Joyous Legion

Normie reasoning: MCU is dead, Hollywood doomed

This may well be the biggest r rated movie of all time and marvel will still be dead. The strength of the brand is determined by how much it can bolster movies people otherwise wouldn’t see heavily, not by how 3rd entries of pre-existing strong trilogies perform.

No, it was Ant-man 3 which ended it.

I agree that it’s trying to give a message beyond 2024 partisan stuff, but I think that message rings kind of hollow in light of… 2024 partisan stuff

Getting lots of NTCs is good for the people who enjoy watching NTCs though

Hadn’t really been paying attention to either but this was a rough quarter for both huh. KFP Dune GxK blew up relative to expectations and rest face planted.

@Brainbug

You must look inside your heart to find the truth

I would not like to see the number begin with a 7

Yeah, basically. Somewhat inflated Mon-th

Yeah regional differences in spring break can throw off regional comps during these months

Naa G:empire is avg so I’m safe

Predicting G:Empire to open with 40-60M

Starting so early for a small nonIP like this basically makes any D1 stuff useless, as well as the middle period. I wouldn’t want to draw anything but the most broad conclusions (“looks like single digits guys”) until at least like t-10

My first comment was going to be that I think the baseline scenario would be lognormal rather than normal… but the 2nd graph (with exponential x-axis) basically covers that perfectly. And we did indeed get my suspected triple peak, exactly where I was suspecting it Perhaps unsurprisingly this would be my 2nd comment, although it shouldn’t make a huge difference in 2015vs 2019 or 2021 vs 2024 I feel like nominal introduces a bit of noise whereas admits/adjusted would reveal more of a real pattern across time. Definitely not going to change the big picture takeaway though. If we didn’t pull anything 90-100 then the 100-110ish range is suppressed a bit by only getting 50%+ of the adjacency window that the other values have, right? This is another thing that doesn’t really affect the main point just want to make sure I’m understanding the process correctly. The lowest hanging fruit going forward imo would be seeing the graphs for like 5% or 20%, but this is already a very cool dynamic to have quantified a bit more

Hmm, I guess Panda could kill gap 🤔

Look if you wanna sell “Turning White” to the boys in marketing, be my guest

Ooh, that’s a great choice of metric. Although, I feel like +/- 10% would also be very interesting. And of course you can turn parameters up or down — I wonder if it’s possible to get a meaningful triple peak

Gotta initiate talks for Turning Redder

All one tick below genre avg, how sad

I mean, it was a better guess for OWeek then total — but it basically came true for total, so very much a moment

We are still talking quite a bit down from KFP2 tickets tbf

Yeah I feel like mostly thread had been expecting/I had been expecting based on thread 3-4*12-15ish, which comes out to 41-53 or so.

Pretty crazy moment for "since last summer" when you consider that the two films combined don't make for an especially large number of tickets

I mean I was OUT at closing time, so