Aristis

1st Trend: TLK 990k (4-day, 2nd biggest OW of the year), 1,2M (5-day), for the 4-day that'd be nearly exactly the same as TLK 25 years ago (984k). The weather will be a deciding factor though... Everything else with sharp drops... Pets2 150k (-58%) 1,46M total SM:FFH 150k (-52%) 1,24M (passed SM:HC 1,01M) Yesterday 70k (-48%/-58%) Annabelle3 45k (-57%) TOP10 biggest OW of 2019: (4-day admissions/cinemas/average) 1 1.671.661 717 2.331 AEG (2,13M incl. Wed) 2 990.000* 746* 1.327 TLK (1,2M incl. Wed) 3 640.081 633 1.011 Captain Marvel 4 615.664 669 920 HTTYD3 5 433.972 628 691 SM:FFH 6 404.976 595 681 DP 7 369.307 599 617 Ralph2 8 288.588 667 433 Aladdin 9 285.190 547 521 John Wick 3 10 272.095 485 561 After Passion

CineDirectors predicts 2,2M Week for TLK. 1 Le roi lion 2 200 000 New 2,200 2 Toy story 4 485 000 - 20 % 3,523 3 Spider-man : Far from home 440 000 - 30 % 2,441 4 Annabelle 3 270 000 - 30 % 0,655 5 Anna 180 000 - 35 % 0,461 6 Yesterday 100 000 - 20 % 0,445 7 Le coup du siècle 95 000 New 0,095 8 Ibiza 90 000 - 35 % 0,527 9 Premier de la classe 90 000 - 35 % 0,223 10 Parasite 80 000 - 15 % 1,283 11 Aladdin 60 000 - 10 % 2,389 http://www.cine-directors.net/box/2019/boxoff29.htm Normally they are the ones to overestimate, hopefully this time it's the other way round since this is the 7-day and I thought it should get to around 2,25M 5-day. But we will see. This would still be huge and the 2nd biggest OW between AEG (2,84M) and Serial (Bad) Wedding 2 (1,85M). The other ones would be some nice drops facing the roaring competition, especially for Aladdin.

630k is huge! And I thought Germany was big OD ODXOW OW TLK 0,630 3,17 2,000+ TJB 0,278 3,92 1,090 BATB 0,269 4,25 1,143 Alice 0,252 5,63 1,418 OZ 0,124 5,10 0,633 Maleficent 0,086 6,37 0,548 Cinderella 0,086 6,66 0,573 Dumbo 0,085 5,53 0,470 Aladdin 0,078 6,04 0,471 Nutcracker 0,049 4,67 0,229 MP 0,044 6,66 0,293 Of course it's the biggest of the LA remakes, and it also means after 1st day its OW is the fourth biggest... So it'll do 2M+ easily over the WE. Edit: I would actually say 2,25M should be the low end for the 5-day...

Non of those are great comps, but I can't imagine any really. Still, 200k+ is huge compared to what I feared (while I had some dreams of it going higher). With rainy weather maybe approaching 300k+ would have been possible.

Haha, I'm probably over excited about the german OD since it was just 30% bigger than Netherlands while having 380% more inhabitants, but well, it's Germany

Probably AEG isn't a great comp, but... ...playing like that movie over 5-day, TLK would get to 750k (4-day) and 960k (5-day). That should (normally) be the absolute minimum even though weather seems to further improve sadly. So 1M+ 5-day OW (and at least 800k+ 4-day) should happen. Though I still hesitate to say it's certain with the good weather... If this happens we might see $8M and $10M opening.

I posted that in the German Thread already: TLK OD is 208k for the second bigges OD of the year!!! (some comps below) It had the advantage of holidays and the big disadvantage of good weather... Some other ODs: AEG 460k AIW 225k TLK 208k CM 125k And other Disney remakes: TLK 208k BATB 100k Aladdin 30k TJB 30k Dumbo 18,5k It's huge!

It had the advantage of holidays and the big disadvantage of good weather... Some other ODs: AEG 460k AIW 225k TLK 208k CM 125k And other Disney remakes: BATB 100k Aladdin 30k TJB 30k Dumbo 18,5k It's huge!

Wow, according to InsideKino TLK has the 2nd best OD of the year with 208k!

So this is probably great for a movie being in cinemas for nearly two months now? If this could have had Marvels bad weather

10.07. - 14.07. 1 475.637 -57 1.845.815 2 Spider Man:FFH 2 450.800 -34 2.882.970 3 Toy Story 4 3 301.863 --- 301.863 1 Annabelle 3 4 223.704 --- 223.704 1 Anna 5 97.252 -59 398.176 2 Ibiza 6 96.457 --- 96.457 1 Premier de la classe 7 92.639 -44 307.903 2 Yesterday 8 49.278 -36 2.310.518 8 Aladdin 9 36.950 -54 919.728 5 MIB:International 10 29.572 -70 1.140.098 6 Parasite Relatively big drops the week after Fête du Cinéma. SM:FFH 2nd WE isn't much bigger than its inflated OD (453k). It'll pass its predecessor, 3M will be tough though. Maybe 2,75M+. TS4 dropped well considering the circumstances and should get to more than 4M+, if TLK won't hurt it that much it may even get around 4,5M. OD OW OWeek Total Multipler Toy Story 1 0,100 0,444 0,497 2,760 6,22 1996 Toy Story 2 0,145 0,747 0,927 4,530 6,06 2000 Toy Story 3 0,390 1,057 1,277 4,363 4,13 2010 Toy Story 4 0,306 1,100 1,506 4,000 3,64 2019 Annabelle3 opened below both of its predecessors... OD OW Total Multipler Annabelle 1 79k 429k 1,538M 3,59 Annabelle 2 103k 372k 1,232M 3,31 Annabelle 3 100k 302k 1,000M 3,31 The 2nd ones multipler would still be enough to reach 1M. Aladdin had the 2nd best drop in the TOP10. It passed Dumbo now and will reach 2,4M+. http://www.jpbox-office.com/classfr.php?idsem=2585

I think I'll be very disappointed if it doesn't have the 2nd biggest Disney remake OW passing AiW (544k). Now that the weather seems to be great I'll be OK if it gets there including Wed... I hope it gets to at least 650k incl. Wed.

I already added the "very" but maybe one isn't enough

Aladdin more presales than FFH? Is it because FFH is weak or Aladdin is very strong?

And with the 3rd Trend there are some increases again! Pets2 350k (+10%) This means it's 77% above its first WE (excluding Previews). It should be around 1,16M after Sunday and therefore already have a multipler of x5,85!!! (Pets1 had x5,45 after the whole run...) The third WE of the first Pets was 365k, so despite opening 72% lower it's now nearly the same... SM:FFH 300k (-31%/-39%) Yesterday 160k Annabelle 100k (-20%/-24%) Aladdin 85k (+23%) In its 8th WE Aladdin is 70% above its 6th WE too. Awesome run! FFA 67,5k (+2%) JW3 27,5k (+10%)

Reading your post makes me think of jokes so I'm better not gonna answer 😬

2nd Trend: Pets2 300k (-6%) SM:FFH 300k (-31%/-39%) Yesterday 140k Annabelle 95k (-23%/-28%) Aladdin 70k (+1%) FFA 70k (+6%) Can anybody tell me why "Five Feet Apart" is called something like "Three Steps towards you" in german?

I would have called that context cause any other movie with the same content would not have been that successful. It's the relation the MCU. But I'm OK with your definition. Didn't say that though you probably didn't adress me with that.

For both, Avatar and Endgame, content wasn't the main part of their success IMO. For both it was mainly spectacle, though I have to say - as much as I disliked Endgame - that (in this aspect) it was probably more revolutionary than Avatar (while Avatar was much more revolutionary with visuals). Still, no one can argue that Endgame was this successful due to content. It's just because it being the culmination of the MCU IMO. The bold part seems true though.

But it's important to clarify that SM:HC just had 1M total, after 2nd WE it was at 555k - that might not be clear. Impressive that its 2nd WE might beat SM:HC OW. Weather is so bad today, I hope there might be increases with the 2nd Trend.

That's what I fear too... It's not even that I'm a MCU-hater who dislikes all the movies, I really like some of them. But I don't like how big the whole MCU is, it's just as owerpowered as Cap Marvel (But seeing that this opposed to F&F is so divisive, is quite funny though I would consider the MCU as better than F&F too) However, there have been enough wars about that and at last there can be talk about an other movie (--> TLK) so that one should be discussed

FF goes down after all, now I only need to hear MCU reached its peak too

Sadly I can't really say much about that... Seeing how the other Disney Remakes faired it should do fine. I'd say chances are high to become the biggest of them passing AiW (4,54M), especially since TJB (3,72M) which should be the most comparable did so well here (it's the 2nd biggest of the remakes). The JPBO users predict around 5,25M admissions on average. I don't know how reliable they are when it comes to predictions, though. But 5M admissions may be a good target. That'd around be €35M and $40M. However, that isn't based on anything reliable so don't quote me on that if it disappoints

Weather this WE is pretty bad so we might see some great drops hopefully. My hopes for Pets2 and Aladdin are especially high, maybe they can be flat...

That one really sounds like the ballet! Daphnis et Chloé by Ravel