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The Fast and the Furiosa

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Everything posted by The Fast and the Furiosa

  1. Star Wars primary audience has been the Male >25 quadrant since the dawn of time. However, TLJ has an audience breakdown of 37% under 25, compared to 33% for TFA.
  2. The more important number is that it’s less than Monday (31%). In short, I can’t really say one way or another. The audience demo stats suggests that it’s skewing slightly younger for TLJ vs TFA, so that’s something
  3. This might be the case on a smaller level. You do have to have more tickets sold to overcome the difference in price admission. The evening shows are pretty much booked at full capacity whether it’s Monday or Thursday, so the extra tickets have to come from an earlier time in the day OR the theater has to book more showings.Theyll be less likely to do that during the week I feel. It should have been closer to Rogue One vs TFA I would say % wise, but as long as it’s not something like -10%, it gets a pass for now
  4. I don’t have specific figures remembered, but I do recall Force Awakens having a slightly older split on opening weekend compared to TLJ. TFA also was more male skewed on OW
  5. However, at the same time, presales also went towards Christmas Day, which I believe was the 3rd highest presale day ticket wise at the time for TFA. Currently for TLJ, I cannot purchase tickets for that far away
  6. I mean, sure they do, but Star Wars was a presale monster 2 years ago. It’s just the rest of the films that are catching up. Lets put it this way, the 3:30 AM showings haven’t been put out yet, but considering I’m looking at 734/736 so far for Thursday, that’s gonna change
  7. Im also with you that its closer to 210 and not 230, but MT didn't sway me on that personally. I think Ferdinand takes away JUST enough, considering it wont be as weak as the 4th Chipmunks movie. Tracking at this level becomes more of a dartboard at this point. Now, if the reviews come out that its the best ever Star Wars film no questions asked, that might bring in the folks that are playing it safe i.e. the folks who didnt like TFA/RO
  8. IMO, comparisons like these aren't really helpful. We know TLJ will do gangbusters. % of MT this early on won't really change that. Very hard to compare an upcoming release with holdovers that are 3+ weeks old. The market is never the same at two different points in time as in the TFA and RO time periods. Yes, advanced/online sales increase in popularity over the years, but that applies to ALL films, not just Star Wars. Anyways, TLJ will never reach those TFA MT numbers due to Ferdinand opening the same week regardless
  9. I really want to believe that shape of Water number, but that’s a PTA hold I’ve never seen going to 40 theaters though. It would be awesome if it rang true
  10. Yeah that seems reasonable. Not exactly setting the world on fire though. Could be worse
  11. I don’t really trust JGS due to the distributor, but we’re gonna find out one way or another
  12. JL might be able to get one solid hold in before everything dies next week
  13. I don’t think Deep Wang has a record of TFA’s gross unfortunately
  14. Agreed here. Not taking away from WB as they’ve had an incredible year, but the fact that WB did what it did and Disney still competed (and will win in the end) with 6 films tells you enough
  15. I think that’s his comparison number for Thor Wednesday before release
  16. It could very well open lower, and have better legs, getting to BvS internationally. We simply don’t know yet
  17. It’s not that JL can’t do it, but a lot of things have to go right for it to happen. I’m also of the opinion that Coco at 150 mil is a bit too low, so that makes the discussion pretty close to dead.
  18. Of course, you and I both know that our state is pretty much the target demo for Express, though I would be pretty happy if this was consistent across the country
  19. Honestly it’s hard to compare anything to early May when colleges are out. Weren’t we all jaw dropping at a 27% drop on Sunday? That’s nearly unprecedented for a film of this size during early November. Let’s see weekend 2 before leaning one way or the other
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