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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    I am pretty interested in the latest in the year a non-BP movie has taken first place off only a 2-day cume, but that’s an even larger hassle to check.
  2. Cooper Legion
    I got back to 1982 and found nothing else March or after. At that point the weekly data was too degraded to properly check candidates.
  3. Cooper Legion
    WOW, that data is really delineated by the Phases. Much more starkly than I would have guessed.
  4. Cooper Legion
    Interesting thesis. Any particular films they point to as an example?
  5. Cooper Legion
    For some extra carnage, there’s a very real chance that CM takes the #1 spot (non-calendar gross) off just its 2-day total. That’s got to blow the next latest out of the water if it happens. Edit: Well, okay, BP did it. But that was on Feb 17, 48 days into the year, and this would be March 9, 68 into the year. That’s a solid 40% farther in.
  6. Cooper Legion
    Ice Age: The Meltdown with an incredibly late March 31st debut misses by only 5M thanks to Failure to Launch. Maybe the latest to get within single digits of #1, but clearly not what ElsaRoc is looking for.
  7. Cooper Legion
    And THG by just 170M or so 😛
  8. Cooper Legion
    I was grouping by year of release, but by calendar gross Alice certainly doesn’t work. Relevant difference for CM in theory, since HTTYD will be the 2019 leader but Aquaman the calendar gross leader with some 136M.
  9. Cooper Legion
    Very neat trivia query, since it’s comparing different statistics to each other and caring about time of year and mid-run totals it’s a bit more complicated than just running through a single list on BOM.
  10. Cooper Legion
    Hmm. BP did it, but mid-Feb isn’t that late in the year. Beauty and the Beast was close, with 10M behind Logan. Hunger Games foiled by the Lorax, 25M margin. Aha, Alice and Wonderland got there with a March 5th opening, 20M above 2nd place at the time Shutter Island. That will be my guess, and if so CM will set the new record.
  11. Cooper Legion
    8.6 makes 900 WW real tough.
  12. Cooper Legion
    I mean, this actually is the main marketing theme they’re using for Endgame hype.
  13. Cooper Legion
    +3.5 would get it to 12. +20, 30, 30, 50, 80 from there would be ~66!
  14. Cooper Legion
    I wasn’t following the market very closely back then, but surely the 8.2 had some negative impact on the legs as well?
  15. Cooper Legion
    Huh, SMH had an oddly solid PSm considering the bad reception. I guess it helps that there was less hype from other parts of the world than with BP so it just had relatively low final day PS. Could give Venom OD a run for its money, but of course quite unlikely to replicate the 9.2 and legs.
  16. Cooper Legion
    I couldn’t find any Wang numbers for AM&TW, not sure if it was enough of an event I did find some Solo numbers while I was poking around, which are spoiler tagged to spare Porthos.
  17. Cooper Legion
    Seriously I’d be shocked if it made enough, but it’s already shocked me plenty, so 🤷‍♂️
  18. Cooper Legion
    Woah, ~8 today? From ~5? That would be a 60% jump, huge. With 80 last day, 50 penultimate, and average 30 before that as suggested by POTUS would be headed for about 62.
  19. Cooper Legion
    38 Captain Marvel 39 Bohemian Rhapsody 40 Endgame
  20. Cooper Legion
    Ah, since reception can impact FSS but no time to really affect Thurs numbers. Makes sense.
  21. Cooper Legion
    The Wang numbers are for all days (Thurs, FSS, and even beyond though that’s usually a tiny %).
  22. Cooper Legion
    BP was 6.94, so this is about 78% at same point in time. On the one hand, 13 months later probably means more presales and a lower presale multiplier. OTOH, BP already had it’s world premiere and 2 days post embargo sitting with 100% RT. All factors considered I think it is on track for 150-190.
  23. Cooper Legion
    Not much quantitative data to go off afaik, but I’m thinking R$125M+
  24. Cooper Legion
    I had begun to suspect as much. Very well, the hype will build as I slumber. 😴
  25. Cooper Legion
    No longer displayed natively on their site but still available here: http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/MT_track.txt Currently: 2019-02-28 15:00:25.660160 UTC 1 25.8% How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World 2 13.2% Captain Marvel 3 9.9% Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral 4 5.3% Alita: Battle Angel 5 4.8% The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part
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