Barnack

25 year's after the author death, or like everyone should be able to do sequel or sell dvd of the star wars movie since 2002 ?

That a good point, movie should be legally watchable for free (except for newly made restoration) after 100, 75 or 50 year's is a bit of a semantic difference and there is clearly a difference between watching the already fully moneytized Casablanca for free vs a new movie.

You did find a way to make watching movies & playing game tax deductible.

That because they accepted to have lost the battle and for that industry revenues to have gone down by more than 50%, spotify never made a cent. Is loss are growing and growing, with everything being free to listen to on youtube and spotify, piracy become a stranger concept yes: But yes, making it easier to access the library without destroying is value completely is what they are trying to solve. Movies need an artificial rarity created about them to maintain there values (if you think about it, make little sense to pay more for a new movie than an old one, it is all made up), offering 1000 old better than new one movies could hurt the artificial values giving to newer title, a bit of an hard act to balance (as well I would imagine all the different player's involved with each title with there own set of rules).

It is a bit indirect, but movies having legacy values when they work help the people you are talking about getting financed today and the studio's a little bit. That destruction of libraries values is a big challenge that studio are actively trying to fix.

A comedy like that 8 year's ago would have probably got a 65-80M budget and a big world release yes.

The ultra slow roll out until late april does not make that an easy one to follow, the trade seem to just write what the distributor tell them to write and it is always to make the movie sound the biggest as possible (5th biggest ever weekend for the studio for a spring release in Malaysia, etc...), it rarely put in context how bad it is if it is bad. For example: Ava DuVernay’s fantasy adaptation A Wrinkle In Time added $3.2m for an early $10.6m from 11 material territories and stands at $5.2m in Russia, $1.8m in Spain, and $1m in France. The worldwide haul has reached a promising $71.7m after two weekends. That does sound like a terrible drop from the 4.13m opening in Russia (I would imagine festivities around woman day boosted it or some other holiday), 1M in France for a Wednesday big Disney release sound like an incredibly low 5 days and Spain was at 1M last Sunday showing much better legs than in Russia but I am not sure if it is a good number or bad at all. We (well at least me) need help to monitor almost all non Chinese-Domestic performance with comparable to have any idea if it is any good, I have not idea how good/bad that 3.2M weekend is but it does sound weak, but then again how much I would have expected for is hong-kong, malaysia, croatia, russia, singapore, Ukraine, spain, france, sri lanka, vietnamn performance with some of them being a second weekend.

It did a lot like expected: $10.3m China debut account for the lion’s share of weekend business Impressive, does it had a shot to overtake mexico for is second biggest market ?

You mean by that the weekend #1 movie ? It was always belonging to Black Panther I think, never seen someone suggesting Love Simon would be the weekend number one.

Will see if they report for next weak, but they were still pushing it nicely: http://variety.com/2018/digital/news/sherlock-gnomes-a-wrinkle-in-time-top-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202726696/ Probably an over 40m domestic release going on with that one and with 3,700+ theaters. It is still a mid budget known name robots fighting movies, must be some money to make in this.

Reading my old posts, a bit below 140m gross, a bit below 120m net was my estimate before release. Movie spent 85m below the lines in the state of California alone, with some New Zealand shooting + big book right to buy, big above the line names to pay, anything around 135-145m gross 110-125m net would not surprise me. Disney production tend to be opaque a little bit, because who today make over 100m budget non sequels movies taking 100% of the risk like them: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1620680/companycredits?ref_=tt_ql_dt_4 Production Companies Walt Disney Pictures Whitaker Entertainment They are pretty much the only ones not seeking production partner on movies (at least of that size) and making almost purely in house production like this, usually a lot of competitor that did pass on the project pitched to them know at least what the production budget planned for it was or a lot of the co-financier/co-production company know everything about it, not Disney projects. But yeah those, some believe it could be more type of comments seem to be about some projects more than others, I remember The Mummy coverage to be particularly violent in blame games using the trades and budget rumors.

If you remove the director and remove the budget..... not much shit to be giving about robots fighting monster left.

Could be true remember with The Mummy and Ghost in a Shell also, Forbes did it for the first Guardians and some other hit title but after learning something about them. What the numbers they got for A Wrinkle in Time ? I imagine for breakout hit a 10-20m difference in budget does not matter and make it of little interest.

http://deadline.com/2016/08/queen-of-katwe-faith-based-marketing-disney-plan-1201810960/ Not going all in right away about selling it to the faith audience and being between 2 chair maybe ?

No there is some noise in the genre: https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/distributor/Pure-Flix-Entertainment http://www.boxofficemojo.com/genres/chart/?id=christian.htm&sort=date&order=DESC&p=.htm https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/keywords/Faith-Based Most do not reach theater or 3 million at the box office I would imagine a bit like small budget horror and a bit like small horror the success are so profitable for the budget that they make up for all the others. But like small horror they are made a budget that you can just put them on video if they fail, they seem to mostly go on word of mouth marketing wise, PureFlix even have a Netflix type streaming membership service only for their faith based output.

When people say 8M for Friday do they mean 5.9M friday (+2.1M T and 5.9M F) or a true 8M Friday ? A 5.9M friday would be on the low side relative to those previews 2.1 previews Close recent Fridays 1.5m Previews - Atomic blonde: 5.6M, $1,694 average, for a 16.78 FFS with a friday making 3.73x time it's Thursday previews 1.8m Previews - Ghost in Shell: 5.86M, $1,703 average, for a 16.875 FFS with a friday making 3.25x time it's Thursday previews Would be a $1,522 average for TR with a friday making only 2.8x time it's Thursday previews, sound way too low. A 8M friday would be obviously great too ($10.1M "opening day", doing 3.8x time it's Thursday previews)

If Friday is 4.2 vs 5 doesn't change all the holding calculation ? T: .8 M F: 4.2 M S: 5.04M (+20%) S: 3.32M (-33%) 13.3M A bit irritating all those publication talking about friday number without saying is the big preview's are in them or not.... is it supposed to be obvious (I imagine otherwise why predict Black panther to win if TR would have a bigger true friday and a +2.1 head start)

Misleading title (people misunderstood those click bait news about black panther quite a lot also because of how misleading they are), it outsold all SH movies first 24 hours of sales, it is not the biggest selling super heroes ever yet. That one tidbit is funny: –87% have seen all of the MCU movies.–71% saw Black Panther on the big screen Black Panther DVD and Blu-ray release date is estimated for May 2018

For me that because Tomorrowland did 93.4m And all is days except is sunday-monday holiday have been lower than Wrinkle thus far and is second weekend lower than 15m, tomorrowland started with -56%, -50% and -51.5% and still achieved a 2.83x of an Sunday boosted a little bit by an monday holiday weekend multiplier. Difference would be Tomorrowland ending is run with Summer days help ?

That is playing a bit like a big IP drop wise (Cinderella did -48.5%) ? Spring break inflated weekdays hurting is weekend ? Significantly better than Tomorrowland 14,3 M at least. I imagine Panther will end up above those estimate like always...

Just a guess (because most video game franchise in the 2010 were quite front loaded ?) or there is some sign pointing to that ?

That is just a website prediction, but lower than 4,000 theater for RPO would not be that surprising, non PG live action movie rarely go to 4,000 theater. Even 55m PG-13 opener like the Martian had 3,831, Gravity 3,575, last year only 23 movies reached 4,000 theater: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?view=releasedate&view2=domestic&yr=2017&sort=theaters&order=DESC&p=.htm And some of those like Dunkirk did it by expending. Outside family movie that can play everywhere only the biggest franchise get over 4,000 theater I think.

It is true, they seem to have been really nice with the Wachowskis also

You are thinking outside director chair, nobody with a strong career is completely over with just one flop could be true even for them, but more than 50% of director that do a feature film do not make a second one no ?