Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Yeah, that’s exactly what I was trying to say, just put better 😛 It’s part of that movie pattern where it drifts on for a bit being crazy, but that sort of thing has to come to an end eventually, and often does so abruptly — but trying to pick out in advance what day normalization will occur is a fool’s errand. We’ll just have to be patient, but the floor creeps up a bit each day without a sign of normalization.
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With SMH’s daily multiplier FFH would get to 405M and be the #1 Sony movie
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Well today was a valuable learning experience for me. Next Culture Day should run a bit more smoothly. Jul 31, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 EXIT South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $2,603,021 ($2,858,603) 478,744 (517,963) 1,314 36.27% 2 The Divine Fury South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $1,939,311 ($2,136,481) 372,389 (398,610) 1,394 27.02% 3 The Secret Life of Pets 2 U.S. Jul 31, 2019 $969,827 ($1,009,833) 175,679 (181,217) 806 13.51% 4 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $680,634 ($30,882,189) 125,432 (4,141,160) 759 9.48% 5 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $456,717 ($85,923,223) 79,901 (11,935,141) 563 6.36% 6 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $222,817 ($2,376,463) 37,400 (362,469) 420 3.1% 7 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $102,406 ($6,281,492) 20,103 (900,154) 395 1.42% 8 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $61,413 ($57,892,266) 10,909 (7,959,714) 179 0.85% The openers did hit over 1M between them, Aladdin and TLK down by some -15%, and other holdovers got absolutely hammered. Discount tickets just can’t compensate for this degree of new competition. Thu PS Aladdin and TLK both 15k. Normally that would portend something like 95k admits, but if same-day business is as low a % of PS as today would be more like 55k. Not sure what to expect there, but the next 5 days or so are critical in its quest for #2 or #1 HW rank.
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I think the summer of dissapointing non-Disney made sequels will end, fittingly, with yet another random poorly reviewed action sequel disappointing domestically and abroad. If this did low 100s DOM, low 100s China, like 250 OS-C I wouldn’t be particularly shocked. That’s not a prediction, just a pessimistic scenario.
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Big time underestimated their impact, 😅. The 3 big openers may well crack 1M admits combined today. Culture day is insulating the hit a bit, but it seems like tomorrow and the weekend could be brutal for the holdovers. Current CGV egg: EXIT 96 The Divine Fury 88 SLOP2 97 12:20 - 16:20 - projected final CGV EXIT 119 ; 172 ; 225-238 The Divine Fury 89 ; 119 ; 149-156 SLOP2 60 ; 75 ; 90-94 TLK 43 ; 53 ; 63-67 Aladdin 33 ; 40 ; 47-49 I’d guess upper end of those ranges for openers (especially SLOP) and lower end for holdovers (so roughly -6% from yesterday for Aladdin and -13% TLK), but it’s also possible that Culture Day changes the afternoon vs night balance entirely 🤷♂️
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And so ends the 500k+ streak. 66 days, ties BP for 4th place among 2010s films.
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I mean... no, though. It’ll probably be closer to 700, but if it’s closer to 400M it’ll be by like a dozen mil.
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This is what I use http://m.cgv.co.kr/
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CGV Egg is the CGV audience rating metric. Somewhat like Maoyan, RT audience, etc. For just a brief amount of context from recent movies: Aladdin 98 TS4 98 Endgame 97 FFH 96 Parasite 94 TLK 92 So EXIT’s score is pretty good, but the movies opening today are all based on a pretty small sample still and could move around a bit.