Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Crazy market right now. So many people, so much new theater going. Watch Black Widow get 3rd biggest OW of all time or something 😆
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Strange day. Could miss 30 if it doesn’t rebound. -
Geo is usually serious, but rarely to be taken seriously. Of course there is a small chance that it could level off despite July competition starting and hit 130.
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Poor IM3, top 5 just 15 months ago, now in danger of being pushed out of the top 10 this year.
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Multiverse was alluded to in Doctor Strange, but the part about the snaps tearing a hole betweeen realities looks to have been pure Mysterio BS.
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I wish Disney would just dispense with these half measures and estimate a negative weekend for once. Would be fun.
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Mon PS 30k, 50% over CM first Mon. Thinking about 250k for the day.
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ALADDIN | 695.1 M overseas ● 1050.7 M worldwide
Cooper Legion replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Cross-posting something I noticed while on reddit: Interestingly BoRhap and Aladdin are actually pretty similar runs. Musicals that went crazy and had awesome leggy runs in SK (BR ~78, Aladdin ~78) and Japan (BR ~115, Aladdin ~115). Also both with x4 DOM multis, give or take .25 or so. Main differences are that BR’s Japan opening was smaller, so it’s multiplier was an absolutely wild x34 or so (record). And Aladdin’s DOM opening was bigger, giving it another 100-150 of DOM and WW juice. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
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It’s also got summer/winter holidays — but, on the other hand, TLK looms. We’ll see, but both doing similarly great overall.
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Opening above on some as well. Anyway, CM OS-C-J-SK is 475, was never expecting FFH to match that. Its edge in OS total will come from doing low 300s in those markets instead of 225.
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It’s because CBM’s are actually made by producers
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But where’s the 2 important numbers, for those films beginning with A?
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Yeah, should still happen. Japan continues to run nicely, DOM seems to be going even higher than previously thought. Still maybe a 15% chance or so to miss. Re: SK FFH, Sun numbers have been similar to CM Sat. Bit ahead, but night will be weaker. Should be 460k final CGV +-15 or so, and actual admits just above or below 1M. 6-day 4.5M, with the caveat that few 6-day comps exist I’m thinking just under 9M is a good target.
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Nothing really. Headed 180s 6-day. Great but not ballistic, some hoping good legs some hoping great legs, see when we see.
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Yeah, FFH is going to be less impressive BO than the Raimis. The Raimis did insanely well. Yeah, FFH will probably get less revenue than CM on a larger budget. CM did insanely well. Yeah, 1B club ain't what it used to be. It's still going to make the WW top 25, Sony WW #1, Sony DOM top 5 (maybe 3), and do something like 480M theatrical returns on a 160M prod budget, profiting hundreds of millions of dollar. There's not a lot of angles to poohpooh the performance 😛
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FFH FSS looking to beat Aladdin TFSS then. Same legs from there and 440M is in the bag
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The BO subreddit banned Forbes for being too unreliable and clickbait
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Saturday deleted, 158M 5-day Sunday cume is incoming
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Despicable Me is only 9 years old Hunger Games is kind-of an active franchise, in that there’s a prequel movie expected. 7 years old (books are older of course). But yeah, I hadn’t really thought before about what a barren decade the 2010s were for new franchises. I guess it’s also the only decade with 21 movies from one franchise in it.
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I think part of this is that franchise movies got better. Just look at the MCU. Obviously not every single person can like any movie (okay, except Paddington 2 ) but the audience reception as a whole is incredibly good. Didn’t it used to be that sequels were rarer because there was a perception they tended not to do that well because they tended to be worse than the original?
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Ya done Kimiko Glenn dirty. Also, @WrathOfHan
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Just follow that link and you can see he’s currently forecasting 74M Sat, 65M Sun. 264 cume through Fri, 338 through Sat, 403 through Sun atm.
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And after 2 days he rose from the dead anew.
