Jake Gittes

Among the more high-profile submissions, Elle, Neruda, Julieta, Sieranevada and The Age of Shadows are all out. The shortlist in alphabetical order by country are: Australia, Tanna, Bentley Dean, Martin Butler; Canada, It’s Only the End of the World, Xavier Dolan; Denmark, Land Of Mine, Martin Zandvliet; Germany, Toni Erdmann, Maren Ade; Iran, The Salesman, Asghar Farhadi; Norway, The King’s Choice, Erik Poppe; Russia, Paradise, Andrei Konchalovsky; Sweden, A Man Called Ove, Hannes Holm; and Switzerland, My Life As A Zucchini, Claude Barras. I'm gonna guess Land of Mine, Toni Erdmann, The Salesman, Paradise, and Zucchini, with A Man Called Ove on the outside looking in. Never heard of the Australian and Norwegian ones.

A Fury Road run would be fantastic for this.

You're going real soft old man.

Rogue One - $500m+ Collateral Beauty - $20-30m Fences - $40-50m Why Him - $50-60m A Monster Calls - $30-40m Silence - $40-50m Assassins Creed - $80-100m Patriot's Day - $60-80m Sing - $200-250m Passengers - $175-200m

1. Will Rogue One open to more than $130m? Yes 2. Will Rogue One open to more than $150m? 3000 Yes 3. Will Rogue One open to more than $170m? No 4. Will Rogue One open to more than $190m? (Conditional Bonus!!!: 3000 if you predict YES and are correct) No 5. Will Rogue One drop less than 37.5% on Saturday? 2000 Yes 6. Will Rogue One make more than 6 times it's Thursday Preview number for its full weekend (including aforementioned Thursday number)? No 7. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $9M? No 8. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $12M? 2000 No 9. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $15M? No 10. Will Collateral Beauty make more than 7.5% of Rogue One's Weekend total? 3000 No 11. Will Fences have a PTA above $32,500? Yes 12. Will Fences have a PTA above $47,500? Yes 13. Will Dr. Strange stay above Nocturnal Animals? 3000 Yes 14. Will la La Land's PTA stay above $50k? No 15. Will Moana stay above $12M? No 16. Will Office Christmas Party have a lower percentage drop than Bad Santa 2? 2000 Yes 17. Will Allied cross $40M by the end of the Weekend? No 18. Will any film in the top 20 drop 75% or more? Yes 19. Will Manchester by the Sea drop less than 20% this weekend? Yes 20. Will any film increase more than 75% on Saturday? Yes 21. Will any film not called Star Wars decrease on Saturday? 3000 No 22. Will Fantastic Beasts' PTA stay above $2000? Yes 23. Will Hacksaw Ridge stay above Miss Sloane? 2000 Yes 24. Will Rogue one make more than 80% of all money at the box office this weekend? No 25. Will trolls drop more than 20% on Sunday? Yes 26. Will Loving make more money than Jackie this weekend? No 27. How many films will make more than $8M this weekend? 2000 Five 28. Will 2nd through 5th make more than Rogue One's Saturday? No 29. Will Collateral Beauty outgross Moana every day of the weekend? 3000 No 30. Will Darth Vader be killed off in Rogue One only to be regenerated as a Clone in a shock twist that turns everything we know about Star Wars on its head? No Bonus: 18/30 2000 19/30 3000 20/20 4000 21/20 6000 22/20 8000 23/20 10000 24/20 12000 25/30 15000 26/30 18000 27/30 21000 28/30 25000 29/30 30000 30/30 35000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000) 1. Predict Rogue One's OW. 154.889 2. Predict Collateral's Saturday Gross. 3.333 3. Predict how much money Disney conglomerate films (with BOM reported Dailies) make on Friday. 85.000 4. Predict Fences' PTA $48,006 5. Predict Office Xmas party's Percentage Drop 50.001% Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 2. Moana 5. Office Christmas Party 7. Manchester By The Sea 10. Nocturnal Animals 13. Hacksaw Ridge 15. Jackie

Driver probably deserves it but Jarmusch films will sadly always be too understated and/or weird for big award nominations.

All of them except Phantom Menace and the animated one.

I've watched that clip a few times now and I don't really have anything to nitpick. I like that it's not a big-scale showstopper, but centered on small details and movements contrasting with the enormity of the cityscape in the background. And for a single take it does a superb job of not calling attention to itself, I had to force myself to focus to make sure there really are no cuts.

If Manchester didn't have Original locked up before, it does now. Adapted gets more interesting with Moonlight vs Silence vs Fences.

First two acts are a mess of underdeveloped conflicts with characters who all look like they came to a funeral (no, I don't mean "Why can't she smile more?", I mean that the movie is mistaking seriousness for depth) and shout useless exposition at each other instead of actually being explored and developed in any meaningful way. (Then, by contrast, there's the robot whose EVERY FUCKING LINE is a sardonic quip. It doesn't help). It took an hour and change for me to really start caring about anything, which only happened once they actually decided to go after the plans. The third act is a solid, occasionally even fun, action movie with an ending that was genuinely surprising to me and actually could have hit like a motherfucker if the movie had properly built up to it. Thinking about it now, my preferred version of this would certainly be one that cut out most of the laborious set-up and devoted most/all of its runtime to the actual stealing of the plans and the resulting battle(s), swiftly developing the central characters along the way. I'm gonna go sleep on it now but I really didn't think this was especially good at all. P.S. The "additional editing by Stuart Baird" credit is... telling. And not surprising. P.P.S. There's a special place in hell reserved for whoever let the CGI Tarkin and Leia on to the screen.

Well, she somehow wasn't nominated for stuff like Hope Springs and Ricki and the Flash so I thought they'd ignore this one too.

I only saw that one still where they're all standing in the courtroom (?) in various brightly-colored clothes and I already wished I could strangle the movie.

OW 154.6 DOM 594.3 WW 1.245B OD 76.001

I mean, at least half the instrumental music in The Hateful Eight was from The Thing, Benjamin Button had early 20th century music playing throughout alongside the Desplat score, 127 Hours scored its entire climax to the wordless part of a Sigur Ros song. I don't think Arrival should have been nominated if only because I didn't actually hear more than a few minutes of original music in it, but I don't get why not make it eligible. Is there a rule that non-original instrumental music can only constitute a certain % of all the music heard in a movie? Anyway: The BFG Fantastic Beasts Jackie La La Land (winner) Moonlight Alt.: Kubo and/or Light Between Oceans Weird that The Witch isn't there either. Wouldn't expect it to be nominated in a hundred years but it's an original, distinctive score, and you'd think A24 remember it. Freaking High-Rise and Swiss Army Man are on the list.

40 17 Rules Don't Apply Fox $37,215 -93.1% 178 -2,208 $209 $3,618,194 $25 3

I like these guys.

So for 1/3 of his post-1990 filmography? I mean, that seems fair.

La La Land: Comedy/Musical, Director, Comedy Actor, Comedy Actress, Original Score, Original Song Manchester: Drama, Drama Actor, Screenplay Jackie: Drama Actress Moonlight: Supporting Actor Fences: Supporting Actress Zootopia: animation Elle: foreign language

That perfume Focus Features sent the HFPA could only get them so far, I guess http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/golden-globes-voters-told-return-gift-tom-ford-fragrance-954610 But the ATJ nom is inspired. Saw the movie today and he killed it, along with Shannon. Don't think it's worthy of a Director nom though.

There will come a day when we all look back on this franchise and conclude that it was one of the few things that humanity did right.

SLJ and Futurist would get along. The former has been pretty vocal about how he likes to go to the movies to be entertained first and foremost and that heavy arty emotional dramas aren't his cup of tea. Thankfully, unlike Futurist, he has yet to cross the line where he's insufferable about it

It's possible but I thought they were past the days when they would reward The Hangover or RDJ in Sherlock Holmes just because those movies made the most bank. Besides, LLL should be a hit in its own right, and everyone likes Gosling. And it can serve as an unspoken award for The Nice Guys in addition to LLL.

i don't think gosling has any real competition here.

La La Land might win all of its nominations except Screenplay, that's six Globes right there.