http://awardswatch.com/predictions/2017-oscar-predictions-cinematography-and-film-editing-billy-lynn-la-la-land-arrival-silence-sully/
Awards Watch prediction:
47 Points: La La Land
41 Points: Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
28 Points: Silence
12 Points: Sully
8 Points: Arrival
Well, I think Moana will make over $300m dom, given past performers like Frozen, Zootopia and Finding Dory.
I think that Fantastic Beasts, being a Harry Potter movie without Harry Potter, will do less than that.
Found another Liemax picture:
https://www.yelp.com/biz_photos/penn-cinema-riverfront-imax-wilmington?select=7xL8XH7zCfKbd_sSvcCEGA
I mean, it looks nice.
Don't know why you're saying Crash was an October release. It premiered at the Toronto International Film Festival in September 2004, but it didn't get an Oscar qualifying run until May 2005.
Monthly Awards Watch Voting Panel
http://awardswatch.com/predictions/2017-oscar-predictions-adapted-screenplay-original-screenplay-october-silence-billy-lynn-manchester-by-the-sea-la-la-land/
Original Screenplay:
49 Points: Manchester by the Sea
36 Points: La La Land
27 Points: Moonlight
23 Points: Jackie
12 Points: Hell or High Water
2 Points: Loving
1 Point: The Lobster
Adapted Screenplay:
47 Points: Silence
41 Points: Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk
31 Points: Fences
16 Points: Arrival
10 Points: Love and Friendship
2 Points: Hidden Figures
2 Points: Lion
1 Point: Sully
This is in line with @WrathOfHan's prediction, except for Love and Friendship's replacing Live by Night. There's a little uncertainty in the adapted category.
Monthly Results from the Awards Watch panel:
http://awardswatch.com/predictions/2017-oscar-predictions-animated-documentary-and-foreign-language-film-october/
41 Points: Zootopia
36 Points: Moana
33 Points: The Red Turtle
24 Points: Kubo and the Two Strings
8 Points: My Life as a Courgette
7 Points: Finding Dory
1 Point: April and the Extraordinary World
Still a big gap between 4th place and 5th place.
The novelization probably has the entire plot in it.
Are you predicting that Finding Dory will win the Oscar? Because that's not the most common choice.