Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Soul flat at ~35k. For Wed, Soul CGV PS at 5.6k. Expecting another 35k or so day, but PSm’s can be a bit harder to predict on Wed as other movies open. DS CGV PS unfortunately not showing, which happens sometimes on ODs.
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Depends what you want to measure I guess. But I would say, if you want to know about the viewer experience of the first couple episodes, the ratings of the first couple episodes do a good job of that. If you want to know about the viewer experience of the whole season/show, the whole season rating does not do a good job of that, because it’s skewed to the first couple episodes. This is a more general issue with IMDb for shows (and other review sites like letterboxd, rotten tomatoes, etc) that mirrors the issue with the RT critic score, where the season score is really more of a “first couple episodes” score. If the first couple eps are close to the season avg, as they usually are, then the discrepancy doesn’t really matter. But if they’re way below (or way above) then the season score just doesn’t give you a good idea of how the season was actually received. I think the IQM actually does a good job of solving that for any show. On the other hand, functionally, the finale is often what sticks in people’s mind and colors their impressions of their whole thing the most. So maybe some blend of a truncated mean and the peak-end rule would give the best overall idea 🤷♂️
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The overall show rating will be pretty useless imo. Despite ticking up a bit, it’s heavily weighted down by the first 2-3 eps when that won’t really reflect how people feel about the show overall. Avg of eps 4-9mor something is probably a better picture. Or median episode rating, or interquartile mean, or whatever.
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Taiwan Box Office Thread.
Cooper Legion replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
And that makes 9th easy. I hope it doesn’t settle exactly between IW and F8. -
The Croods: A New Age | Nov 25, 2020 | RIP Cloris Leachman
Cooper Legion replied to CJohn's topic in Box Office Discussion
This is very real. Gut and head now in agreement — this is slightly favored to take out Tenet domestically. -
No, about 50%.
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Yeah, I think there were some sales missing from the Sat PS reported, since that big boost was quite out of the norm and hasn’t been replicated. Sun PSm of 2.38 takes it to 57k 23:20, 112k day, -10% weekly. For a weekend of 277k, -9%. DS just 36k. PS at the non-mega box chains are building up at least but looks like this will be a pretty modest territory for it. Mon PS suggesting about a 32k day. Based on Imbruglia’s post on Feb my personal expectation is for Soul to leg very nicely from here, but not sure it can pass 2M/Tenet.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
3rd place just 5.7M is pretty weird. -
Same Day sales were actually better than last Sat to take it to 61k at 23:20. 51.7% CGV leads to an 118k day, -10% weekly. DS bumps to just 44k for a 170k cume, no longer expecting too much from it but we’ll see how the expansion to other chains goes on Wednesday. Sun PS flat at 24k. 2nd Sat had a very similar PSm to TLK’s, if 2nd Sun follows suit would be x2.65 for final CGV 64k and a day around 123k. However, their was an anomalously large bump from PS to 9:20 yesterday (24 to 30, +25%) that I’m not sure will be replicated today. Out of caution going to officially project 116.
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PSm actually increased slightly, 2.6. 46.6k day, -2.4% weekly DS still in 2nd, but dropped 15% from Thurs for a 23k day. May be a case where the hardcore fans of the anime rushed to see it and love it, but doesn’t gain longevity by penetrating into the GA much. For Sat the CGV PS are 24k. Thinking same-day sales about 2.1x Fri for 31-32, 23:20 of ~55.5, CGV% around 50.5% for a 110k day (-15% weekly). Early forecast about 260k wknd, 860k cume. 2nd weekend multi of IO and Coco are nearly identical and would take it to 1.65M from there, but thinking it can leg a bit better than that personally.
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PSm stayed a bit over 2.5, 38k day. Pretty solid, down just 39% from Culture day and about 11% weekly. DS D2 drops a lot more than Soul D9, 2nd palace today with 27k. Soul now has a slight lead in overall PS which are, imo, suggesting a roughly flat or maybe slightly increased weekend, but we’ll see how CGV comes in for Friday. CGV PS for Fri come in 9.26k. Thinking PSm drops to about 2.45 for a roughly 44k day.
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Soul CGV ended at 33k exactly as predicted, CGV % rose just slightly to 52.4% for a 63k day. DS is barely in 1st place with an OD of 66.5k. Reception on naver and megabox seems very good, no CGV egg until next week of course. For Thurs, Soul PS are 7.9k. Guessing PSm drops to 2.4 or so for a 36k day.