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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Movie ; 12:20 ; 16:20 ; projected final CGV ; projected admits (daily change) EXIT 71 ; 120 ; 178 ; 376k (-10%) TDF 12 ; 22 ; 34 ; 83k (-15%) SLOP2 15 ; 21 ; 24 ; 51k (-4%) Aladdin 13 ; 18 ; 23 ; 40k (-4%)
  2. We should have an announcement about what IMAX is doing end of the month sometime in the next week.
  3. The June Pixar movie always expands, but in 2012 they added more theaters for The Avengers than the June Pixar. Plenty of years see two large LD expansions, and the non-Pixar selection for this year isn’t completely obvious. Also it’s not like they’ve had any real options other than the June Pixar since 2012, so I’m not sure if observing that they’ve always picked it really predicts that much.
  4. Endgame is 5, yeah. Aladdin will end up at least 8th or so depending on how it can hold from here. Before EXIT I was dreaming of #3 but #5 would require a best-case scenario now.
  5. Now that the “actors can play more than one character in the MCU” is in full effect, how long until they cast RDJ for Kang or something 🤔
  6. Lol, bit of an actuals reporting clusterF with Disney today. With actual actual actuals, it seems like Aladdin is back down below Rambo First Blood Part II: Chapter III: Verse IV: Draft V
  7. Only needed 857 for 2.4, right? It’s now above average legs for MCU 150M+ OWers in that calendar a lot 😛
  8. 82nd best 11th weekend. Looks like it will just fall out of the top 100 on the 12th weekends, the last that BOM tracks.
  9. Aug 05, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 EXIT South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $2,727,158 ($23,073,190) 415,323 (3,370,805) 1,511 59.67% 2 The Divine Fury South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $627,519 ($8,206,459) 96,417 (1,261,367) 1,011 13.73% 3 The Secret Life of Pets 2 U.S. Jul 31, 2019 $326,533 ($4,324,063) 52,628 (690,904) 773 7.14% 4 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $272,203 ($85,988,394) 41,302 (12,272,662) 658 5.95% 5 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $270,952 ($32,794,739) 41,009 (4,541,855) 776 5.92% This is the last day I’m keeping track of TLK. Tues PS: EXIT 36 TDF 5903 SLOP2 8200 Aladdin 7336 Exit will make a run at 400k+ again today. Aladdin and TDF just hoping to stay flat.
  10. TLK DOM+TLK DOM+TLK WW will just about do the trick
  11. 12:20 ; 16:20 ; projected final ; projected admits EXIT 72 ; 130 ; 200 ; 425k (-45%) TDF 13 ; 25 ; 42 ; 105k (-48%) SLoP2 15 ; 22 ; 25 ; 55k (-50%) TLK 11 ; 16 ; 21 ; 45k (-49%) Aladdin 13 ; 19 ; 25 ; 42k (-42%) Exit is having a crazy Monday 😮 Maybe it won’t actually be able to have that strong a night, but even still!
  12. How many teams are there usually? If more than 2 I don't understand the difference between finishing first and being officially safe vs finishing in the middle (in which case it seems like that team would still be safe for that week by virtue of not being the lowest)?
  13. Thanks for the explanation, I had no clue what this actually entailed. I'm IN, let's turn some legs to jelly 😎
  14. The Blair Witch Project did 250M WW on a 60k budget iirc, so the ratio should be just insane. For movies with a budget of at least a certain size, would not be that surprised if Ne Zha had the best ROI.
  15. 2019 will put 8 movies in the WW top 45 (probably top 40). Comparison to past years: 2018 5 (5) 2017 5 (5) 2016 5 (5) 2015 7 (6) 2014 2 (2) yikes! 2013 5 (5) 2012 6 (6) TASM 46th 2011 4 (3) 2010 6 (5) 2009 7 (7) 2008 6 (4) 2007 7 (6) 2006 5 (5) 2005 6 (6) 2004 8 (8) 2003 6 (5) 2002 6 (4) 2001 7 (7) 2000 4 (3) So it’s pretty typical to get 5-7 movies per year in the top 45. From now on that will mean 1B+, not too far from now it will mean 1.2B+. Basic billie inflation, won’t be long before we’ve got over 75 and we’re averaging double digits a year. 2019 does still stick out as being above historical norms, with a single year making up 20% of the top 40 not having happened since 2004 (Shrek 2, Azkaban, SM2, The Incredibles, Passion of the Christ, The Day After Tomorrow, Meet The Fockers, and Troy). In fact those 8 all managed to make it into the top 35, we’ll see if 2019 can manage the same.
  16. If NDT has a history of insensitive statements on this topic that I’m unaware of, that could color things in a different light. But comparing the reaction to today’s tweet in a vacuum, it’s kind of perplexing.
  17. What was insensitive about it? I just see a bunch of people online getting outraged about it but when I went to read the actually tweet it was like... what? There’s not actually anything offensive here, he was just trying to draw attention to other, often overlooked despite being more impactful, forms of death.
  18. I know, but that’s not really related to my point. Does the US have way too many gun deaths? Absolutely yes. Is this a problem which could be ameliorated with basic steps that I support, which have gone tragically untaken for decades despite being pretty obvious? Also yes. Is that a good reason to drag somebody for pointing out, correctly and without any obvious malicious intent, that mass shootings are a tiny portion of both gun and overall death in the US? No.
  19. Kind of depressing to see so much hate for Neil bringing up a good reminder (though the 500 statistic is from a faulty study iirc, so using that was pretty bad). Dramatic but relatively low volume methods of death receive so much more attention than “boring” methods of death that actually kill far more people, cause far more grieving families, etc. If we had some kind of magic “fix all problems” wand to wave around, of course we would want to prevent every single form of death mentioned in that tweet. I completely support much stricter gun control, and TBH would just delete the 2nd amendment entirely if I had that power and bring gun regulations up to the strictest among the developed world. The NRA sickens me. But practically speaking it’s just a fact that you’d save more lives by reducing US motor vehicle fatalities by 5% per year than completely eliminating mass shootings. I can’t help but wonder how many lives could have been saved just since I was born if people focused more on the common causes of death than the flashy ones.
  20. So it looked at the two big TLK clubs and said, “eh, lemme just split the difference.”
  21. The top 3 is cleansed at last: 1 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $1,263.5 $504.0 39.9% $759.5 60.1% 2017 2 The Lion King (2019) BV $1,195.8 $430.9 36% $764.9 64% 2019 3 Aladdin (2019) BV $1,025.6 $350.4 34.2% $675.2 65.8% 2019 4 Alice in Wonderland (2010) BV $1,025.5 $334.2 32.6% $691.3 67.4% 2010
  22. Pretty close, pretty close. 4 of those will adjust closer to my estimates, SLOP2 just moving farther away. Mon PS: EXIT 34k TDF 6019 Slop2 7173 TLK 5439 Aladdin 7388 Aladdin looking to have a soft drop from Mon, but still its first sub 50k day. With a roughly 35% lead on TLK in PS I think it will finally come in 4th today.
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