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Borobudur

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Everything posted by Borobudur

  1. I mean, if people really dislike 3D they can just wait for actual opening weekend itself. 3D-only preview will only reinforce Avatar 2 as the biggest 3D event in a decade. I mean, I believe all premiere showing will be in 3D too for critics. Also, A2 is frame by frame crafted in 3D, not watching in 3D is like watching TLK or Frozen but without the songs version. Something I would discourage people from doing it.
  2. I hope the preview only list 3D showtime, just like the first one. That allow WOM around 3D spread faster. So now we have premiere london, japan, LA and new zealand? India should be in the mix too!
  3. MCU movies have become increasingly frontloaded. Outside of SC, every MCU movies drop >60% in their 2nd weekend, they mostly save some face in the latter week, but that was mostly because of the lack of competition. Similar to other recent MCU, I believe BP2 will have harsh drop this coming weekend too, only to stabilized over the Thanksgiving week and the drought post-Thanksgiving.
  4. Even securing a China release, A2 problem will not end there. The case has been rising in big cities, it is now hitting 20k cases per day, a figure warrant a full district or city lockdown. In any case, A2 will not be released in a perfect situation like EG or a more normal circumstances like F9, or GvK. Only <60% cinema are opened in recent week.
  5. That is a very late premiere date if this is the first world premiere, especially for a movie not exposed to spoiler risk. The first avatar premiered at London on Dec 10, one week before its first preview show.
  6. Why such high expectation for A2 here? Unlike other countries, Saudi Arabian never experienced JC mania. And A1 re-release (Not sure if I can even call it a re-release for SA) number isn't impressive too in SA.
  7. Demon Slayer give a huge boost to all local anime. I remember outside of Miyaozaki and Shinkai, no anime has ever reach 10bn status but now every major anime hit that mark.
  8. I don't understand why Disney/Marvel always give lesser territories breakdown compared to others.
  9. I believe China is the only market where 2022 box office is actually dropping from 2021. China lost >$600m of box office in 2021 for their MCU denial. A rough estimate about how much these movies can get if proper release was given. SC - $75m Eternals -$50m Venom - $200m NWH - $300m For 2022, the potential BO loss isn't any better and A2 is denied, the loss can go up to $1bn. DS2 - $100m Thor 4 - $75m TGM - $50m BA- $75m BP2- $100m So the worshipping of XI isn't fascist?
  10. What happened to South Korea? The country used to be biggest hub for MCU. France and India overperform IMO.
  11. Last weekend was likely a rebound after a deflated Halloweeen weekend and probably boost by some local holiday for K-12 during mid-term election. Friday increase is due to Veteran's day boost. Most importantly, the market is starving for family-friendly product and only LLC is here to provide.
  12. Isn't this making the movie more vulnerable against BPWF? A direct competition from likely similar target audience.
  13. Actually it is not the Christmas that make things tricky, it is the reception. A2 is like TGM, people know it is coming but most people stay "wait and see" approach. We are know what happened to TGM, when a A+ level WOM start spreading, those hidden interest beneath the internet will start translate into action. And from there, sky is the limit. It all come down if JC can produce a movie that blow people mind and heart. Bare minimum, the movie will play TLK 2019, a successful disappointment of $1.7bn.
  14. What is Till? The movie goes up 1% when BPWF is here. Nov 11, 2022 - $1,875,580 +1% 2,136 $878 $9,295,752 5
  15. This is assuming they don't give a shortened 48 days window like to DS2. If so, BP2 will hit Disney+ right during year end holiday season and disappear quickly from big screen, leaving cash behind. If they can give Thor 4 a 63 days treatment, why not BP2?
  16. I remember JC spent a lot of time, built a lot of sets for the live action components throughout 2019 but from the trailer it is either they blend too well into CGI components, I can't really tell which part if CGI and which part are live action. Still, the complete absence of human characters got me worried, especially since Spider seem to be pivotal to the plot.
  17. Is LLC going to have 2nd consecutive week-to-week gain? - (7) Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile Sony Pictures $1,125,000 +539% +52% 2,486 $453 $38,764,609 3
  18. Box Office: ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ Earns $28M In Thursday Previews – Deadline SATURDAY AM: Refresh for more analysis and chart What we know for certain is that Disney and Marvel Studios’ Black Panther: Wakanda Forever posted the 10th highest opening day ever at $84M, with today being a swing factor in regards to how high or low this 2 hour and 41 minute running MCU title plays. Opening weekend range is between $175M-$185M now. Audience exits still amazing for Wakanda Forever with 93% on Screen Engine/Comscore’s PostTrak and an 85% definite recommend with kids under 12 giving it a near 100% and 72% recommend. Guy leaning at 52%, 45% between 18-34 with 37% over 35. Very diverse film at 44% Black leading, 21% Hispanic and Latino, 20% Caucasian and 15% Asian/other.
  19. Are they playing the teaser or full trailer? My BPWF had both A2 teaser and full trailer attached, show that just how empty the market is right now.
  20. LLC seem heading to another strong hold this weekend when BPWF look too mature for family audience.
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