Cooper Legion
Gold Account-
Posts
23,016 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
17
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Everything posted by Cooper Legion
-
Yeah, plus Taiwan which actually opened pretty well. Yes, but the drops of ~67% and ~50% are still pretty brutal. Not to mention that as the least covid impacted markets right now, a film’s performance in those regions is of unusual importance. However, this is ultimately a loss leader for Max subs. That’s where WB’s evaluation of its performance will live or die, I guess.
-
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
The OD presales included some fake sales, but they decreased as a % as real sales grew (as normal). Sat and Sun didn’t have fake sales in the first place and had been showing it as near WW84, so with the difference in reception it’s no surprise that the Rescue won handily. -
WONDER WOMAN 1984 - JUNE 5, 2020
Cooper Legion replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
Bolded was just my trademark optimism coming in to play I see. This “covid Xmas” release was really something. I knew it was gonna be rough the second they announced it, but this is something else. -
I get that people aren’t going to theaters during the pandemic. I get it very much, I have been super pessimistic about short term prospects for BO all year long, and rightly so. I am still very pessimistic about short- term prospects for BO. But the pandemic isn’t forever. Despite the terrible next 2-3 months we’re likely in for, a rational look at the epidemiology of it all suggests quite clearly that this will be the final big wave because of natural+artificial immunity curves. June will be a completely different ballgame. No one can say for sure how people will act afterwards, but there is a lot of good evidence from history, other countries, and even Americans’ behavior during pandemic that consumer engagement in physical social activities will snap back very robustly, perhaps even with a degree of overcompensation.
-
WONDER WOMAN 1984 - JUNE 5, 2020
Cooper Legion replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
Doubt it hits 20M China+Japan this weekend. Overall OS probably more in the ballpark of 35 is my guess. -
Who cares? With decent screen management theaters can earn basically normal grosses with 50% capacity. Depending on the speed of recovery that will be possible everywhere April-June or so. In a well-functioning society, Congress, but that may depend on what goes down on Jan 5. If Congress doesn’t do the right thing (hardly unprecedented) then chains will continue to accumulate debt and try to arrange financing to bridge them through the next couple months. Some of them may fail, in which case they will go bankrupt and the venues will come under new ownership.
-
The Suicide Squad slot is now open, worked out pretty well for GOtG1. I think if the recovery isn’t looking good in Feb/Mar-ish the logical movie is BW to June and Shang-Chi to August. Honestly though I would pay more attention to the China summer schedule than the domestic one if I was dating this.