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MeowwoeM

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  1. On eiga, TLK is 3.6, TS4 is 3.8, and Aladdin is 4.1. On filmark, both TS4 and TLK are 3.9, and Aladdin is 4.2
  2. It opened in Poland this weekend, which is the reason it didn't drop.
  3. According to BOM, TS3 got $30M post-Obon, but that had amazing drops. I think Corpse probably changed prediction.
  4. Meh start for The Lion King. Surprised that it's below Far From Home. It'll probably have a 12× multiplier so ¥8B is possible
  5. TS4 should pass TS3 tomorrow. Hope it reaches Shrek 2
  6. $23M OS-Japan is lowballing (40% drop). Also, Incredibles 2 grossed ~$50M from the markets where TS4 didn't open yet. Im predicting $1.11B.
  7. Weathering With You dropped 17.5% week TS4 dropped 16.8% this week.
  8. I don't think so. Just because they were made by Miyazaki, it doesn't mean that they have to do the same numbers. I think a 20% decrease similar to Harry Potter 1 & 2 is more likely.
  9. The point is that Frozen hasn't peaked popularity. Hell, Toy Story 4 and The Lion King (2019) passed it recently. It's the 8th highest-grossing animated movie domestically when it certainly doesn't feel like it as shown by blu-ray sales. There is ton of room to increase in growing markets, even if it doesn't feel significant. If you remove the OS grosses from Despicable Me 3 and Frozen, Despicable Me 3 is actually ahead of it overseas. I don't believe that there is any other prospect to show how big Frozen 2, and there's like 1% chance it reaches $2B. $1.6B ($310M + Frozen) seems about right, especially if Disney doesn't disappoint its audience.
  10. Definitely! The Lion King, similarly to Detectice Pikachu, had curiosity factor in it. I didn't/wont watch The Lion King in theaters; I just wanted to check out the CGI. How massive Frozen 2 will be depends on the WoM, which I expect to be excellent..
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