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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. There’s no 350+ from DOM after that Friday (it’s solid, but not insane). To get past 910 would require leaning hard on Japan, not just 10x8 but more like 10x12. Tough for June, but we’ll see how the first few weeks go.
  2. Maleficient will do a very respectable 200-299. It is ordained. On a slightly more substantive note, the first one had great legs and it isn’t exactly aimed for the average BOT user, demographically speaking. It could be yet another 2019 sequels with a huge drop, but I think only if it’s bad.
  3. These were actually controversial at the time and I’m sure most assumed Eric would win easily. Could come down to the wire. I’ll do another summary of medium-big movies after a couple weeks, maybe just before FFH.
  4. 17 PT 6/7/19 (End of Fri) 1 31.1% The Secret Life of Pets 2 2 16.6% Aladdin 3 15.7% Dark Phoenix 4 10.3% Rocketman 5 7.7% Godzilla: King of the Monsters XDP might make it to #2 tomorrow. Maybe never.
  5. Yeah, snagging The Rock and Nebula was very important for Jumanji
  6. So which summer movies will do at least half of Aladdin? Endgame, TS4, FFH, TLK, with some chances for SLOP, OUATIH, and F&F:H&S?
  7. What if you mostly only go to the cinema for movies that end up in the top 10 and catch the rest on streaming? That’s kind of like following the sport but not the little leagues
  8. Okay, but what if instead we move TS4 into the 500s, Frozen into the 600s, and use Maleficent to cover the 200s (~25% fall from first one adjusted gets there). And then Penguins covers the 000s, it’s perfect.
  9. Welp, guess we don’t need to wait for Deadline anymore
  10. My biggest takeaway was just what a huge % of movies predicted didn’t release at the time they were planned when this post was made/won’t release at all.
  11. Aladdin down less than 30% from last Thurs on Pulse, with a presumably higher % of walkups a week later
  12. 17 PT 6/6/19 (End of Thurs) 1 20.6% Aladdin 2 20.5% The Secret Life of Pets 2 3 13.9% Dark Phoenix 4 10.9% Rocketman 5 9.1% Godzilla: King of the Monsters Slop2 missing by .1% I won’t bother with the usual “new #1” post, it will be a firm #1 in the first update tomorrow. Godzilla hanging on in 5th after Rocketman holds stunningly well today on MT.
  13. For comparison, the biggest years WW for full-fledged studios: 1)Disney 2016 — 7.6B 2)Disney 2018 — 7.32B 3)Universal 2015 — 6.9B 4)Disney 2017 — 6.46B 5)Disney 2015 — 5.85B 6)WB 2018 — 5.57B 7)Fox 2014 — 5.52B 8)Paramount 2011 — 5.17B 9)WB 2017 — 5.135B 10)Universal 2017 — 5.13B So MCU 2019 (3 movies) should place somewhere from 11 to 8.
  14. The path over first 17 days reminds me of these three in particular
  15. Yeah, reasonable projection probably low-mid 800s. I am in Charlie’s 900 club, but it requires some really excellent legs/Japan. We’ll have a better idea after it opens in Japan this weekend.
  16. Step 1: Submit a blank post to win the timestamp race Step 2: Quickly edit the numbers in so you don’t get deleted Step 3: Edit again with the source to make Baumer happy
  17. If that cinedirectors number holds I can’t see how it would miss 2.5, would start thinking about 3+.
  18. Yeah my comment was more along the lines of “I dunno about 7.5, seems like it would lead to a really high total.” I’d guess more like a bit under 7 and a bit under 11, but we’ll see how the holiday wknd goes.
  19. Jeeeeeeeeez. Seems that we’ll have Aladdin>Shazam+DP+KotM+DP. Wonder how many other markets that happens in
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