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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. This is still where I stand on RPO. Just don't see it having a lot of widespread appeal regardless of reception. I think OW is where most of the business will be. The marketing needed to do much better hooking casuals. The latest trailer was really the first time it stopped looking so niche in the marketing, but that was very late into its campaign.
  2. It doesn't matter how big the OW though, the rule is pretty constant. Well liked CBM predecessor = bigger or similar sized OW for the sequel (i.e. Iron Man 2, GotG2, The Dark Knight Rises, Spider-Man trilogy if 2 had opened on a Friday, AoU, etc).
  3. Apocalypse is about the only CBM sequel to a well liked predecessor that dropped off significantly on OW as far as I can tell. And DP2 is certainly not in the same spot as Apocalypse by any stretch. An OW increase or slight decrease for sequels to well liked CBM's is almost always the case.
  4. I will give Paramount some props for pushing Gnomes as hard as they could. I mean it's not like you can market something like that "effectively", but damn if they didn't shove it down everyone's throat anyways.
  5. Lol, Rampage is all but guaranteed to have shitty legs. As if the nature of its genre wasn't a ding enough against its legs, it has a two week box office run. I agree the OW could go 50+, but multi will be no more than 2.5x
  6. I feel like the marketing has gotten less and less intriguing as its gone on. The first trailer was quite effective and unique, but now it just looks rather generic.
  7. That would be a disastrous OW for DP2. Really don't know what would cause it to drop that much from its predecessor's OW. Should be pulling 125 at least.
  8. The TR hold is horrendous is those numbers hold considering the weekdays and it managed to hold onto all of its TC. Really don't know why WOM would be that awful, it's definitely not on the craptacular level of almost every other video game movie.
  9. I'm surprised Uprising actually managed to break 15 let alone 20. Sad though when low 20's seems like a huge overperformance. Decent for BP. Pretty bad for most everything else. Hopefully things go up.
  10. Incredible. So irked this is gonna miss the 20x multi DOM by like 2-3m though. It's gotta be our last chance for that to ever happen for a wide release.
  11. 6th weekend TC's for the 600+ grossers: Black Panther - 3,370 The Force Awakens - 3,365 Avatar - 3,141 The Avengers - 3,129 Jurassic World - 3,117 Titanic - 2,771 The Last Jedi - 2,456
  12. ICOI is gonna have an insane hold this weekend based on the MT performance and now this notable expansion. I'm wondering if it even manages to stay flat or a slight increase? Graet TC hold for BP. Lmfao @ Hurricane and Gringo.
  13. I love how "only in theaters" is a thing now for marketing. Ya know, opposed to getting Netflix'd.
  14. Said tragedy worked 100% to the film's advantage at the box office, not against it. Just like with TDK.
  15. Wan is still extremely unproven outside of horror and inside of a tentpole like this as far as I'm concerned. One film does not a track record make. Besides, F7 had so much going for it to do well that had nothing to do with Wan's involvement or direction. AM has a lot going against it.
  16. I get the sense WB has already given into AM not being able to do much of anything to turn DCEU at the box office around. Certainly not like they were gonna cancel it after JL that far into it's production. This definitely seems like the one with far more potential for that.
  17. TL had a lot of bad weekend holds though until the very tail end of its run. WiT already seems to be doing better during weekends and it has a holiday weekend for its third frame, unlike TL.
  18. All I know is tracking was giving every indication a 200 OW could be possible a couple weeks out to anyone reading the signs. And why would it miss 500 with that kind of an OW and not being a sequel/team up movie? I can't speak for others, just saying 500 seemed very obvious to me several weeks out and I know I expressed that in multiple threads.
  19. Seems to have unusually strong Tue holds based on last week and this week. 3x+ multi is definitely still in play.
  20. 500m+ seemed obvious to me a couple weeks prior to release and 600 definitely seemed possible once reviews hit. As far as pre pre-sales though, yeah I don't think anyone was predicting 500+. Back then I thought it could do CW/IM3 #'s, and that seemed like a huge prediction at the time.
  21. Should do well in August with a dearth of appealing releases. Could see something like 25/100.
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