I'll be curious to see how The Girl on the Train does, Gone Girl two years before did £4.3m for its four day opening with an 18 rating, I think The Girl on the Train probably will do £3-3.5m five days, maybe £4m at a push, it likely won't have the legs of GG as Inferno and Jack Reacher will eat into its audience
I think coming after The Lego Movie, Storks was always going to have an uphill battle but I think WAG has a clear idea what kind of films they're making although they've only got one original film coming which is Smallfoot, everything else is either Lego or from the WBA libraries in the case of Scooby Doo
October won't be as big as last year but there likely will be solid hits with The Girl on the Train, Inferno, Trolls and Doctor Strange.
I think this year there hasn't been films dominating like last year but lots of £30m+ films and two £40m+ films
The first Jack Reacher did $138m OS but it has competition in the form of Inferno which is likely dominate and also The Girl on the Train so it'll likely do less but still over $100m.
It's the same with Leo and Hanks although both have their fair share of flops plus Hanks has been in two franchises.
I do wonder if certain actors aren't paired with one another simply because they're too expensive. You'd never see a Leo/Denzel film or a Cruise/Jolie film because the salaries would be $40m
Mag 7 is a solid film, it wouldn't have disgraced itself had it been released in say July or August
Fuqua is no visionary but he knows how to direct action
I'm sure Mag 7 could have sequels, the original did but I suspect it won't happen
I wonder what will be the first film to crack $50m OW in September, Ninjago could do it next year but I imagine that'll be more like $35-40m, HT3 might do it or Scooby Doo depending on which one remains in that September 2018 slot
Cloudy had critical acclaim and TBH it was SPA's first big hit whereas WAG had The Lego Movie which was very successful. I think Storks is akin to Hop which was Ilumination's second film which opened well but had poor legs for a family film and didn't do great OS but was profitable due to its $63m budget.
I imagine Storks won't get a sequel but WAG in the long run will be fine but I suspect if Smallfoot doesn't do better then original films will take a backseat in favour of Lego films and adaptations of characters that WB already owns
Storks' numbers is disappointing but not a disaster given the budget. If it can do $150-200m OS which is doable combined with a $80-90m domestic then it'll be profitable just not super profitable.
Stork's lucky there isn't a family film for another month so it could have decent legs but it's missing $100m domestic for sure, OS could save it but as I mentioned Trolls has an early OS release which will affect it somewhat.
Surf's Up too, there have been successful animated bird films but they seem limited to chickens and parrots. Penguins only got one successful film in Happy Feet, all other animated films with penguins as stars have flopped ever since.
I doubt Warner Bros would do it but I'd love to see an Animaniacs movie either as fully animated or hybrid.
Just looked at the numbers for Legends of the Guardians that WB made six years ago and that only made $16m OW and Happy Feet 2 flopped a year later, clearly animated bird movies are a curse for WB/WAG so we won't seeing a Tweety or Daffy Duck movie anytime soon!
Bridget doesn't click with US audiences in the same way it does in the U.K., its the same with The BFG, bombed in the US but was a sizeable hit in the UK.
The Girl on the Train should do well, I wouldn't be surprised if Inferno cracks $100m although even if it doesn't, the OS numbers will likely make it a hit.
Bridget Jones while doing poorly in the US, is killing it in the U.K. and doing well in other countries. You wonder if Universal should have bothered with a wide release in the US given the previous two films weren't huge.
I agree, hopefully WAG will look at what happened with Storks and try again with Smallfoot but given WAG has Lego and the various characters from the animation libraries and DC for ideas, it'll make it harder for original ideas to get greenlit if films like Storks and Smallfoot don't do as well as the ones based on IP