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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Elaboration: in the week before this releases, ~20-25k people will die of covid in the US. Theaters will, for the most part, not be open. And even where they are, people streaming it further cuts into business.
  2. Cooper Legion
    I’ll take 1-4M OW, leg out to teens total.
  3. Cooper Legion
    16 3-day should take it over 250 when the weekdays adjust up.
  4. Cooper Legion
    December will bring no relief from Hollywood unfortunately. Will have to rely on locals or other APAC releases for another 4+ months.
  5. Cooper Legion
    Locked is a stupid term to begin with. It’s not even *100%* locked to pass Frozen — what if Japan sinks into the seas tomorrow? But barring some really crazy act of god, yes, it’s going to pass Spirited Away.
  6. Cooper Legion
    Yeah, I initially typed it as WTF and then decided to add the “h” to break it up a bit 🤣
  7. Cooper Legion
    Still some promotional giveaways on Monday, think they will be out by Wednesday so WThF should give a more pure idea of weekly drop.
  8. Cooper Legion
    Strong hold. 33%s from here would be 600 finish, nearing top 10. Highest non-HW takes just 530->42% drops, looking pretty good.
  9. Cooper Legion
    The 1st, 2nd, and 3rd weekends were more impressive than this one. It’s gonna take #1 gross and #1 admits, probably #1 movie WW of 2020. Relly super crazy bonkers insane stuff.
  10. Cooper Legion
    Evidently I thought the following before covid: That was with the Feb 2021 date. My no covid prediction with the current schedule would be 110/330/600
  11. Cooper Legion
    Minions 180, Shang-Chi 260 (factoring in some small lingering issues with covid and possibly some chains going bankrupt into each).
  12. Cooper Legion
    Yes. It’s been holding great, so this is still very doable. I expect higher, but it depends a lot how much business it can retain heading into the extended holiday period this year.
  13. Cooper Legion
    No. At this point it seems like only Marvel Studios productions are in the MCU — though various Marvel projects not from Marvel Studios May end up as part of the Marvel Cinematic Multiverse
  14. Cooper Legion
    There’s been a lot of discussion on KJ about how last Friday May have been underestimated because of some software funkiness. I think Corpse will revise its estimate upward to more like ¥320M
  15. Cooper Legion
    And then some summer movies move into fall, winter, 2022. It’s the circle of covid.
  16. Cooper Legion
    Okay, let’s try this again: ¥1.6B
  17. Cooper Legion
    10 more days of covid data and this will be dated for June. Book it.
  18. Cooper Legion
    I really don’t think that giving this the Soul treatment makes any financial sense for WB. Still strongly expect it will move to March-ish (and then later to June).
  19. Cooper Legion
    I think this is way off. These shows aren’t an end to themselves. Of course ultimately the point of the expenditure on them is to get Disney money (in large part by driving D+ subscriptions) the overall strategy is bigger than any one show — it’s to contribute to the MCU as a whole. And because Marvel has an almost infinitely deep character roster, they don’t have to cling to popular characters forever and can retire them when they feel it serves the overall narrative (e.g. Iron Man and Cap in Endgame). Some of these series may end up with a bunch of seasons if that’s what makes sense, but they won’t force more seasons of a show just because it was super popular if it doesn’t make sense for the grander plan. Same reason we never got Iron Man 4.
  20. Cooper Legion
    When we went to sleep on trailer day, 2020 had a clear lead. Now, weeks later, they try to tell us 2021 won? This hasn’t been certified by the state legislatures yet — I demand a RECOUNT!!!
  21. Cooper Legion
    Nooooooooooooooooooo I was told 2020. Over and over again, I was told 2020. I have been lied to 😡😡😡😡😡
  22. Cooper Legion
    I’ll take ¥1.45B
  23. Cooper Legion
    Then maybe 375 or so after Sun? 40% drops from there would be 525. Still very competitive for top nonHW.
  24. Cooper Legion
    So the Mon-Sun week was about 160, continued 33% drops from there will get it to ~600m. Not sure how Taiwan legs usually are but still seems like it’s gunning for a shockingly high finish on the overall Taiwan charts to me. For instance, passing 530 would make it the biggest nonHW in the market.
  25. Cooper Legion
    Was this weekend a holiday or something? Forget beating other Japanese movies in the market, adding 3.25 that weekend will get it in the market’s overall top 10 👀
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