MovieMan89

The reactions for the Pets trailers have been nothing short of emphatical everytime I've seen them with full audiences. If not for Dory I would say it could be a true animation box office phenomenon, but even with Dory I think 300 is happening.

Nah, Alice should have decent legs I think. Families liked the first well enough even if others didn't and it sounds like it's basically the same level of quality as that one. These live action Disney fairy tales always play well enough with the family demo.

Im afraid Apocalypse could be in big trouble. It's going to need a big opening next week or it will fall well short of 200 based on reviews and the multi trends of the genre this year.

I'm feeling like we're going to be too high on the vast majority of movies now looking at the averages. I know I'm going to be. Except for Suicide Squad, thinking more than ever that will be the JW of the year and surprise win the summer. Ghostbusters is standing out more as well as a breakout to me as the only real female driven big release of the season.

Guessing AB does around 2.9x. Late legs will vanish once Dory hits in a month.

I assume you meant over 20m right? There's also KFP3 and JB. But yeah, basically only family aimed films are doing it this year. Maybe we really are reaching the point where streaming services are too popular for movies to have any real legs at the BO anymore. People will just wait, and the more they wait the sooner movies leave the theater so it's not even much of a wait these days. All about the opening more than ever.

CWs multi is looking to be atrocious for the quality of movie it is. Very unfortunate, but I do think fatigue is the main factor (both blockbuster and cbm fatigue and possibly MCU fatigue as well).

Maybe having 4 mega hits at the box office between Feb-April has deflated what summer will do. I mean having 4 300+ grossers in summer is impressive, having that in the Feb-April stretch is just insane and many would have said impossible. The GA may already have some blockbuster fatigue even though summer just started. The movie allowance of the average person is perhaps way more drained this year than it normally would be at the start of summer. Combined with movies in the next month that are either getting lukewarm reception or highly likely to get it, we could be in for a rough ride and lots of disappointments. Thinking I went too high on nearly everything in the game now

I still don't know how Ted had good WOM at all. It's a completely stupid movie and thankfully I think people eventually realized that judging by Ted 2s performance, even if at the time the gimmick paid off. I don't think repeat viewings were kind to it.

9m means like a 22m OW if it follows the firsts patterns, which wasn't a sequel so this could technically be even more front loaded. From there I doubt it clears 60. But yes the budget is small enough for it to be nearly impossible to lose money regardless of how poorly it does. Still terrible though for what the first did

Yikes, disastrous OD for Neighbors. So glad I left it out of my top 15 in the summer game as I kept going back and forth between putting it in. Good numbers for Birds and CW

1 - Angry Birds Weekend 43.775 2 - Jungle Books Drop -34.650 3 - Keanu PTA $575

It's gonna be a good second weekend drop any way you slice it with that Friday. I'm thinking it ends up with a very similar multi to Deadpool and close to 500.

Nice Guys: $60m HIGHER Popstar: $25m HIGHER Free State of Jones: $43M LOWER The Shallows: $28m HIGHER The purge: $42m HIGHER

Hmm, I'm trying to figure out what the heck I was thinking exactly when I put 555m for CW despite predicting it's OW spot on? Why was I expecting a GotG sized multi, lol

Kanye has some great music despite his douche baggery in real life, but the song is out of place. The trailer is solid otherwise. I don't think this will do much in its release slot, but unlike almost every other video game adaptation this at least had some potential for the film medium. Granted the story in the games gets convoluted af so hopefully they don't stay too faithful.

I feel like awareness for this is non-existent right now outside of maybe Trekkies, who are mad at the franchise now since they hated STID. If there's not some real marketing oomph soon I'm detecting a possible disaster for this one. Like I mean sub 100m doesnt even seem far fetched at the moment.

Is there any movie over 200m that didn't hit a 2x multi? New Moon, BD1, and BD2 all barely made it

I just don't want it to pass GotGs 333m gross. the 332m mark is interesting because if it fails to hit that it will be the first major cbm to miss a 2x multi as far as I know and one of the only blockbuster movies to.

I liked the movie even better a second time, and my audience was extremely enthusiastic for both last night and tonight. Compared to the opening night showing of AoU last year which had very little enthusiasm that waned down to none as it went on, and no applause at the end. Just a little anecdotal WOM comparison from the theaters around here.

Only headed for the 5th biggest OW in box office history. HUGE MINUS!

It is unfortunate for Apocalypse having 3 such massive cbms 3 months in a row right before it. It should have been in a good position to do 250+ after DoFP but now genre fatigue is almost certain to affect it.

Some of you that are so disappointed it might not beat AoU's OW do realize that it would have to be opening to like as low as $150m to be in danger of not topping AoU DOM right? There's no way WOM won't be good enough on this one for at least a 2.8x multi or so. It will breeze past AoU DOM if it has IM3s OW, and that's what matters in the long run.