The Fast and the Furiosa

He gets studio estimates as well. He used to work for ProBoxOffice back when they were actually good (because of him)

In case anyone is curious about drive in pairings nationwide (359 screens in 210 theaters logged), most common pairing this weekend is Spidey/DM3 on 75 screens. Next closest with Spidey is Baby Driver at 28 screens.

I believe boxofficereport.com has an archive of most of the Thursday previews

I think that's easily the best comparison here. I can't see it doing better than WW's preview multiplier and there isn't really a reason it would even match that.

5.5 mil I believe, but that audience demo skews too old to really compare. Sure Spidey is bringing in tons of kids, but this is more 4 quadrant so the preview audience wouldn't be too affected by age. Multiplier from STB is way too high for a film like this

Yeah, ripppp

That's a bingo!

You're right that it is inflated a bit, though not as much a typical holiday for Box Office. Look back on any July 4th that hit the weekend and you see that the bigger impact is on the days surrounding the holiday, not the holiday itself

What Grim means is that the difference between the Monday and the Wednesday should be about the same relatively, regardless of what happens on Tuesday. At least, that's how I usually look at it week to week. I don't get overly excited about discount Tuesday jumps anymore

Indeed it is, Alice 2 had the same thing being paired up with Dory last year. By far the most noticeable effects are with Disney productions. Though so far this summer, there appears to be a slight shift away from "exclusive" pairings. It'll be interesting to see what happens this week with Spider-Man

Most certainly they're referring to that May 1-3 weekend. Considering it dropped less than 1% against Ultron...

Yeah this is right, but we have definitely seen a shift away from that as of late. Cars and Transformers both saw their drive-ins be split and not necessarily with a film with the same studio. Disney was really the only studio that forced exclusive pairings for DIs the past couple of years, but as far as I'm aware, many of those owners got upset about it. It may signal a change in practice overall. On the topic of R vs PG13, that will vary from place to place. I would say of the driveins that were open, it was about 70/30 ratio for GO vs Split for the F8 opening

Oof that Saturday for DM3. No increase in any way, shape, or form. Although just looking at MT seemed to indicate that. Rip my prediction. Baby Driver pushing for 20 FSS though

$86,425,000

Really good hold for BD. 15 mil 3 day looks mostly assured

Edit: double post I hope it does better though

Usually with Wednesday openers there's more or less a consistent ratio between True Wednesday and the Friday gross based on the target audience. I have it as Wednesday being 86% of the Friday number (Nerve was 85%, This is the end was 81%). That means we're looking at a 4.2 mil Friday or so: Friday 4.2 mil (+50% would mean 2.80 mil Thursday) Saturday 4.62 mil (+10%) Sunday 4.16 mil (-10%) OW: 12.98 mil 5 day: 21.48 mil Perhaps I'm pessimistic on some of these day-to-days, especially Sat and Sun, but considering that the last time the calendar shaped up this way had Bow Wow in an F&F film (2006), it's a good ballpark number to start

The first part though. Colleges with Summer A semester would be in session in early June as opposed to this week. Small difference, but at least some impact. Also things have changed a lot in 2 years preview wise. They're certainly not getting smaller

Fandango Pulse 1. Baby Driver 2. WW 3. Transformers 4. Cars 5. DM3 This pleases me, hope it does well

Just like Cars did While a good portion of its audience is younger, it still has enough of an older demographic to prevent bad drops, at least for the time being. Man of Steel dropped 45% against DM2 and Lone Ranger, but even then, that was July 5-7, so a slightly lower Friday than one would expect there

As far as I am aware, a lot of theaters skip the discounts when a release occurs on Tuesday night.

Eh I'll take it. That's a huge Eyez number

We've done a check over on Fantasy Movie League, it is pretty much a hodgepodge. Slight majority to Pirates, with almost of the rest being, interestingly enough, Captain Underpants. Seems as if that "strike" of sorts by drive-in owners got Disney to back off a little.

It has only 8 reviews still, not to mention it's a no name studio (Phoenix Forgotten anyone?) Very cautious about the prediction for this one. Also those types of flicks don't traditionally have Father's Day bumps

Alice had the benefit of drive ins with finding dory that weekend (take a look at that Friday increase, wowzers) but WW should be pretty damn good nevertheless