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MightyDargon

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Everything posted by MightyDargon

  1. MightyDargon
    If Godzilla x Kong spikes, when will we be able to tell?
  2. MightyDargon
    Meh. Ready Player One did 600 something worldwide but that was a popular book. I wouldn't say he's an automatic 500 mil at this point.
  3. MightyDargon
    Stupid question: Does it do pretty well in this particular corridor, with 2 more exclusive weeks and limited competition until the end of March? Or did the original slot give it less competition? I think it had longer PLF exclusivity but more competition in the original (November?) slot.
  4. MightyDargon
    jat's Sat number seemed to indicate it was higher than 28 mil. I think the actual weekend number may be slightly higher than 80.
  5. MightyDargon
    Isn't 80mil a likely lowball? I remember some calculations in here that said that even with 28 mil Sat it would probably go over 80mil. Not by a huge amount, but still notably higher.
  6. MightyDargon
    Twitter is a rotting corpse.
  7. MightyDargon
    As a general rule I only like to extrapolate legs when I have some inkling of what week 2 will look like. That's how you can tell a "Mutant Mayhem" run from a "Color Purple" run. I seriously doubt Dune 2 will burn all its PLF demand this week though.
  8. MightyDargon
    But kids don't like Mario! We need to have him ride Shai Halud through a desert so he can be relevant again!!11!
  9. MightyDargon
    Not really. (I mean the positive WOM is there). But the idea that this was gonna be driven be "leisurely" viewing on weekends at PLFs was already observable in advance sales. The Wick 4 comparison was decent but Wick 4 had really only 1 weekend of PLF exclusivity. Dune 2 has 3. (Also some theaters won't be in a hurry to kick it out or will try to get it back in later).
  10. MightyDargon
    It basically confirms my theory that this is going to be a mini Avatar and be driven by PLF screenings on its most open days.
  11. MightyDargon
    In retrospect No Hard Feelings didn't get x2 gross but at only 45 mil it's not the kind of "money loser" to put much of a dent in the studio profits....and it's also low enough that whatever deal Netflix has with Sony probably did make it profitable. Now if it was Amazing Spiderman 2 then yes it likely wouldn't cover it.
  12. MightyDargon
    Oh you mean the ones that ended in 1983? I think theatrical runs and multipliers are so different then from now that it's difficult to compare. Dune 1984 flat out bombed.
  13. MightyDargon
    By the end of the Sequel Trilogy I wouldn't exactly call Star Wars "catnip". Cat piss maybe.
  14. MightyDargon
    I doubt No Hard Feelings lost very much. Pretty sure it probably made money via the Netflix deal by this point even if its theatrical didn't work.
  15. MightyDargon
    Mutant Mayhem's full global is about 180 mil so it still doesn't hit the 3x rule. Yes TMNT has a long term fanbase (which did make it viable even during the strike) but it wasn't exactly Mario during its run. I question the viability of the 3x rule if Mutant Mayhem can still manage. For what it's worth, most animated movies that aren't Mario aren't super blockbusters at this point, so it also had that going for it.
  16. MightyDargon
    I don't get where people are getting the "only 500 mil" figure for Dune 2 based on only week 1 anyway.
  17. MightyDargon
    Pretty sure Mutant Mayhem failed the x2 rule and got a sequel announcement anyway. I'm not complaining. It just did.
  18. MightyDargon
    I mean, Mutant Mayhem got a sequel and people here said that underperformed. I take what people here say with a grain of salt. Especially after the "Aquaman 2 didn't flop" fiasco.
  19. MightyDargon
    I don't think even Variety's "numbers from opposing studios" (which are always highballs) were predicting over 85 mil. Considering how many movies WB has liquidated this doing enough to get Messiah made is a miracle. Who the fuck cares what Jeff Sneider says, none of his stuff has any basis in verified fact.
  20. MightyDargon
    It still has 2 more weeks of PLF exclusivity.
  21. MightyDargon
    Beyond jat absolutely no one cares and the "fudge" money likely came from elsewhere in the weekend so I really don't give a crap.
  22. MightyDargon
    I think this is a pretty good result overall. The only way it would "look bad" is for people expecting 85 mil plus OW and the PLF capacity really doesn't exist for that. I was basically worried about under 65 mil OW and that seems unlikely.
  23. MightyDargon
    Because of all this I don't think Wick is a great model for this movie.
  24. MightyDargon
    I don't think Wick 4 was very invested in IMAX which should really be taken into account. There's still capacity issues for "true PLF" hits.
  25. MightyDargon
    For what it's worth, this has 85 in user ratings on Metacritic now. I think that's about as high as any mass release film can hope for.
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