I think you may have under-estimated TA2 & over-estimated SW7. TA2 is coming off TA1 incredible run, CAP2 surprising move & Guardians' excellent affirmation of the Marvel brand. TA2 may reach Avatar-like $700M. SW7, OTOH, is the sixth sequel to the original movie whose fans are all grown up & groaned at the flaws of the prequels. However, this one should open more than $150M and gross at least $500M DOM.
Minions sounds like a great concept but w/o Gru, it remains a spin-off and like all spin-off, they are not likely to outgross the originals.
The rest sounds plausible to me.