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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. Comparing a family musical opening that had an A cinemascore around Christmas to a super well established fatigued franchise entry, already well into it's regular release in some markets, with a B+ cinemascore and a around sound that it is matching it's trailer at best do sound flawed in many way. A super good legs story would be something like the Maleficent sequel just achieved to do.
  2. Production Companies Twentieth Century Fox (presents) Bad Hat Harry Productions Donners' Company Kinberg Genre Marvel Entertainment (in association with) TSG Entertainment (in association with) James Cameron production are not known to be particularly on the cheap side, they sound quite possible to be true numbers.
  3. Not sure how important is the quantity of those movies, but how much and how far in advance the best weekends they gets living little place for something else on them, how many of the best screen they get (apparently in some market they monopolize the complete exhibition industry, over 90% of the screen or so the OW), how big of a footprint in marketing / product placement they get (in the past an "original movie" like twister/Independence Day could get to be the movie of the summer everywhere on cereal box and so on, not sure if this is still possible) and how big their budget get (competing with 300-400M movies and half a billion global marketing affair is hard to do). And how much does the industry is built to sell those, from what the movie theater look like, to what they push (specially Worldwide).
  4. That weak domestic relative to the budget is really hard to come back from, considering the price tag rumored to be significantly above After Earth $148M budget, it does seem headed to a very similar performance to that one. After Earth lost $62.52M with no one having pre break even bonus of any kind.
  5. Iñárritu comment's back in the day got really a lot of attention (he was winning plenty of Oscar and Birdman was related in a sense), the language he used helped as well, a bit similar to Scorsese.
  6. There is rumors of a small-medium budget (100-110M), smaller than Elysium, that they do not go big budget on it, with how big the franchise name is, the expected quality, the intl nature of the genre/franchise, large assemble cast filled with names, etc.... I can see this do a bit better than BR 2049 $260M and at that price tag that would not be a bomb at all. It would not be a big surprise if they go R, considering that Villeneuve said: “Most of the main ideas of Star Wars are coming from Dune so it’s going to be a challenge to [tackle] this,” the French-Canadian director says. “The ambition is to do the Star Wars movie I never saw. In a way, it’s Star Wars for adults. We’ll see.”
  7. Not sure how screenwriter talking about their work changed in the final product would create the narrative that the final film is completely attributable to screenwriter, instead of putting a light to the exact opposite ?
  8. ? Is that true ? The HG-Twilight, 50 shades fault in our stars big pre-sellers ? https://ew.com/article/2009/11/19/new-moon-ticket-pre-sales-breaking-records/ https://wegotthiscovered.com/movies/fifty-shades-grey-fastest-selling-rrated-movie-fandango-history/ https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2012/03/20/hunger-games-tickets-pre-sale-reviews_n_1368134.html?ri18n=true https://time.com/2819213/the-fault-in-our-stars-sales-records/
  9. It does seem to be holding really well, I was expecting a 65% retention rate, so yes I would agree that a 71-74% would be really good.
  10. Outside an MCU R-rated affair (or any of the rumored r-rated DC release), - An R-rated Matrix 4 if it happen - Mel Gibson: The Passion of the Christ: Resurrection
  11. It could get excluded by now of 2d release with a search because of the 3d re-release, but Titanic must have done around the double of that that in is first run.
  12. $40M (or anything significantly above Genesys) always sounded a bit out of nowhere to me.
  13. Considering how vast the offer for each channel is (not much if any specialization yet outside one horror and religious one) and the price point, it is quite the in between of the 2. I feel like at the end for American's it will be much more content, better interface/access to it at maybe a better price before amortizing Internet into it, about the same after (if not higher) For the rest of the world that was not used to USA TV pricing/quantity, it will be incredibly more content at a much higher price.
  14. It is not like it (combined with urban sprawling) didn't came somewhat close too: The number Movie theater went from in average over 1 time a week, to a bit less than 4 time a year now, the TV apparition impact on the movie theater industries was really giant in the 50s/60s (weekly attendance dropped from 80 million in 1940 and 90 million in 1946 to 60 million in 1950 and 40 million in 1960, despite a demography explosion). It is really possible that TV is pretty much all that matter in change, nothing since moved it much, would it be live TV, VHS tv, more convenient on demand tv, etc.... One possible scenario with digital hub, is a winner take all become way more possible (almost no one use the second best service after youtube and so on), content exclusivity will fight it for a long time, will see if it will hold up. How much feature length content is a vestige of how movie had to be played back in the days and will survive, again will see.
  15. I feel like if something would not work has an audiobook/pure read, it start to got out of being literature.
  16. Will need for all the already signed current deal (Wizardry world in part of all is to universal until 2025) to see how it really shake down I feel like. Some jurisdiction could be different.
  17. Clickbait and people should point to the actual article instead of a website stealing content without even having the common decency to linking who they are stealing from: https://collider.com/james-cameron-terminator-dark-fate-interview/
  18. That not the story people that made tv show for him in interviews tell from what I remember of them, apparently he is some genius at it. Didn't we get some Will Smith story about getting a call from Spielberg himself pitching him Men In Black lead role ? https://www.mercurynews.com/2015/06/16/when-steven-spielberg-called-colin-trevorrow-answered/ https://www.theverge.com/2015/6/12/8741981/jurassic-world-director-colin-trevorrow-interview I feel like it is a great privilege to write a screenplay based on a story by Steven Spielberg. These are his ideas; this idea of having a park that’s functional, and having a raptor trainer who is trying to communicate with those animals, and then having this genetically modified dinosaur that breaks loose. Those three pillars came from his mind, and they’re so rich and they have so much room to build something creatively around them that I couldn’t help myself. Yes, I had to go into that world; I had to do it. This is based on what ?
  19. It is dead I think, at least for now ?, current member will have a free upgrade to Max. They will probably launch a cheaper option later on (plan for an ad supported tier)
  20. In North America I feel it had a good budget (or by watching sports event I was in a special target demo for it ?, but live sport is probably by far the most expensive and best place to sell this): It is around the top of those for a while: https://variety.com/2019/digital/news/terminator-dark-fate-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1203378735/ https://variety.com/2019/digital/news/the-addams-family-terminator-dark-fate-top-studios-tv-ad-spending-1203370947/ Rest of the world is a Fox release (so I imagine Disney now...?) from an old Fox contract, could be different.
  21. In my screening there was a good proportion, but were i am from it is rated only 13+ and there is not really that concept of movies being dangerous to kids as a degree comparable to the anglo-saxon (a bit more like france were it is rated only 12). According to deadline second weekend looked like this, quadrant wise. All the factors–comic book movie, great reviews and solid exits–are putting this film higher. We’re hearing that different generations are connecting with this movie for various movies. It was never meant to be a four-quad movie, but it’s pretty much turning into one, with second weekend PostTrak demos seeing men over 25 at 37%, men under 25 at 25%, women over 25 at 25% and females under 25 at 12%. On opening night the under 17 were 8% of the audience according to posttrack.
  22. Usually theater if they do not let kid in will let accompanied by an adult kids in. The rare NC-17 is when they cannot get in with their parents.
  23. Well yes but under the previous paradigm we would have heard of a much smaller price for the rights but something like 7.5% of the lifetime show revenues would have been included over time into that number without us knowing about it. They bought a minimum of 5 seasons apparently and I imagine with the possibility of doing more, that at max 50M a season (2.5M an episode for S1 less than having some pair of big actor appearing on some big tv show type of deal and arguably the franchise is bigger than any pair of actor that would accept to be on tv), if they would have bought it 5M + 7.5% instead, that is them estimating being able to generate 600M of revenues by a season of 20 episodes, considering how much they are spending outside the rights and I imagine that is something that could be a value number they have in mind for such a flagship affair. If it end up a billion dollar affair for 100 episode of a flag ship Lord of the Rings series, with the international reach that something like would have, 10M an episode would not be bad at all for a big production large scale series, now if it fail it would be an enormously costly failure, but the hail Mary sound at an price that make sense here.
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