Poseidon
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Weekend #s Hobbit 84.7 ROG 7.4 Linc 7.2 Sky 7.0 Pi 5.4 BD2 5.2 pg 90
Poseidon replied to iceroll's topic in Numbers and Data
"I am Legend" is not the typical christmas family movie. It actually had a decent multiplier for its genre, but "The Hobbit" is more like a Narnia-movie i would guess. And "The Hobbit" really has no holiday competition, so...That midnight number ist amazing and "The Hobbit" is on track to crush december record. Nothing to be disappointed about. -
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey OS Thread: OVER 1B WW!
Poseidon replied to Totem's topic in International Box Office
Wow @ Avengers. Let's see, if "The Hobbit" comes closer with weekend ticket prices. -
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey OS Thread: OVER 1B WW!
Poseidon replied to Totem's topic in International Box Office
I would be cautious by only looking at thursday's box office.Thursday has weekend-prices, wednesday doesn't so drop in admission should be bigger than in €.But yes, those TV spots saying it's opening on 13th were strange. -
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey OS Thread: OVER 1B WW!
Poseidon replied to Totem's topic in International Box Office
Germany had a horrible wednesday, It had a full schedule on wednesday and those numbers are pretty bad, actually.You have to keep in mind, that average ticket prizes will be enormous. Up to 2€ more because of the running time, another 50 cent for HFR and 3D share will be very high. Should end up having the highest ticket average ever.Let's hope that the low temperatures are to blame, weekend will be rainy and up to 10°, so perfect weather for a night at the movies. -
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey OS Thread: OVER 1B WW!
Poseidon replied to Totem's topic in International Box Office
Not being able to beat ROTKs OD with 10 years of inflation AND 3D-boost doesn't seem that great to be honest. -
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey OS Thread: OVER 1B WW!
Poseidon replied to Totem's topic in International Box Office
In Germany "The Hobbit" should open way lower than the LOTR movies.At the moment i expect something like 1.2-1.3m admissions incl. wednesday. -
"Rise of the Guardians" could drop in the 10-15% range like "Arthur Christmas" last year. That would be great.
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Actuals (starting to come in) BD2 17.41 Bond 16.55
Poseidon replied to baumer's topic in Numbers and Data
"Arthur Christmas" had a better drop last year.I hoped for under 40%. -
I saw "Killing them Softly" some weeks ago in a sneak preview (over here, we really don't know which movie we see) and more than half of the people left the theater before the film ended.As i never stop watching a movie before it is finished, i stayed till the end and it's a complete bore, nothing happens, it leads to nothing and has endless dialogue that doesn't push the story (that could at best fill a short film) any further.A 150 min version of that movie?Seems like a bad joke.
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Yep, it seems like it's just barely avoiding that 50% mark. I'm really surprised, but we'll have to see, could still end up dropping just 45%.Maybe it was just a perfect holiday movie and so that TG-weekend was kind of an overperformance.As for "Rise of the guardians", saw it yesterday, it really is the best animated movie of the year (haven't seen Ralph) and easily one of the best movies of the year. It's a very touching adventure with so much pace, just like "How to train your dragon" was.
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It's not about being cocky. Lincoln is still limited and even if it's not adding theaters the coming weekend, it just had the biggest 3 day bump i can find in the last 15 years and that's including christmas themed movies.To me that's what good WOM is all about.
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The world could end this weekend, Aliens could start an invasion, "The Walking Dead" could happen in real life, Britney Spears could proove she is a good judge.All of those options seem more probable, than Lincoln having a 50% drop.
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That would be amazing for "Life of Pi".Seems to be on its way to challange "Lincoln" and "Skyfall" for next weekends #1 spot.
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Guys, that would be a good number for "Rise of the Guardians"."Arthur Christmas" and "Tangled" dropped on their first tuesday, so everything is okay.Kids movies always do bad on tuesday after TG.
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Btw, Baumer, I love your avatar. All time classic, i love it, alway end up in tears when i see it.
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And you know that because?
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No way! Well...no! Hell, NO! There's at least a chance...
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Yes, but Breaking Dawn 2 likes to max out the extremes of what the other movies did.Great last tuesday, meh on wednesday, expected on thursday, great over the 3 day weekend and finally hitting BD1s monday allthough being ahead nearly half a million on sunday.As i said, it's just funny inside its own universe and that 300m yes or no-question.
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So Breaking Dawns mini up and downs inside the rules of the Twilight boxoffice universe continue.It kills both, fans and haters, every day anew, it's really kind of funny.
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Not if they have great holds from here on. There's nothing of any significance till The Hobbit.One of those movies actually could grab the #1 spot on december 7th.That's what "The Blind Side" did, having great holds and it did great numbers on a good number of screens over christmas.
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Lincoln's sunday is equally amazing.Those 2 are going to have amazing runs till late after christmas and will still be around when oscar season starts.
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That's an amazing sunday hold for "Life of Pi". There's no better drop for a wide release in the last 5 years.
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Thank God that nothing relevant is opening till "The Hobbit", so all of those movies have some space to breathe.That would be an insane friday, i hope those numbers are spot on.
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I just checked some numbers.Lincoln could actually be the first movie since "The Blind Side" increasing on its 3 day opening over TG and we know where that one went.Lincoln already surpasses "Walk the Line" in dailies and is ahead in cume, and that one had a wide release, Lincoln is still limited. So forget about 125m, more like 140m and more.
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It's going to do at least 125m, probably more.
