Poseidon

I'm not saying, that weather had no effect, but guys, SW still had a "worse" drop than all the other movies. Luckily for the Box Office, there storms hit in areas with lower population and in areas with lower admissions per capita. And also in areas, being used to some inches of snow in winter. Still, expect a 30m+ monday, a flat Tuesday, followed by 27m on wednesday and 21m on friday, with a gigantic 98-100m weekend to follow. And don't act surprised, it won't hit Avatars drops. It's Star Wars, with a completely unique and different run, that is amazing in its own way, but the way won't be writen by Avatar as a role model.

Well, when I was talking about "us" and "over here", I thought it would implement, I'm from Germany, too. Wow, I was not aware, that lightning might have that much of an effect other than the power lines. Is this a mountain thing?

I think americans would laugh about our investment for thermal insulation, if they knew what we do over here. But thank god, we also have a more reliable powerline system. I will never understand, why you would place powerlines above ground, when they get affected by the weather that often. Tornados, Blizzards, Hurricanes. Would make it safer, especially in the US, where some areas are heavily affected by some severe weather every year.

I see, so "Sisters" was underestimated. Must be playing in Florida and California only. No weather effects, great tactics by the distributors.

They had Point Break with an estimated 15% Sunday drop. This was never going to happen. Same for Creed with slightly sub 20%. Compared to 2009, those projections were off.

Close downs in Germany because of snow? No way. For years the north and east parts of Germany are more hit by snow and cold, only the areas close to the sea are warmer. For years, life in the US stands still, as soon as there's a bit of snow. I will never understand, why they just won't prepare for it. And of course our media is US centered. Also in terms of weather. So you might think it is severe, but they report pretty much everything. Who cares about snow in Lithuania, though?

I was using todays currencie ($) for a reason. Next stop in the discussion should have been admissions. The only true proof for success imo. So yeah, it does not compensate in $, but when all is said and done, we'll have a giant second or 3rd place overseas, but it's paling compared to the domestic performance.

Or even more impressive: Russia: Av. Ticket for Avatar: ~170m Rbl (Around $2,40) Av. Ticket for SW Ep 1: ~330 Rbl (Around $4,70)

Well, i was searching for pictures of Avatar-Tickets. Found 2. Same movie, same day, same time, same format (3D/2D/IMAX) In both cases, the ticket for SW7 was $3,50 higher then it was for Avatar. In Germany, you have at least another 2€ extra compared to back then. So much for bad exchange rates. Ticket Price Inflation after Avatar was ridiculous.

Lower than the second WE of Avatar, which scored $145m. Avatar might be done domestic, but it's still a mighty winner overseas.

So 147m as the absolute worst case for Star Wars.

I have the impression, that christmas day is even bigger now than it was in 2009, so we'll see what happens, but I wouldn't be surprised by some bigger drops tomorrow. To put in statistics, what I mean: 2008 vs. 2014 Openers 2nd day drops: 2008: Marley & Me 3% Benjamin Button: 14,5% Bedtime Stories: 4,3% Valkyrie: 3,6% 2014: Unbroken: 20,1% Into the Woods: 19,2% The Gambler: 31,6% Big Eyes: -26,1%

I'd rather see it going the Sherlock Holmes-way with a 38m WE and a 125m total.

So what I'm seeing at theaters with reserved seating is, that SW is obviously going 75%+ all day, but 2nd is Joy, which is going pretty big too, same for Daddy, which looks like a very convincing 3rd place. Next is the big short, which is filling theaters well, but due to lower capacity, it might come in just in the range of Concussion, which is looking solid but that's it. Point Break should be happy to crawl past 8m or so, not looking too great.

It was there from the start, but "high" was the last word in the upper row, so the 20-30m looked to be isolated, with only a quick look at numbers. Btw: I would take those numbers, all of them, with a big grain of salt (not only because they are early), as christmas day matinees usually are gigantic. They say, SW is performing slightly below last week, so I would guess, that the gap would get bigger with later showings, as they tend to be a bit slower on CD.

http://deadline.com/2015/12/star-wars-the-force-awakens-box-office-pack-as-moviegoers-unwrap-gift-of-choice-1201672136/

Walk ins for JW, yeah. IO looked already great earlier for the evening shows, but I guess that was to be expected as a new release. Obviously, I can't tell you anything about the westcoast overall, only having a look at some LA theaters.

2 or 3 hours ago, evening shows looked deserted for JW on the westcoast (Arclights). They all filled up to capacity now by walk up business only. IO is completely full, too. And already going into the late shows there. This will be massive.

Are there some shows left for JW to catch up?

Really? I totally expected this in the 150-175m range from the start. Maybe even lower now. Even the Thor sequel just barely got by that 200m mark.

Biggest piece of T-Rex crap ever put on all the other movies out there. Rexy really got them all. And he got them in style.

It looks incredible from so many perspectives. 31-35m would mean a friday jump of 75% to 96% in damn mid June. This is just, it's just out of this world to be honest. It would be. Of course JW had an extraordinary run last WE, so let's hope it behaves the way RTH expects it to.

Yeah, I know. Would be too good to be true, but IF JW hit that upper range, that's just the logical conclusion.

You are right, but RTHs Numbers are there to work with them and with 31m, 100m would be absolutely locked. 31m 38,75m (+25%) 33m (-15%) That's the absolute worst case I can see from there.

Actually, 125 would be in play without even getting ridiculous. I mean? Where would be the limit after such a big friday jump? 35 46,2 (+32%) 44 (-5%)