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Borobudur

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Everything posted by Borobudur

  1. Yes, the holiday boost become very muted since reopening. This could mean that theater may no longer be able to charge a very high weekend/holiday premium to their ticket price. If Netflix didn't disclose the box office, will Comscore still include the box office as part of the aggregate weekend? If not, they will underreport the total box office.
  2. There are some poor CGI of water splash by JC standard at 0.21. I hope this is not the final product I got in theater.
  3. But the covid cases keep rising, the trend is still not on decreasing trend, Soon we will have opening rate to sink below 50% and A2 only left with 3 weeks.
  4. I don't really care that much on the opening, I want to see SW:TFA biggest 2nd weekend record to go down!
  5. I can' believe the 3 openers in last Thanksgiving, Encanto ($1.5m), HoG ($1.3m) and RE ($935k), actually delivered better preview than this year offerings. Just what's wrong with the movie market?
  6. Simple. The lower the Covid-case in China, the higher the box office gross.
  7. Yes, people need to know Covid-19 is still big thing over there in China. Lockdown is taking place could be anytime, anywhere. By mid-Dec I believe we only have half of the normal China's potential and 36 days later, WE2 will come to take over everything.
  8. I don't see official page posted this but I was shocked to see death star-like superlaser.
  9. Even China State media such as XinHua start to cover the news about A2 coming to China.
  10. Yes, the late reveal date isn't ideal but I doubt the RT score will go below 90%,. Also, A2 is a pro-environmental movie, an agenda that so underrepresented on big screen , as compared to racial diversity. and sexuality. Critics will have a soft spot on this part.
  11. But only 55% of the cinema are opened, the % did goes up to >60% during weekend but still far below than that of JWD. Worse of all, the case is still rising in top-tier city like Beijing and some part of Guanzhou and no way they can get the case cool down by 16Dec or 1 month after 16Dec. A2 would be lucky if they can retain this 60% of opening rate. Now is certain that some part of China may never be able to see A2 on big screen even if they want, unless some major re-release down the road.
  12. Can we assume all PLF are in 3D? NWH's opening weekend had 32% of the gross coming from PLF, that means around $80m of gross will be likely coming from PLF3D. Assuming standard 3D contribute another $20m, A2 could have >100m of 3D gross in its opening weekend or at least 60%. I would take a 3D share of less than 50% as "3D flop" and hoping the % can go as high as 70%.
  13. That is why it is likely to have its celling in opening weekend because the lack of ideal seat and 3D showtimes.
  14. Is it possible that WE2 would flee CNY in the end due to highly volatile market condition? Also, knowing that only 55% of the cinema are opened now, the rest are closed due to lockdown measure or the market is simply too quiet to open the door?
  15. I believe the so-called 3D resistance is just the result of lack of 3D push from Disney/20th century in its early marketing push. The 'Experience it in 3D" tagline only appear in its last trailer was the whole A2 was made for 3D from the start.
  16. I was under the impression that Spider will be the Middle-man between audience and Na'vi character since general audience is more likely to relate to a human character to a CG character but the focus now seem shifted to Kiri and Lo'ak's love interest. I suspect his role got reduced as they approach the final cut since there are so many sub-plots and characters out there, way more loaded than A1 and hence the longer movie length. But given the marketing still feature Jack Champion quite a lot, he should still get some notable screen time. The highest domestic grosser is basically a rehash of the previous highest grossing film, so I believe we are safe. London premiere on Dec 6, more than a week before the release date. Surely some reaction will start appearing after there and there isn't a sign showing the lack of confidence in the movie.
  17. So the Spider character missing again? Did they just cut him from the movie or he will be the focus for A3 then?
  18. Just before the release of final trailer, let's compare the trailers view between teaser and full trailer of the top 5 videos on you tube. Teaser 1. 4K Ultra HD ~30m 2. 4K Ultra HD ~30m 3. Avatar Main Channel ~26m 4. Hindi teaser ~17m 5. Spanish teaser ~17m Top 5 total ~120m views Full Trailer 1. Avatar Main Channel ~37m 2. Spanish ~21m 3. Hindi ~15m 4. 20th century India ~14m 5. Portuguese ~9m Top 5 total ~96m views
  19. Maybe WB is following Universal's strategy. Fast tracking the VOD, but pushing back the streaming release date.
  20. Given the marketing so far hasn't been very pro-3D, I just wonder how much 3D ticket they can sell now, purely based on goodwill on the previous Avatar's 3D experience.
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