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Jake Gittes

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Everything posted by Jake Gittes

  1. If the Oscars decide to finally roll with Netflix this year Rachel Morrison has a good chance to become the first female nominee in this category ever for Mudbound.
  2. Darius Khondji is gonna get snubbed for his work on a James Gray movie again isn't he. Damn shame. Vittorio Storaro is shooting another Woody Allen period piece as well, but after he did such amazing work on Café Society and went unnoticed for it during awards season I don't have much hope for him this year either. I think Deak's got this.
  3. One of the funniest fully intentional comedies I've ever seen. And a top 3 Batman movie along with Batman Returns and The Dark Knight, all of them being the best showcases of their respective eras' approaches to the character and the universe.
  4. Great observation. I'm still baffled that this lost best editing to Hacksaw fucking Ridge of all films.
  5. I definitely think Once Upon a Time in the West is Morricone's (and Leone's) finest hour - at least out of what I've heard - but I guess I have to settle with GBU forever being more popular if I want the top 3 to not be 100% Williams. And of course it's a great score. I actually saw the entire Dollars trilogy on the big screen last week and "The Trio" just hitting the audience like a tsunami in the climax was glorious to see/hear. Great job on this Numbers.
  6. Annihilation has been pushed to 2018. Blade Runner, Star Wars and Apes are as close to locked as it can be this far out I think. Guardians has a solid chance. For the fifth spot I'm personally rooting for Ghost in the Shell but there's about six other films that can take it.
  7. I definitely dig the Architect scene after several rewatches but for an initial unsuspecting audience it must have been a hell of a thing to suddenly get dropped into. From dim recollections, my first reaction was genuine fascination but also
  8. It looks like two hours of ownage. But it looks like people don't know what's good for them. (Then again I'm not sure why none of the marketing so far has mentioned that it's from the John Wick dudes. Surely that would have added to the buzz a little).
  9. I did too. And I even went higher than you. It was that or Rough Night but darker comedies like that one are hit-and-miss in the BO and this is really the only comedy set for wide release between June 30 and August 18. I also considered going full fanboy over Atomic Blonde and predicting 100m for it but unfortunately GT looks safer for the top 15.
  10. 1. King Arthur - $67M Higher 2. Lowriders - $15.3M Less than half 3. Snatched - $85M Lower 4. Diary of a Wimpy Kid - $32M Higher 5. Everything Everything - $26M Higher 6. It Comes at Night - $39M Lower 7. Captain Underpants - $93.5M Higher 8. All Eyes on Me - $49M Higher 9. Rough Night - $80M Lower 10. Cars 3 - $180M Lower PART B 1. Which film not called Lowriders will be the lowest grossing? It Comes at Night 2. Which non-animated film will be the highest grossing? All Eyez On Me 3. Will a non-animated film on that list make the main games Domestic Top 15 list? No 4. Will any film double its predicted gross? No 5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? Yes 6. Will the actual combined total gross for the 10 films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? Higher 7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? Everything Everything 8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? Lowriders 9. Will 3 or more of these films open in the number 2 position? Yes 10. Will 2 or more of these films open in 5th or lower? Yes
  11. Part A: 1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 No 3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 No 4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 No 5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 No 6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%? 1000 No 7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 Yes 8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 Yes 9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 No 10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 Yes 11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 Yes 12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 No 13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 Yes 14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 Yes 15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 No 16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 Yes 17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 Yes 18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 Yes 19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 Yes 20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 Yes 21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 Yes 22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 No 23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 Yes 24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 Yes 25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 1.9 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 136.364 2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 1.701 3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? 62.5% Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. How to Be a Latin Lover 5. Baahubali 8. Gifted 10. Going in Style 13. Get Out 16. Sleight
  12. Apologies if this has been asked: Is Dunkirk an eligible answer for August if I think it's gonna make more during August than any actual August release? Or do only films released in August count?
  13. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $359m 2) Wonder Woman - $277m 3) Despicable Me 3 - $270m 4) Spider-Man: Homecoming - $261m 5) War for the Planet of the Apes - $235m 6) Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $217m 7) Dunkirk - $173m 8) Cars 3 - $158m 9) Baywatch - $144m 10) Captain Underpants - $143m 11) Transformers: The Last Knight - $142m 12) Alien: Covenant - $129m 13) The Mummy - $119m 14) The House - $116m 15) Girls Trip - $105m B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $136m 2) Wonder Woman - $110m 3) Spider-Man: Homecoming - $89m 4) Despicable Me 3 - $87m 5) Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $77m 6) War for the Planet of the Apes - $76m 7) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (second weekend) - $57m C: Worldwide top 10: 1) Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $936m 2) Despicable Me 3 - $918m 3) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $887m 4) Transformers: The Last Knight - $800m 5) Spider-Man: Homecoming - $772m 6) War for the Planet of the Apes - $720m 7) Wonder Woman - $719m 8) Cars 3 - $444m 9) Dunkirk - $442m 10) The Mummy - $415m D: China: 1) Transformers - $270m 2) Pirates - $175m 3) Spider-Man - $125m 4) Guardians - $115m 5) Apes - $105m 6) The Mummy - $85m 7) Wonder Woman - $75m E: No More Heroes: South Korea Transformers Russia Despicable Me 3 Brazil Despicable Me 3 Mexico Despicable Me 3 Australia Pirates of the Caribbean Italy Despicable Me 3 F: Total Grosses: Top 15 Dom) 2.877 billion Top 7 W/E) 632m Top 10 WW) 7.053 billion RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Girls Trip B: 200M Pirates of the Caribbean C: 300M Wonder Woman D: 400M Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 E: 500M Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B Pirates B: $1B Pirates C: 800M Transformers D: 600M Wonder Woman E: 400M The Mummy RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: April (28th releases only) How to Be a Latin Lover B: May Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 C: June Wonder Woman D: July Spider-Man: Homecoming E: August Detroit CHASMMI’s 15 1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) King Arthur 2) Alien Covenant 3) The Mummy 4) Dunkirk 2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) Snatched 2) The House 3) Annabelle 2 4) Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Something Something Blah Blah Blah 3) Will at least 3 films make more than 300M domestically by the end of the game? No 4) Will at least 3 films make more than $1.1B worldwide? No 5) Will at least 3 films make more than 120M OW domestic? No 6) Would at least 4 of the March 2017 releases have made it into the Domestic top 15 for the summer game if their runs had been eligible (So if I made a combined top 10 list of the summer Game releases and the March releases, would 4 or more be from March?) Yes 7) Will at least 3 sequels, prequels, reboots or anything similar go on to be the highest grossing in their franchise domestic (A film must make at least $20M to qualify)? Yes 8) Will at 3 sequels, prequels, reboots or anything similar go on to drop more than 60% domestically from its previous franchise installment? (For this question purpose: Spiderman Homecoming is following ASM2, Despicable Me follows Minions, Wonder Woman follows Suicide Squad, Annabelle 2 follows Conjuring 2, I can’t think of any more that aren’t obvious right now) No 9) Will any film in the top 15 have a multiplier below 2.3? No 10)Will Sci-Fi films (anything that BOM lists as Sci-fi or XXX/Sci-fi [so that means GOTG2 for example is not Sci-fi for this question) combine to make more than 700M domestically by the end of the game? No 11) Will the domestic top 8 make more than $1B combined in China? No 12) Will at least three out of Luc Besson, Christopher Nolan, Michael Bay, Ridley Scott and Edgar Wright have their highest grossing film not involving Batman or Transformers this summer (obviously with Michael Bay I mean will his 5thTransformers film outgross every non-transformers film he has done?) No 13) Will Warner Bros have exactly 3 films in the top 15 domestic this summer? Yes 14) Will a film finish in the top 10 WW, but fail to make the top 15 domestic? No 15) Will any film spend 3 weeks at number one domestic this summer? No JJ8's 14 Q1) Comic Book Adaptions Domestic vs International Grosses (4 films, 8 grosses - positions only) (5k Correct, -3k incorrect) 1) Guardians Vol. 2 - International 2) Spider-Man: Homecoming - International 3) Wonder Woman - International 4) Guardians Vol. 2 - Domestic 5) Wonder Woman - Domestic 6) Spider-Man: Homecoming - Domestic 7) Valerian - International 8) Valerian - Domestic Q2) Will Wonder Woman be the #1 opening weekend of the comic book adaptions this summer (Domestically)? No Q3) The current top 6 "All Time May Open Weekends" (Domestically) occurred on the 1st weekend of the month (in the respective year). In what position will Guardian's of the Galaxy Vol. 2 open in (in the top 6)? (If you don't think it will open in the top 6 then put 7th - remember 6th is Iron Man 2 @ 128m)? 6 Q4) Will Wonder Woman collapse in it's second weekend with a greater than 60% drop like the 2 previous DC Extended Universe Films (Domestic)? Yes Q5) Will the total of all the Marvel films make more than double the DC films this summer (Domestic only)? Yes Q6) Will Valerian's final total (domestic gross) be less than all of the opening weekends of the other 3 films (Domestic)? Yes Q7) Will the total gross of ALL Comic Book adaptions this summer make less than 850m (Domestic)? No Q8) Will any of the Comic Book Adaptions make 200m or more internationally than the domestic gross? Yes Q9) Will a Comic Book Adaption make more than 1 billion worldwide this summer? No Q10) Will a Comic Book Adaption be the #1 film overall (and it must be released during the game) in ANY of the following markets - United Kingdom, Australia, or China (only 1 is needed) ? No Q11) Will at least 3 weekends during the summer be led by an animated film (Domestic only)? No Q12) Will less than 4 animated films make the top 15 films this summer domestically? Yes Q13) Both Pirates & Transformers are up to the 5th Film. the 4th film in both Franchises made more than 1 billion worldwide. Can the 5th film in both franchises repeat this performance? No Q14) Will a film released domestically make more in an International Market (must be a single market such as China, United Kindom, etc) this summer (Both markets must release during the game and be elegible for the top 15 domestic - ie. as per the list of films Chasmmi has posted) ? Yes
  14. I almost said Blade Runner but turns out I've been in denial about it being #55. Hint: it's a score from before the John Williams domination era.
  15. Doubted it was possible to beat Kurt Russell's stache in The Hateful Eight but credit where it's due.
  16. All of them. Except those that aren't.
  17. Y'know TDKR aside that's actually a better list than I expect this one to be.
  18. I feel like The Mummy is gonna suffer a little coming right on the heels of Pirates, Baywatch and WW which all look more distinctive and fun and should make a lot of money between them.
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