Cooper Legion

Well a few days ago Deadline was on: 50-55 DOM 60-70 OS Now Deadline OS OW estimates are a bit... so-so. It’s possible that a well-informed range at the time would have been 80-90, and so even coming in below with like 65 locks up a global 100. But their range could be too high too, in which case 100 would be a goner. If we take their ranges as is, then I think it’s quite possible for DOM to do just ~40 (5x8 or 4.7x8.5 or smth). Then OS could come in just 5% below the deadline low end vs 20% DOM and we’d be missing 100M global open. Another way to look at it is that Shazam opened to 71M OS-C-J, so being 20% below that across the board would be 57M, puts 100 WW in some jeopardy.

I mean, I do still think this is more likely than not, but... far from assured.

Lol, my last post was from before I saw the mod warning, came here to delete it but I guess it’s been taken care of already. Anyway, on topic, 20% below Shazam in the Paris early numbers isn’t encouraging, but you can also see that the Paris early:final run correlation isn’t that strong for DCEU. Hopefully full OD makes some ground up.

I really wanna see Harley and Ivy on the big screen, if that got affected it would be a major bummer. My “Wednesday of release week” radar is starting to feel like 100 DOM and 150 OS could be incoming... but I was nervous about Jumanji too, so this could end up similar with 160+240 or something, which would be A-okay for the budget.

Looks like high 30s for today or so. KOBIS PS not painting a great picture for FSS

30% the level and 25% the pace would point around 4M previews or below. Of course looking at several days of MTC1+MTC2 will give better results than a single day of MTC2, so still thinking about 5M.

Shazam rated for 12+, Birds 15+.

Yup Nope

Some actual OD data out of SK, not looking pretty. Final PS were 2/3rd Shazam. OD will be about 2/3rd as well. Egg is a quite bad 82% at the moment, has been headed down from the first ratings. $3-$5M likely vs $5 for Shazam

Damn, down to 82% egg now. I wonder if it can even get to half of 1m.

Seems like a bit of a lackluster Tues, but I have to admit I’ve often skimmed the exact details and daily gains in the past. Are you still thinking 5-6.3 or so from the national view?

Final PS of 35k were about 2/3rds Shazam’s. OD trending for a bit worse than that. 84% Egg is pretty bad. Below 1M admit quite likely, maybe O/U Shazam’s $5M.

Should be easily over F1 admits though, considering ERs and Japan ATP vs China ATP. That’s no easy feat for an animated sequel to a breakout.

No chance of getting within 10M.

Brb, updating

Wow, Gentlemen and Knives got well and truly gutted by the SuperBowl. Those Sundays are down like 33% vs estimates. Rhythm Section is making top 10 unfortunately, and just 9 consecutive top 10s for KO instead of 11.

Hey, China’s taste in CBMs can be... unpredictable Hellboy is coming for that 400M WW

Hellboy

This will be the 3rd year in a row where the 2nd biggest Dec movie is 55-65% the biggest (Jum/TLJ, Spiderverse/AQM, TNL/TROS).

So TS3 added 5M over the course of 9 years huh? Guess that’s believable.

Done deal. It could make $0 on Sonic’s opening week and it’d still be over 300M.

Check out the first couple pages of the thread

If Rhythm Section can go under KO, it will be the first super saturated debut outside the top 10 in history.

Amazing performance, this OW record will last much longer than Endgame! just 50k above KO in estimate, really hope it can debut outside the top 10.

How many openers next week? Any chance for KO and F2 to rack up another top 10 by beating Heinzels and Countdown?