Jake Gittes

If you're gonna hate on someone, hate on voters, not Hill.

Yeah, it seems like one of those years where the SAG winners all end up being Oscar winners. (It's rare, though - this century it's only happened in 2004, 2009 and 2010). It's possible that JLaw upsets but not very likely, and as much as I'd like Leo to pull a Waltz (not nominated by SAG because the movie wasn't ready until very late; wins Oscar anyway) it looks even less likely. The big question marks this year are the main two categories, not the acting ones. Interesting bit of trivia I found: 13 years ago, Benicio Del Toro won SAG for Lead Actor (for Traffic), upsetting Crowe for Gladiator, while Albert Finney won Supporting for Erin Brockovich. At the Oscars, BDT was nominated for Supporting and won there, leaving Finney without an Oscar, while Crowe won Best Actor. I must say I like the way SAG was thinking a lot more.

Definitely. I was convinced for months that his win would be his nomination, but apparently the voters are willing to go a step further.

Ralph Fiennes should have won for Schindler's List, imo. But Di Caprio was also great and better than TLJ, that's for sure.

Delpy and Bullock both did great work, and to suggest the former was just "doing her schtick" for a third time is to grossly undervalue what she did. In its own way, it's a unique performance as well, because name me another actor (well, besides Hawke) who got a chance to play the same character three times over two decades and show that character naturally developing and evolving and expanding each time. Sure, it's not the first time an actor went back to a character he'd originated a decade or two before (see Newman as Eddie Felson, Pacino as Corleone, Nicholson as Jake Gittes), but it might be the best - and, in any case, a very rare - example of an actor aging with and developing a character over multiple films and decades. Anyway. Point is, ultimately great acting is great acting, regardless of what's involved, what's the process, and how original/"revolutionary" it is or isn't. It's also very much subjective.

The objective truth is that they weren't. See, I can do this too!

If that happens, I see them more as the new Shakespeare in Love and Saving Private Ryan duo.

Yeah I remember you saying Redford was locked or near-locked to win. Mind you, I was saying the same thing.

What? Hell no.

Not gonna be able to see any new movies in the next few days, so sent mine. Although the screeners are out there, I ended up not seeing Her, Wolf, Hustle, Davis and Blue in time. Did catch Short Term 12, though. Some of my choices: BEST SCORE Rob - Maniac Rick Smith - Trance Steven Price - Gravity Cliff Martinez & Skrillex - Spring Breakers Mike Patton - The Place Beyond the Pines BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Luca Bigazzi - The Great Beauty Roger Deakins - Prisoners Emmanuel Lubezki - Gravity Emmanuel Lubezki - To the Wonder Philippe Le Sourd - The Grandmaster BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Stoker Blancanieves The Conjuring The Grandmaster The Great Beauty BEST ENSEMBLE Frances Ha Short Term 12 Computer Chess The Great Beauty Much Ado About Nothing BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Billy Ray - Captain Phillips Destin Cretton - Short Term 12 Seth Rogen & Evan Goldberg - This Is the End Scott Neustadter & Michael S. Weber - The Spectacular Now Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke - Before Midnight BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS June Squibb - Nebraska Ziyi Zhang - The Grandmaster Mickey Sumner - Frances Ha Sally Hawkins - Blue Jasmine Lupita Nyong'o - 12 Years a Slave BEST DIRECTOR Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity Noah Baumbach - Frances Ha Edgar Wright - The World's End Harmony Korine - Spring Breakers Richard Linklater - Before Midnight BEST PICTURE 1. The Act of Killing I was surprised to find there was no Editing category. I'd have loved to put Stoker, Spring Breakers and The World's End in there. And Upstream Color, even if I wasn't a fan of it overall.

I'm not even a big fan of Hanks and I get goosebumps just thinking of his final scene in Captain Phillips. It might be the best acting he's ever done, the snub is just embarrassing.

I think if Inside Out, Finding Dory and the Day of the Dead movie are as good as we can expect from the guys that gave us Monsters, Inc./Up, Finding Nemo/Wall-E and Toy Story 3, respectively, then Pixar is coming back for its awards two-three years from now. This way it's even better for them to sit 2014 out so that Inside Out will be seen even more as the return of "classic" Pixar.

All Is Lost didn't deserve an Original Score nom. The music was overbearing and distracting, it might be my only problem with the movie. The Hanks snub is insane.

All About Eve.

Nah, I don't think I've seen even three BP winners I'd consider to be bad films. Million Dollar Baby, for sure, and maybe A Beautiful Mind, but other than that I've managed to avoid all of the crap so far.

1. Lawrence of Arabia 2. The Godfather: Part II 3. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King 4. Casablanca 5. The Apartment 6. Schindler's List 7. The French Connection 8. No Country for Old Men 9. The Godfather 10. All About Eve 11. The Sting 12. The Silence of the Lambs 13. Unforgiven 14. The Hurt Locker 15. The Departed 16. One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest 17. Annie Hall 18. The Artist 19. In the Heat of the Night 20. A Man for All Seasons

I'll go Delpy, Blanchett, Gerwig, Larson and Bullock. I liked Seimetz but wouldn't have any problem leaving her out.

How many hours left?

I wouldn't entirely disagree with some of the critiques I've read about the film (especially that, at spots, it's too visibly constructed for its own good), but while I was watching it, it was pretty much a cinematic equivalent of a live wire. One of the most immersive films I've seen in a while, and the most detailed, insightful exploration of the theme of human communication I've seen in years. (Before Midnight, name-checked earlier in this thread, is the only other 2013 film I can think of that's close to Short Term 12 in that sense). Also, for a film that never played at Sundance, it's better than the five most recent Sundance Grand Jury Prize winners combined. And the performances are all absolutely wonderful.

The Great Beauty deserves to take this. If The Hunt does instead, that's cool too. I just hope it's not The Grandmaster or Broken Circle Breakdown.

It was better than at least three of those, and I didn't even like it that much.

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice24s FROZEN took in an estimated $15.07M this weekend. Domestic total now stands at $317.66M. #Frozen

127 Hours had a great score, frankly I'd say Rahman deserved to be nominated for it more than for Slumdog.

I'll defend PA3. The second one was pretty bad, though, and I haven't seen PA4 or The Marked Ones. Don't want to, either.

To be fair, it was in limited release for three weeks and received a ton of awards buzz in the process. One could argue it might have opened better next weekend, the day after (very likely) receiving a BP nom, but there's already four other movies opening wide next weekend, and maybe just as many expanding after the nominations. Not sure there's a scenario in which it could have made substantially more money than it's gonna make at this point, but on the bright side, it'll probably have a great hold next weekend and eventually leg its way to $25m DOM or so.