Poseidon
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Everything posted by Poseidon
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What people don't understand is, that for movies like JW, a movie board like us is unimportant. JW now looks like the movie, people visit after not having seen a theater for a couple of years and they definetely won't talk about character development or sexism afterwards, but about having a great time and that's what happens here and that's what happend with movies like Transformers 2, that a called the biggest stinkers ever over here. But it just doesn't matter. Movies like those are just bigger than that. -
To be fair, JW had its main villain back, SW wont.
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Definetely. It has Abrams to begin with. But then, everytime we thought we had a "save" 500m grosser, AOU/TDKR, we epically failed and that's where the spark comes into play. That's nothing, that you can project, it's something that happens on opening day.
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I mean, with all the adjustment upwards, this pretty much feels like "Not a record" now. This is one of those special movies, writing its own story. This is out of everybodies hands and you just feel, that nothing is going to stop this now. Talking about 400m feels like a joke already.
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I can't believe i'm saying this, but with this, 180m OW looks like the floor right now and with 79m, 200m might actually be a possibility, even the biggest friday without previews is in play now. That's insane. What a priviledge to follow this night with you guys!
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The way the westcoast shows are now filling up for 11pm already and the short running time, I think there's only one way this movie will go tonight. I can't see this disappointing now and dropping from RTHs estimates.
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"Indy 4" was pretty backloaded, too... "Avengers" had all the lead-up movies before. I just don't think this is the same kind of rush a direct sequel would get. JW surely isn't a typical fanboy movie.
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There's no reason for any kind of frontloadedness here. I mean this is pretty much kind of an original movie, not a sequel with a rush factor.
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JW is on its way to maybe score the 2nd or 3rd biggest friday of all time (minus Previews). That's what's wrong with 350m...
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I don't know, but the later the evening gets, the more this feels like that day in early may 2012. Another revised number by RTH and I think we all know, that this movie won't have a normal multiplier... I really start to feel it...
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I'm not sure, even Toy Story 3 and MU didn't. The big WOW should come on sunday, where it should drop in the 10-15% range.
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Pratt or not, I don't think a sequel will get anyewhere close to JW. It's the same story andI said it before: JW grabbed the perfect premise and Plot of the first movie, that's as big as it could go in this franchise. There's just no room for a better story in this franchise, the first trilogy is the proof.
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So with the new estimates, I think we should go with $165m - $185m. UN-BE-LIEVABLE!
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Mh, so Variety, HR and Deadline all got fed with the same 70m+/162m number. Good old times, when they workes with the numbers themselves...
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Some Westcoast cinemas are already going at 50%+ capacity for 10 PM-shows and it's only 5.30, so i'm prepared for a really big one. Even Variety has it at 70m+ and usually, they are a bit cautious with their numbers.
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It's really hard to find any comparison for JW, that's what makes this weekend so exciting, but from what i've seen, this could very well be like 0-5% up from friday and then down only 15-20% on sunday. So going with the 67-71m range, this would mean an OW from 154m to 173m.
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With RTHs estimates, JW is on pace for the 4th to 7th biggest friday (without previews) of all time. Crazy.
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Wow, with 71m, JW should pace past 170m. I mean, this is just incredible. A real blockbuster, so good to have this and get people excited again. Dinosaurs are no longer extinct, they are back.
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Only 7m more than Godzilla on friday? Unlikely at this point.
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So after the Avengers 2 weekend, that was amazing, but ripped to pieces by this place, we'll have the excitement level, I would have wished for back then, now for JW. May it rock the weekend like it should now. I love following BO, it can be so much fun.
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This is amazing. Equals AOU, even though that one had school holidays as a backup. 2m opening week may be a possibility now, though the weather could be an issue.
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Comparing it to Fast 7 and 50 shades of grey, it should have an OD north of 300k and it might cross 1.75m admissions in its first 7 days. But it's way too early, we'll see.
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Paris was on school holidays when Avengers 2 opened, so I think that's a very healthy opening for JW. And who would expect "out of this world"? Looks to open comfortably above 1m admissions, that's great.
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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Poseidon replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
https://twitter.com/mxiayun/status/608343550053523458 This would be much better and a great start actually. -
Source? This would be amazing. Never mind, found it.
