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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. They were, until very recently: https://www.forbes.com/sites/robcain/2017/12/27/china-2017-box-office-wrap-up-hollywood-movies-grab-3-4-billion-universal-rules/#62b4c7f233eb Even with that growth, Hollywood’s market share in China was essentially flat compared to 2016, remaining at just over 40 percent. That’s a far cry from the days of several years ago when U.S. movies captured 50 percent and more of the territory’s box office revenue. China’s government film authorities have managed the market through import controls, release dates and blackouts that favor local films, and marketing rules to ensure that the Americans stay in their place at below 50 percent.
  2. There is some nice performer in China, Zootopia, Hacksaw Ridge, The Revenant, a Dog Purpose, Coco, Resident Evil The Final Chapter,etc... but in term of Transformer 4/Fast 7 level break out ? In 2014 biggest movie in China was Hollywood with Transformer 4, in 2015 was also hollywood with Fast 7. in 2016 the biggest hollywood movie Zootopia was less than 50% the biggest Chinesse movie Mermaid, in 2017 Fast 8 was less than 50% of Wolf Warrior 2. And I guess in 2018 no American movies will beat Monster Hunt 2 and that movie will maybe not end in the top 3. Hollywood movie do very well and growth overall (even gained market share over Chinese release last year I think), but the competition from local movie for the biggest phenomenon do seem to have got stronger, separating itself with what American movies can do there.
  3. Maybe in their mind the fairy tale / fantasy classic remake and/or an animated version of Wrinkle of Time was more the other project they could have done instead of that one in term of direct competition in opportunity cost than those movies (they will still release a certain amount of family movie, there is a market to fill there). I feel like Star Wars would have a lot more content than just a movie a year, but on TV at least at first.
  4. I do not think he is talking about Coogler here, how could he be self-congratulatory when talking about someone else ? (english is a second language so maybe I am missing the mark here), he is refering to Duvernay (and director in general that would have done the same or almost all of them) posting Coogler message on her twitter platform herself. There is not a lot of Terence Malick (that do not even go get there Palme d'Or at Canne or at the Oscar when they are nominated, etc...), but that make sense, people that are going to the spotlight in today world, that feel a need to communicate to the world and so on.... And that probably feel pressure to cultivate a brand to help their career.
  5. Except if he suggest they should not have released the movie and started again (like they do for a Star Wars, but I am not sure that a project like that can justify taking that chance and those cost) I am not sure I get the mindset either, they gave a lot to that movie, it is from a popular books, over 130m in is production and so on, far from a whatever production. In live action subpar movies will happen (well even Pixar have them) and studio already know very well that outside some specific genre/case you are better with an uppar movie than a subpar one even if it is far from automatic one is a success and the later will fail it tend to help.
  6. The poster is probably not referring to the article (self would not make sense) but to Duvernay twitting article's about her movie on her platform (while pointing that it is something almost everyone with a platform do nowaday).
  7. Sadly yes I think, he was badlucked enough to be in the very rare not good McDonagh movies.
  8. The size of Tomorrowland flop was not just how much it did cost to make, but how giant that movie promotion was (2 year's long, superbowl, park attraction made for it, etc...)
  9. Fury Road audience was 60/40 male (opening weekend at least), just to show that while the message can appear to be attractive the content/presentation/energy, etc... is also important, you are right that Atomic Blonde/Red Sparrow are not particularly aiming at woman. Atomic Blonde was 52% male , 48% female (it was a bit John Wick action audience heavy) 47%M - 53%F for Red Sparrow Proud Mary was 32%M-68%F
  10. MadMax Fury road vs Pitch Perfect 3 gender audience split is the extreme example of what you mean. Red Sparrow as barely more action in it than say The Post, about Bridge of Spies level.
  11. Not sure about not good, but it is not bad either for the family genre. Tomorrowland with $725K from its limited run in what they’ve been calling 701 “premium/palace locations” (which means IMAX and PLF screens) with a nice $1,077 per screen average If it would follow the OD multiplier of those Wonder: $740,000 -> 48.3m (A+ Phenomenon reception, would not to expect to reach that one) Paddington 2: $325,000 -> 44m Jungle Book: 4.2m -> 32m (Big franchise movie phenomenon, would not necessarily expect to go that low) Cinderella: 2.3m -> 38.5m I think it is good enough for the genre it keep the best case scenario of 44-45m alive but also keep the worst case scenario of 32-33 if it is really front loaded/bad leg alive (would need to play like an hyped hyper popular franchise like Jungle Book was). The issue with the movie would not be is Thursday night start if it open soft it will be a bad internal multiplier....
  12. Look like there is an Oscar boost in Germany ? They did expend ?
  13. I think Pan Labyrinth is the only Del toro movie I really liked (and what a movie! it is a masterpiece), have not seen is Cronos/Mimic/Hellboys 1-2/blade 2.
  14. I would very much doubt that he is up there as the best ever. List of Spielberg movies with an academy award nomination for best VFX (* winner) Close Encounters 1941 Raiders of the Lost Ark* ET* Temple of Doom* Jurassic Park* Lost World A.I Artificial Intelligence War of the Worlds Strange that Saving Private Ryan missed, it won the Bafta for best visual effect and is perceived by many to have some of the best VFX and best VFX heavy movie ever.
  15. You probably mean CGI ?, VFX were a big thing in the 30s.... say with King Kong in 1933 or Wizard of Oz in 1939 and many others title filled with them, best VFX oscar started to be an every year regular award in 1938, in 1940 there was like 14 nominee. Citizen Kane was an extremely VFX heavy movie.
  16. Not sure if it is particularly good looking at previous daily trend seem to be in line with movie getting ok normal legs, it would have had place I think in the R-rated options released as a competition, but the reception make that really hard. First John Wick hold are far from being enough for that, Atomic Blonde did 51m with a better start, even Salt multiplier would push it only at 55m. It would need The Shack multiplier (released the exact same weekend last year and did 57.4 with a 16.1m OW) to do it: Shack vs RS hold Saturday: +11.7 / +12.2 Sunday: -24.% / -39.4 Monday: -69.9% / -64.7% Tuesday: +49.9% / 41.4% Wednesday: -37.6% / -33.5% In absolute number Monday: 1.387 / 1.44 Tuesday: 2.079 / 2.042 Wednesday: 1.298 / 1.358 So I guess that could be a reference to follow the next week to see if there is a chance, The Shack was at 20.93 after 6 days, RS 21.69m (so RS would need to gain a bit over it from now on). Shack V Blonde V RS box office evolution: https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Red-Sparrow/Atomic-Blonde/Shack-The I think RS can finish in the middle of those 2 as a best case scenario.
  17. Disney used inviting people to a premiere + party instead of a industry only screening tactic on this one if I remember correctly.
  18. Anecdotal but I have seen critics saying their kids did love the movie a lot (and one of the reason they were hesitant and took their time for doing the review, seeing how well it did work with the target audience)
  19. You are right, Homecoming opening was 60% of is total run ! Was it an holiday or something ?
  20. Not sure about that, kids seem to dig the movie and they could be that movie source of word of mouth.
  21. Not if it really open nearly to 85-90m like some seen to see from the pre-sales figures, even extreme bad legs would have it easily over 150m no ?
  22. Moonlight had a bit more theater (1,564) against Logan opening and Get out second weekend, so I am not sure how good this year for the Oscar movie expansion. 4 new wide release vs last year 3, Panther still playing bigger than almost any new movies will do, I guess ok for the BP winner but not sure if it is out of the ordinary fantastic. Shape of water: 1,552 from 832 +86% Moonlight: 1,564 from 585 +167% Birdman: 1,213 theater from 407 +198% Spotlight: 1,227 from 675 +82% 12 year's: 1,065 from 411 +159%
  23. War of World was one of the first that come to mind about what you are saying, has big as what is going on the background, it is a lot about the family, lot of time in a basement and the ending homage to John Wayne/Ford is also on the small side. Not sure he ever made a 200-250m movie adjusted in budget either. Saving Private Ryan was quite "big" by moments (then again he goes down to the one guy, one bridge toward the end). Oh A.I. above is a good one in term of epicness of scope, it really go giant.
  24. Hum even with Weinstein, DeNiro, Russel and Cooper back end compensation deal..... 236m on a 20m budget is quite the feat, a free movie making 60m would not be close to that level of profits. Russel nominated movie tended to do great on home video, American Hustle made 161m in revenues in the domestic market alone from is 150m dbo and I would imagine Silver Lining had a significantly higher revenues / box office ratio.
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