1,46M 4th 184k -42% 1,72M 187k -44% 1,81M 5th 208k +13% 2M 104k -44% 1,94M 6th 116k -44% 2,16M 117k +12% 2,09M 7th 73k -37% 2,24M 77k -34% 2,23M It's just 60k away (really strange for Dumbo that it just added 50k more after that...)
  2. This is a massive OD for SM:FFH! Just in case somebody missed that, this is even bigger than A:IW 405k!!! It should be the 2nd biggest MCU OD, crazy... It might be heavily frontloaded, I2 had 694k on its Fête du Cinéma OD and reached just 1,517M OW (ODx2,19). That would be 990k OW for FFH, so that should be around the low end. Probably anywhere from 1M to 1,15M. CineDirector increased its prediction for OWeek to 1,6M which would be 60% above SM:H.
  3. Thanks, where did you get those? I couldn't find them on InsideKino since there are some years missing...
  4. So Aladdin gonna be flat again from yesterday?
  5. Yeah, as I said. Looking into the numbers SW just isn't as big here. Is €20M+ probable/possible again for SW9? Or closer to SW8?
  6. I hope Aladdin can get to 1,6M this WE. InsideKino predicts it to final at 1,75M. Title Total OW Multipler € 1 BATB 3,430 0,864 x3,97 32,98 2 AiW 2,968 0,544 x5,46 28,00 3 TJB 1,877 0,460 x4,08 17,63 4 Aladdin 1,750 0,289 x6,06 16,00 5 Maleficent 1,467 0,359 x4,09 13,61 6 Oz 1,147 0,273 x4,20 11,62 7 Nutcracker 1,091 0,259 x4,21 9,10 8 Cinderella 1,068 0,274 x3,90 7,24 9 AiW2 0,831 0,199 x4,18 7,72 10 Dumbo 0,705 0,155 x4,55 5,30 *All numbers in Mio. Thanks to Taruseth I now have all OW actuals. Actually, as seen in context of all movies, Aladdin numbers are quite well. With worse weather it would have made more than 2M easily, though it was massively helped by the lack of competition.
  7. I wondered why you didn't say SW9 could do it and then I saw that even SW7 only did €25M and SW8 just €15M. Italy is a rather bad market for SW it seems o.O
  8. OD OW OWeek SM:H 234k 802k 981k SM:FFH 453k So FFH did 7,265. If it plays like SM:H that would be 400k OD, playing like A:EG it'd get to 280k. The OD should be inflated due to Fête du Cinéma so it better gets closer to SM:H.
  9. Outside of the Top10: Rocketman wasn't able to increase this week and further proves its disappointing run. It's at 714k and may not reach much more than 800k, a multipler not much higher than x3,4... JW3 increased and may get to 900k, 125% above JW1 and 169% above the JW2. AEG reappeared in the 19th position with 35k and a total of 6,79M. It'll pass 6,8M soon. But that's it pretty much. Godzilla will probably get to 700k+.
  10. 26.06. - 30.06. 1 1.100.058 --- 1.100.058 1 Toy Story 4 2 160.888 +5 692.652 3 MIB:I 3 129.084 +3 906.616 4 Parasite 4 120.663 -3 287.399 2 Beaux-parents 5 116.628 +12 2.088.903 6 Aladdin 6 114.730 -1 1.223.211 4 Dark Phoenix 7 114.281 --- 114.281 1 Made in China 8 66.342 --- 66.342 1 Brightburn 9 46.098 --- 46.098 1 La Femme de mon frere 10 44.554 -39 139.014 2 Le Daim TS4 had the biggest OW of the series. It's OWeek is the biggest, too, though (as Sunday) it was inflated by Fête du Cinéma which occured from 30th June to 3rd July. OD ODxOW OW Midweek OWeek Total Multipler Toy Story 1 0,100 4,44 0,444 0,053 0,497 2,760 6,22 1996 Toy Story 2 0,145 5,15 0,747 0,180 0,927 4,530 6,06 2000 Toy Story 3 0,390 2,71 1,057 0,220 1,277 4,363 4,13 2010 Toy Story 4 0,306 3,59 1,100 0,406 1,506 4,500 4,09 2019 It wasn't the biggest Pixar OW, Finding Nemo (1,85M) or recently The Incredibles 2 (1,52M) for example were much bigger. Though it is bigger than Finding Dory (715k) which opened the same WE three years back. That movie was rather disappointing here. However, it had a great multipler (x4,81) which would be enough to reach 5M+. I wouldn't go that high for now though and say it could have a chance to become the biggest of the series it it does a bit more than 4,5M. MIB:I was able to increase (again thanks to inflated Sunday) and now is safe to reach 1M (it's at 780k after a 250k week). OD OW OWeek Total Multipler MIB1 460k 1,32M 1,63M 5,8M X4,38 MIB2 581k 1,77M 2,14M 4,71M X2,66 MIB3 120k 632k 803k 2,13M X3,37 MIB:I 62k 291k 337k 1,2M X4,12 It should have the second best multipler of the series, not that bad after the miserable OW. It may get to 1,1M. Parasite increased to and is just 24k away from 1M after Tuesday. It'll get to 1,2M+. A great result, almost double the second biggest Korean Movie Snowpiercer (678k) which can be seen above. After all, Aladdin held great again with the biggest increase in the Top10. Its 6th WE finally was bigger than Dumbo to regain its chances to become the bigger of both movies (I don't know if this fight exists anywhere else ). WE Dumbo Aladdin 1st 470k --- 470k 471k --- 471k 2nd 403k -14% 954k 513k +9% 1,08M 3rd 320k -21% 1,4M 331k -35% 1,46M 4th 184k -42% 1,72M 187k -44% 1,81M 5th 208k +13% 2M 104k -44% 1,94M 6th 116k -44% 2,16M 117k +12% 2,09M The whole week was 182k (+39%) and its total is 2,15M. I'd say chances to top the elephant are pretty good since that one disappeared a few weeks later (Dumbo did just 130k more after its 6th WE...). It should get to 2,4M+. DP will reach 1,5M, down 30% from Apocalypse. Probably one of the better holds. TOP10 OW 2019: 1 2.844.886 Avengers: Endgame 2 1.852.556 Serial (Bad) Weddings 2 3 1.125.726 Captain Marvel 4 1.100.058 Toy Story 4 5 1.056.143 Little White Lies 2 6 1.020.715 HTTYD3 7 735.298 Creed 2 8 687.083 Ralph2 9 625.373 Alita 10 541.790 The Mule TOP10 2019: 1 6.774.931 Avengers - Endgame 2 6.693.870 Serial (Bad) Weddings 2 3 3.367.445 HTTYD3 4 3.305.075 Captain Marvel 5 2.742.885 Little White Lies 2 6 2.323.402 Ralph 2 7 2.292.533 Dumbo 8 2.088.903 Aladdin 9 2.055.189 Green Book 10 2.033.168 Alita - Battle Angel http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm http://www.jpbox-office.com/classfr.php?idsem=2583
  11. I thought partly this may be explained by the heatwave in Europe (Germany dropped 65% from $1,46M to $0,5M) but many european countries saw much better holds than that (e.g. France even increased...), so there must be more than that.
  12. At least Monday numbers are a bit higher again... Pets 240k (So around 200k 4-day) Aladdin 50k (-65%) Five Feet Apart 50k (-53%/-61%) MIB:I 37,5k (-60%) JW3 25k (-55%)
  13. That seems like some huge showtimes! I saw the same in Germany too, theatres seem to thing TLK will be huge. Do you have any comparisons? Other movies with an equal amount of showtimes?
  14. Actually I don't have any doubt that SW9 passes AEG. If it doesn't reach that mark there is no hope for German BO
  15. To add something rather nice: As of last WE Endgame is the 24th biggest movie in € in Germany. It'll reach 23rd but not any further. (position/total in €/ATP/title) 22 57.929.442 6.945.769 8,34 Minions 23 56.530.290 8.709.881 6,49 Ice Age 3 24 56.428.331 5.011.808 11,26 AEG 25 55.683.049 11.899.893 4,68 The Lion King 26 55.468.003 9.272.424 5,98 Independence Day http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DAlltime100bo.htm
  16. Germany and Italy really have the same problems... Maybe we should open a Thread were we're depressed all the time!
  17. I don't know if the second Trend is too awful to share...
  18. I would take almost every movie to do good numbers at the moment, no matter how bad (even some AIW rerelease!) But well, that's something our countries share, love for debatable movies I think we don't have the luck of bad weather for around 2 weeks...
  19. This is gonna be indeed a catastrophic WE... I hoped for at least 300k. Still, considering the weather it's probably ok. Reminds me of Minions which opened on a very hot WE, too (I think like now with temperatures around. That one had 935k first WE and 1,04M on second. So hopefully Pets can increase, too. With a multipler like Minions (x7,43, it reached a huge 6,95M!) it could still get 1,85M after this OW. Would still be down more than 50% and this 1,85M is a big maybe. Awful
  20. 19.06. - 23.06. #1 153.154 -47 490.046 2 MIB:I #2 125.000 -33 733.527 3 Parasite #3 124.519 --- 124.519 1 Beaux-parents #4 115.777 -49 1.074.171 3 Dark Phoenix #5 104.202 -44 1.944.993 5 Aladdin #6 72.641 --- 72.641 1 Le Daim #7 68.760 --- 68.760 1 Child's Play #8 47.804 -57 186.729 2 Roxane #9 47.465 -57 631.766 4 Rocketman #10 39.085 --- 39.085 1 The White Crow MIB:I stays first with an average hold. OD OW OWeek Total Multipler #1 MIB1 460k 1,32M 1,63M 5,8M X4,38 #2 MIB2 581k 1,77M 2,14M 4,71M X2,66 #3 MIB3 120k 632k 803k 2,13M X3,37 #4 MIB:I 62k 291k 337k 850k X2,92 This will probably land 60% below the lowest and 85% below the highest MIB movie around 850k. Parasite again with the best hold is on its way to reach 1M+, it should get around 1,05M. #1 Parasite 733 527 #2 Snowpiercer 678 049 #3 The Handmaiden 301 115 #4 Train to Busan 275 938 #5 Chi-Hwa-Seon 253 821 #6 Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter... and Spring 225 062 #7 Poetry 191 833 #8 Burning 188 906 #9 The Host 159 439 #10 3-Iron 149 538 According to JP-BO it's already the biggest Korean movie since (at least since there are no numbers for movies before) 2000. http://www.jpbox-office.com/fichepays.php?idpays=18&view=2 DP continues with bad holds, its 3rd WE is down more than 50% from Apocalypse (239k/-36%/1,59M). Its predecessors legs would get it to 1,35M... Aladdin really lost its ground after second WE and what looked to maybe get to 3M has to fight now to get past Dumbo. WE Dumbo Aladdin 1st 470k --- 470k 471k --- 471k 2nd 403k -14% 954k 513k +9% 1,08M 3rd 320k -21% 1,4M 331k -35% 1,46M 4th 184k -42% 1,72M 187k -44% 1,81M 5th 208k +13% 2M 104k -44% 1,94M It's very unlikely to reach Dumbo though not impossible since that one dropped worse the weeks after, too. However, becoming the 5th biggest with 2,25M would still be great. TOP10 2019: #1 6.752.031 Avengers - Endgame #2 6.668.597 Serial (Bad) Wedding 2 #3 3.367.445 HTTYD3 #4 3.305.075 Captain Marvel #5 2.738.237 Little White Lies #6 2.323.402 Ralph 2 #7 2.292.423 Dumbo #8 2.054.974 Green Book #9 2.033.168 Alita - Battle Angel #10 1.944.993 Aladdin http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2019.htm
  21. Sunday numbers are closer to the first ones again: Aladdin 140k (-0%) Five Feet Apart 122,5k Men in Black 95k (-16%/-23%) John Wick 3 55k (-23%) Long Shot 52.5k Rocketman 47,5k (-19%) Dark Phoenix 42.5k (-28%) Brightburn 40k TKKG 30k (+3%) Pikachu 30k (-17%)
  22. 12.06. - 16.06. 1 291.016 --- 291.016 1 MIB:I 2 227.925 -54 917.805 2 Dark Phoenix 3 186.747 -44 1.812.536 4 Aladdin 4 186.713 -28 563.555 2 Parasite 5 110.563 --- 110.563 1 Roxane 6 79.469 -43 563.960 3 Rocketman 7 63.109 -46 224.007 2 Ma 8 62.057 --- 62.057 1 Greta 9 60.695 -54 584.128 3 Godzilla 2 10 58.327 -48 428.372 3 Venise n'est pas en Italie MIB opens first but with an rather underwhelming start. It's far down from its predecessors. OD OW OWeek Total Multipler #1 MIB1 460k 1,32M 1,63M 5,8M X4,38 #2 MIB2 581k 1,77M 2,14M 4,71M X2,66 #3 MIB3 120k 632k 803k 2,13M X3,37 #4 MIB:I 62k 291k 337k 900k X3,09 The cances for 1M seem small... Maybe it can get to 900k. After opening below Apocalypse, DP even had a little steeper drop. Apocalypse 375k -52% 1,28M Dark Phoenix 228k -54% 918k Apocalypse managed to get to 2,16M. The same multipler and DP would reach around 1,45M, down 33%. Aladdin had again a steeper drop than Dumbo this WE, just a little this time though. WE Dumbo Aladdin 1st 470k --- 470k 471k --- 471k 2nd 403k -14% 954k 513k +9% 1,08M 3rd 320k -21% 1,4M 331k -35% 1,46M 4th 184k -42% 1,72M 187k -44% 1,81M However, it still managed to have a higher WE. OD OW OWeek Total Multipler Alice 0,252 1,418 1,600 4,537 x3,20 2010 TJB 0,278 1,090 1,303 3,720 x3,41 2016 BATB 0,269 1,143 1,282 3,568 x3,12 2017 Aladdin 0,078 0,471 0,563 2,500 x5,30 2019 Dumbo 0,085 0,470 0,551 2,300 x4,89 2019 Maleficent 0,086 0,548 0,628 2,047 x3,74 2014 Cinderella 0,086 0,573 0,636 1,722 x3,01 2015 OZ 0,124 0,633 0,788 1,590 x2,51 2013 MPR 0,044 0,293 0,390 1,535 x5,24 2018 Nutcracker 0,049 0,229 0,255 0,802 x3,50 2018 It can still get to 2,5M but it has to drop better again... Parasite had by far the best hold in the Top10 and should really be able to reach 1M+. Rocketman had another rather bad drop. It won't get anywhere close to the multipler of ASIB or BR. It will get anywhere at 750k+. Godzilla 2 had again a big drop. 700k should still happen though. AEG left the Top10 now, it's with no doubt first of the yearly Top10 though: 1 6.733.666 A:EG 2 6.668.597 Serial (Bad) Wedding 2 3 3.367.445 HTTYD3 4 3.305.075 Captain Marvel 5 2.721.760 Little white lies 6 2.323.402 Ralph 2 7 2.292.423 Dumbo 8 2.054.974 Green Book 9 2.033.168 Alita 10 1.849.004 The Mule http://www.insidekino.com/BO/F2019.htm http://www.jpbox-office.com/index.php
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