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JimmyB

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Everything posted by JimmyB

  1. I just don't trust social media reactions anymore. So, many movies are masterpieces according to these reactions and the movies end up being just fine.
  2. WB picked Mickey 17 as their January dump
  3. It's for free over-the-air on your local ABC station like the Super Bowl was free OTA on CBS. The Oscars were on streaming services like Hulu Live TV, YouTubeTV, AT&T TV. You could also watch on ABC.com or the ABC app after authenticating with your TV provider. The American Sign Language live streamed it on YouTube. The Super Bowl is mostly watched over-the-air as well and they now count out of house viewers like bars that started in 2020. The game being great and going into OT was the perfect setup for an all time ratings high. https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/super-bowl-ratings-historical-viewership-chart-cbs-nbc-fox-abc/
  4. Thought the ratings would get a bigger boost with two huge movies leading the awards. At least viewership was up a little. The telecast also was at a 3.8 demo rating, compared with last year’s 4.0 — down, but not by much.
  5. American Fiction -275 Oppenheimer +250 Barbie +600 Poor Things +4000 The Zone of Interest +8000 American Fiction was the betting favorite
  6. What do you think Challengers can make? Don't Worry Darling numbers? It will be interesting to see Zendaya opening a non IP film. I agree, Abigail looks fun maybe Violent Night numbers or it could tank with Ready or Not box office. I think Cmasterclay Is right and April is a good test for Adult movies.
  7. April looks incredibly weak and what's making money in March is known IP sequels something April is missing. Maybe, one of the April films breaks out but it looks like repeat of April 2023 minus Mario. Which is ugly. Fall Guy being the movie to kick off the Summer box office doesn't fit what makes money either. March 2024 feels like a dead cat bounce....i hope im wrong.
  8. March deja vu continues the good thing is the big movies are opening higher vs March 2023. Bad news the February hold-overs are a non factor. Smaller films that had wide releases in March....65 opened to 12.3m vs Imaginary 10m. His Only Son opened to 5.5m vs Cabrini 7.5m. March 2023 also had Champions which opened to 5m and Demon Slayer 10m. None of these movies made much which is going to be similar to March 2024 smaller films. Last year, the 3rd weekend in March had Shazam! opening to 30m and Scream and Creed 3 combining for 32m. Dune and Panda should match that next weekend. The new Marky Mark movie probably makes 10-15m everything else under 5m. The 3rd weekend in March should be a wash with the 3rd weekend in March 2023.
  9. Dune 2 - 250m ish domestic plus 400m ish internationally 650m ish worldwide?? ATSV like jump for Dune. Are horror fans getting more picky? Nightswim and Imaginary looked bad but that hasnt stopped bad horror movies in years past from opening to 15-20m opening weekend. The new Omen movie looks DOA and Abigail looks fun like Ready or Not but Dracula horror been bombing. When are the starving horror fans showing up?
  10. I agree something will disappoint in March like Shazam 2. Ghostbusters After life already played the nostalgia card so that would be my pick of which March release has a disappointing run. Godzilla Kong looks more like a general audience walkup movie like Transformers Rise of the Beast.
  11. True. I just find it interesting how March 2024 could just be a repeat of March 2023. Dune 2 domestic opening weekend similar to JW4. Kung Fu Panda opening weekend similar to Shazam 2. Ghostbusters opening weekend similar to Dungeons and Dragons. Godzilla Kong opening weekend similar to Creed 3.
  12. SATURDAY AM: Lionsgate’s John Wick: Chapter 4 received its best grade ever from audiences, with a solid A CinemaScore and 5 Stars on Comscore/Screen Engine’s PostTrak, and grosses held largely steady over Friday night with $29.4M. That’s still the best opening day for the franchise on its way to a series record $70.6M debut. Imax and PLFs are driving 38% of ticket sales here. In regards to admissions, EntTelligence reports that over a third of the pic’s foot traffic has been in Imax, PLF, and 4DX locations. At a ratio that high, and as the box office comes back from the pandemic, we just need more of those auditoriums, no? Its not Dune's 48% but JW4 was invested in PLFs
  13. Dune 2 is basically repeating John Wick 4 from the posttrak scores, to the true Friday box office number. Dune 2 posttrak. Last night’s Screen Engine/Comscore PostTrak exits were from another galaxy at 5 stars, 94% positive. Dune 2 - A CinemaScore. Dune 2 - 20.5m ish true Friday. John Wick: Chapter 4 received its best grade ever from audiences, with a solid A CinemaScore and 5 Stars on Comscore/Screen Engine’s PostTrak. More great exits on John Wick: Chapter 4 show 93% on PostTrak, an 82% definite recommend. John Wick 4 pure Friday number 20.5m
  14. John Wick 4 was also 93% positive. Dune playing way more to older white males but that's not a surprise. More great exits on John Wick: Chapter 4 show 93% on PostTrak, an 82% definite recommend, the latter which is higher than John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum‘s 75% definite recommend. The latest installment was 69% guy-leaning, 56% between 18-34, with 31% between 25-34, the latter the largest quad. Diversity demos strong across all sectors with 32% Caucasian (vs. Parbellum‘s 42%), 28% Latino and Hispanic (vs 22%), 19% Black (same as last film), & 21% Asian/other (vs. 14%). Similar to Parabellum, guys over 25 were the biggest group, this time at a huge 48% (vs. part 3’s 45%), followed by women over 25 at 22%, which tied with guys under 25 at the same ratio. Women under 25 didn’t care, showing up at 8%. For Parabellum, women over 25 clocked 29%, while males under 25 were at 18%. High grades from men under/over 25 and women over 25 at north of 93% for part 4.
  15. Ghostbusters has a big fanbase. Had to go back because for some reason I remember people being surprised by the day 1 sales of Afterlife. Keysersoze called it's opening correctly first day of sales Ghostbusters Afterlife MTC1 Previews(T-17) - 10849/337977 190041.99 1599 shows Friday(T-18) - 6398/515675 106157.10 2388 shows Not bad at all. Definitely see it opening above 40m as I posted earlier. Let us see how things move for this. Nostalgia FTW. Edited November 2, 2021 by keysersoze123 This wont be frontloaded when its comes to its IM. So it needs 4m to hit 40m. For that it needs 75K in MTC1. I cant see it missing from here. Let us see how things go rest of its Presales.
  16. I thought the movie looked amazing and was really into it but his turn I honestly didnt get. Edit: I still give the film an A. Imax was great.
  17. My Local Cinemark. Standard showing for Dune $13. All other movies $12,25.
  18. They didnt worry about the quality of the script for the past 5 movies
  19. February is finally over. 360m'ish gross for the month under 1996 February's box office. I was thinking March 2024 would match March 2023 but digging deeper into the numbers the holdovers from February are super weak but I think the smaller films like Cabrini, Arthur the King and Imaginary close the gap. I think March grosses 620m a little under March 2023 638m. Dune 180m Kung Fu Panda 100m Cabrini, Arthur the King and Imaginary 50m each. Ghostbusters 80m. Kong 60m. February holders 50m.
  20. Boxofficemojo has February box office at 281m as of Thursday. Add in this weekend and a few weekdays, February will around 360m. March 2024 is looking like a repeat of March 2023 and April 2024 is looking dead when April 2023 had Mario. 2024 box office by the end of April could be around 600m behind 2023. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/month/?ref_=bo_nb_hm_secondarytab
  21. I dont believe the Oscar campaign nonsense. This release date is a dump. Seems like people are in denial.
  22. Per Deadline. What’s key about the date is that Warner Bros will have Imax, furthermore next January is starving for wide releases. But the reason why the studio went with this date is to play off Lunar New Year in South Korea. The title is a major part of Warner Bros.’ CinemaCon presentation this year. Originally, Mickey 17 was to go on March 29, shortly after Dune: Part Two this year but the strikes pushed the movie. We kept hearing it wasn’t ready. Still that didn’t stop everyone from panting that the sci-fi feature could hit Cannes. There were never any plans for the movie to go to Cannes. While a Jan. 31 theatrical release indicates this movie likely won’t be teed off for the 2024 Oscar season, an awards push could still be in the mix. The studio is testing Mickey 17 in the coming weeks. Currently on Jan. 31 is Universal/DreamWorks Animation’s Dog Man.
  23. M3gan, Man From Otto, Jesus Revolution and Cocaine Bear all made between 50-100m the first couple months last year and I dont remember people calling the marketplace heathy. You would preach theaters don't care about a movies budget they care how much the movie grosses. Movie fans can like big blockbusters and goofy action like Beekeeper. Theaters need event movies without them you get months like January & February 2024 where the grosses are pulling in numbers from the 90s.
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