Barnack

With Wonder Woman getting in, it look like 12th biggest movie of all time, 1.236b on a rumored 250M Fate of the Furious will miss the top 10 ? (Bit of curious about their number, it made around 465m in rental alone) or maybe something else.... regardless a big surprise for any of the those listed above to be below Get Out. http://deadline.com/tag/movie-profits/ 6 - Wonder Woman 7 - Home Coming 8 - Thor 9 - Guardian 2 10-Get Out

That would be a lot of theater............. No movies reached 4,050 in 2018... Pirates was the only live action movie reaching that many theater without doing a 100m OW last year. Someone said that my prediction of those 2 loosing almost there theater . 22 11 The Hurricane Heist Entertainment Studios 128 -2,155 -94.4% 3 25 10 Gringo STX Entertainment 117 -2,197 -94.9% 3 Would not help Annihilation much because those 2 were already just sharing screen and not playing much: . 17 14 Annihilation Paramount 478 -609 -56.0% 13 6 Death Wish (2018) MGM 1,304 -1,372 -51.3% Was right. Really good hold for Wrinkle too: 4 1 A Wrinkle in Time Buena Vista 3,423 -557 -14.0%

It is still a -56% drop from Wednesday of last week, does not look really good no ? http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2018-03-21&sort=perc_lw&order=ASC&p=.htm http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2018-03-21&sort=daynum&order=ASC&p=.htm Dropping a bit worst than Strangers prey at night...

Much more realistic than those around 20M we saw on box office pro for a while imo, look like good tracking start a full month before the last marketing week for a low strength IP movie. I imagine that leave anything between 30 and 50m possible ?

Titanic made close to 350m since it's epic 1.83b first run, I mean I can imagine one person/studio obsessed with box office history and what not.... but leaving 350m box office (and all a spike on the other product they have) on the table for it Specially that no big movies in box office history didn't had many re-release I would imagine, if you are Titanic competition worthy you should be able to sustain a re-release in 15 year's or whatever when the next gimmick will be popular.

Did Chinese audience saw TLJ ? It sold what around 7m tickets in China (how many moivies goers is there in that market, close to 200M now ?) I imagine the cross over potential audience is big here (English-action Fantasy type of movie), but still was Last Jedi big enough to have a relevant impact on anyone involved ?

Feel like a safe hit yes, I bit like Murder on the Orient express felt like one last year, but probably more domestic sided this time.

I will do a little tutorial and a little program to generate the result more automatically, I did try to fully automatize the process and make something that would grab every minute the result (removing repeating sale if any) or something like that, to realize that I never coded much web stuff (more C++/3D than web) and unsure how possible it is to be fully auto that grab just every sales. I will do a click here in Chrome, paste in this program and it will give you the result kind of stuff maybe.

Ok from what I understand rapidly looking at the code it is not realtime that much, seem to make one database request the moment you enter that page, getting the latest 1000 tickets sales and taking it's time showing them to you. That could be the reset you see, after showing those 1000 tickets it will display the same 1000 sames again in a loop I imagine (and the loop would be short on a busy blockbuster night, longer otherwise) I entered the website around 18:17 eastearn time and the website went to go search 1,000 ticket that represented about 15 minute worth of sales, sales occuring between 17:35 and 17:50. I refreshed the page at 18:48 ET, it requested a new batch of ticket sales (so no need to wait on the page at all), it gathered the sales occuring between 18:23 and 18:34 this time, took less time selling ticket as the night get closer to peak time. There is some filter is applied that remove some sales of that 1,000 bunch that are not shown to the user it's seem... (I think some sales are made to theater that simply do not has a know location to be shown, maybe Hawaii, Alaska, PR, etc....), yep seem to be it, we could use all the sales including those outside US mainland if we want.

Hum with homecoming at #7, one of those seven should normally not make it: Beauty Despicable me 3 Jumanji It Star wars ------ Fast and furious Wonder Woman FF ?

Not sure, around how long it take for that and what happen on "reset" ? Could test it, to see if the array is cleaned or if it is just the array of pics.

Would people be piss or happy to learn that you do not have to do it by hands ? Pulse 14 minutes and 58 seconds: All Avengers: 142 All Black Panther: 127 I Can Only Imagine : 102 Tomb Raider: 84 Pacific Rim: 80 All Wrinkle: 67 Love Simon: 60 Ready player One: 28 Red Sparrow: 26 Game Night: 24 Annihilation: 21 Death Wish: 19 Paul, Apostle of Christ : 19 Sherlock: 14 Isle of Dog: 11 7 Days in Entebbe: 10 Unsane: 10 Stranger Prey: 9 midnight sun: 6 Gringo: 5 Hurricane heist: 2

2 days in a row below Tomorrowland now for Wrinkle with more than 3M behind, 90M could be hard I imagine Eastern weekend will be very important (WiT monday drop was really intense).

10M would be better than Ghost in a shell hold, Ghost dropped by 61% is first weekend, a similar drop would be a 9.25m second weekend for TR or so.

-56.6% second weekend drop is not bad for a franchise movie with a 3.4M preview (real FSS drop of 53%) but not particularly good either, it finished just above a 2.55x multi (61M for TR) A similar weekend Kingsman drop would have TR at 10.28m (a similar FSS drop would have it at 10.15m, close to Wrath 10m prediction)

Yes, 2.72 would be a 47-48% jump You can look a couple of tuesday to have a feel what the average rebate tuesday boost look like, 47-48 is in the higher range: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-03-13&view=1day&p=.htm http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-03-06&view=1day&p=.htm http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2018-02-27&view=1day&p=.htm Ghost had a 45.2% jump in comparison last year.

Would not surprise me that they would have wanted that full Netflix exclusive (and maybe Rudin or someone that needed to sign off on it didn't) That a good question about intl screen test, a quick search and it seem that some local distributing arm do screen test dubbed/subtitle version in their respective market to decide if it is worth it to spend a lot on marketing: Sony leaked e-mail talking the movie Fury (the Ayer Brad Pitt one): Abe, Okay, looks like we’re set….we’ll test the film in Russia with a simultaneous translator, but forego the screening in France, and concentrate on focus groups. Is there another market we want to consider testing in, or just leave it at that? Best, Nigel Do we want to go forward with a recruited screening in France with a subtitled print in early September – previously we had anticipated late September for this screening – or go with the idea of testing material in focus groups? An email from Eric is below….he is obviously questioning the merit of a recruited screening. Does testing a subtitled print allow for a true read on reactions and a comparison to norms, given that the French audience is more used to seeing dubbed features? Dear Nigel, I know I was fine yesterday about a test screening in France, but, the more I think, the more I wonder how the conclusions of the test will help us to adapt our strategy on the movie, knowing that we open Oct 22 and that a big part of our campaign (postering in particular) will be have to be committed before the test screening. Sharri, If the results of the recruited screening make us more bullish about our spend in Germany, would there be sufficient time to up-weight their campaign? After a couple more search do seem common to do so yes in UK, France, Russia, Germany, Japan type of markets, for example comedies will tests the dubbed joke translation and adjust them.

Without knowing Netflix offer details here it can be a bit of an empty speculation, if they offered a 25-30M regardless of the domestic perf or something like that while having a major financier not having any faith on the project pushing that optin, could have been too good to pass. Blade Runner did a good average release 35/65 yes, Arrival did a mediocre 50/50 domestic/oversea split, but was a bit more "America point of view" than this one. Ex Machina from the same director and distributed oversea by UPI (paramount-universal parternship world distribution arm that would have distributed this) did terrible with a 70/30 split and many Sci-fi that are not space adventure/no huge draw in the lead role often do not do particularly well oversea (District 9, Her, Under the Skin even Ender Game)

Probably in part because they will have a bottom 5, but also they put less and less effort into it, look like..... They now have 9 lines of evaluated numbers in them (including the rental were they seem to use some rough (dom, intl, china) not even by market breakdown retention rate). For the year 2014 they had around 22 lines.... http://deadline.com/2015/03/transformers-age-of-extinction-profit-box-office-2014-1201391233/ Home ent breakdown, ppv/vod- pay/network /syndication/foreign TV went away, merchandise, pre-sales, releasing cost breakdown and so on. I imagine they saw over the year people purely wanted a ranking, a number, the tops one and didn't care at all if they were true or not. Would have been nice to have a SVOD (or pay tv) now to have an idea of deadline estimate. about what the netflix/amazon and co. size of the revenus pi, according to the sony leak it did look to be around $14m for 42 months of the US netflix rights for the 100m+ type studio movies, wonder what it would look like today, 3-4 year's later and worldwide.

Really doubt that it is over Thor 3 / Guardian 2, Spielberg, Bay, Hasbro and co. deal on those are quite good (Paramount give something like 25% of the gross or something like that). With only 7 title left you need to put in there: For sure beauty Despicable me 3 Jumanji It Star wars And before a Transformer 5 Fast and furious HomeComing Wonder Woman That is already 8 of them, a bit surprised Thor is above any of those but Fast 8 talent deal could be insane at this point.

Didn't she just made like 625k on that All the money in the world movie ? https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/sharing-salaries-how-actresses-are-fighting-hollywoods-gender-pay-disparity-transparency-1075132 Looking at her IMDB quite the long list of studio movies there (she has been in at least 10 MPAA studio movies), she must be quite rich.

One difference versus most is the "villain" and is motivation's, it was a really good one (enough to debate who are the villain really here) and even if it is a bit played easy and cheating a bit, quite a difficult setup to land for the hero side (they are really bad guys themselve) Sadly the movie really take is time before getting started and require for the audience to be in awe to the world presented to not be lost before that time and that aspect I would imagine work more often to the american audience than for some others.

I imagine that was a more general statement, but that was an indie co-French production and not a MPAA studio no ?

Couple of possible reason 1) How good those are in average could be a reason why, their direct competition are those 200m Disney/Pixar ultra high quality movies and the 100m still good one from the others and those are easier to translate/sell all around the world. 2) Non family movies became family movies, most marvel movies, Potter series, some star wars and so on tend to interest and be watched by 6 year's old and up, also hard to compete with those 200/300m movie for purer family movie.

Probably a good comp to use to have some idea yes, being both late March release separated by just one year, with some franchise boosting the Opening day factor and so on. TR Monday hold is a tiny bit better and Ghost was following a worst Sunday hold, Ghost monday was 19.8% of is Saturday, TR monday if estimate hold is 21.2% of is Saturday. Very small sample size obviously, but there is sign's that TR should do better than Ghost 2.17x when looking to those first 3 days holds.