MovieMan89

$165-180m would be fantastic for the movie and in no way indicates franchise fatigue just because it didn't top an Avengers OW. It's not an Avengers movie in name, and that still makes a difference. I still say the movie was headed to like a $120m OW up until a couple months ago when marketing finally kicked into gear and they got the GA super stoked for Spidey. Coming off of the heels of Ultron and that first trailer I think the buzz was lukewarm, but they did a helluva job since March or so. Props to Disney marketing once again. And if a Captain America movie beats IM3s OW by even a smidge then I think the best possible case OW scenario for it was already realized.

Right, am writing this on an island off the coast of Korea on my cellphone so if the post is ugly or fill of autocorrect, that is why. Will beautify on Tuesday. Welt questions consist of 3 parts: mostly yes/no questions, gross predictions and placement predictions. Part 1 ~ answer yes/no unless otherwise stated (UOS) and are worth 1000 points each UOS. They also only refer to the top 12 UOS. 1) Will keanu open to more than $18m? YES 2) Will keanu open to more than $22.5m? 2000 NO 3) Will mothers day open to more than $10m? NO 4) will the 3 openers' combined OW be higher than jungle book's weekend gross? 3000 YES 5) Will all 3 wide openers finish in the top 5? YES 6) Will huntsman drop less than 47.5%? NO 7) Will Zootopia drop more than 20%? YES 8) Will BvS have a sub-$1M day this weekend? YES 9) Will Barbershop have a higher Saturday gross than Zootopia this weekend? 3000 YES 10) will miracles from heaven have a better Sunday drop than gods not dead 2? YES 11) Will deadpool have a better Friday percentage increase than BvS? YES 12) Will criminal stay above my big fat gel wedding? YES 13) Will allegiant stay above Cloverfield lane? NO 14) Will hardcore Henry make less than $100k this weekend? 2000 YES 15) Will any film below the top 12 last weekend, move up into the top 12 this weekend? 2000 NO 16) Will the boss have a PTA above $1,500? YES 17) Will 2 films have a Friday increase above 200%? YES 18) Will KFP3 have a Saturday increase over 98.5%? 3000 YES 19) Willthe man who knew infinity have a PTA above $5000? YES 20) Will the hologram for the king turn out to be a threatening message from Lord Snoke? YES Bonuses 14/20 - 2000 15/20 - 3000 16/20 - 5000 17/20 - 7000 18/20 - 10000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will keanu gross OW? 2. What will Huntsman's weekend percentage drop be? 3. What well be the difference in dollars of the total domestic grosses of BvS and zootopia after this weekend? Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. 3. Ratchet and Clank 5. Mothers Day 8. The Boss 10. The Criminal 13. Eye in the Sky Bonuses: 3/5 ~ 4000 points 4/5 ~ 7000 points 5/5 ~ 10000 points The deadline for all this is Thursday 28th April at 11.59pm. You are only eligible to answer this set of questions If you fill in your preseason predictions by the same deadline. Anyone who leaves their preseason or edits their preseason after this Deadline will not have their predictions here counted. This is a bonus for early predictors if they choose to accept it.

Something in the back of my head just keeps screaming at me that Suicide Squad is the JW of this year and will shatter all predictions. But I just don't have the guts to make myself go any higher than my already lofty prediction or put it over CW.

TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Civil War - $555m 2) Suicide Squad - $450m 3) Finding Dory - $435m 4) The Secret Life of Pets - $320m 5) Jason Bourne - $236m 6) X-Men: Apocalypse - $235m 7) Independence Day - $210m 8) Ghostbusters - $182m 9) Alice Through the Looking Glass - $177m 10) Star Trek Beyond - $162m 11) Central Intelligence - $154m 12) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 - $140m 13) The Angry Birds Movie - $128m 14) The BFG - $123m 15) The Conjuring 2 - $117m B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Civil War - $182m 2) Suicide Squad - $172m 3) Finding Dory - $128m 4) The Secret Life of Pets -$100m 5) Apocalypse -$90m 6) Independence Day - $78m 7) Jason Bourne - $77m C: Worldwide top 10: 1) Civil War - $1.44b 2) Finding Dory - 1.24b 3) Suicide Squad - $1.15b 4) The Secret Life of Pets - $925m 5) Independence Day - $865m 6) Apocalypse -855m 7) Alice Through the Looking Glass - $790m 8) Ice Age 5 - $740m 9) Jason Bourne- $550m 10) TMNT 2 - $540m D: Worldwide Weekends: 1) Civil War 2) Suicide Squad 3) Finding Dory 4) Apocalypse 5) Independence Day E: China Box Office: 1) Civil War - $235m 2) Independence Day - $215m 3) Suicide Squad - $185m 4) Apocalypse - $150m 5) Warcraft - $140m 6) The Secret Life of Pets - $125m 7) Alice 2 - $120m F: Total Grosses: Top 15 Dom) $3.6b Top 7 W/E) Top 10 WW) Top 5 China) $935m G: Around The World in 80 Box Offices: South Korea #1) South Africa #1) Brazil #1) Mexico #1) Australia #1 ) Italy #1 ) Pre-season Questions: A generous risk-free question to start you off: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Petes Dragon B: 200M Independence Day C: 300M Secret Life of Pets D: 400M Finding Dory E: 500M Suicide Squad Each correctly predicted film scores you 15,000 points, get all four correct and receive 25,000 bonus points for 100k total. (This is the only preseason question where there is no penalty for being wrong so enjoy it). 1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 2) Independence Day Resurgence - $210m 3) Angry Birds Movie 4) Ghostbusters Answer correctly: 12,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 2,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 20M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 10M and receive 23,000 points bonus. 2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) Free State of Jones 2) Purge: Election Year 3) Popstar: Never Stop Not Stopping 4) Nine Lives - $15m Answer correctly: 12,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 2,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 10M and receive a 13,000 point bonus, Predict to within 5M and receive 23,000 points bonus 3) Will at least 3 films make more than 300M domestically by the end of the game? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 4) Will animated films combine to make more than 800M domestically by the end of the game? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 5) Will at least 3 films make more than 100M OW domestic? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 6) Will any film have either a second domestic 3 day weekend or a second worldwide weekend that would have qualified for its respective top X table if multiple entries had been allowed? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 7) Will at least 3 of the top 5 domestic films of the summer NOT be comic book films? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 8) Will the top 3 films of the summer’s combined gross be higher than the combined gross of Batman vs Superman, Jungle Book and Zootopia? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 9) Will any film have a domestic Opening Weekend above $50M but not open to number one at the box office? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 10) Will at least 2 sequel/prequel/reboots drop more than 33.33% Domestically from the previous installment in its franchise (Civil War is vs Winter Soldier, Apocalypse is against DOFPand Bourne is vs Ultimatum for this question)? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 11) Will at least 2 DOMESTIC titles make over $150M in China? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 12) Will at least 3 animated films open to number one at the domestic box office? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 13) Will any film with a budget above $120M (according to BOM or another credible source) gross less than $60M domestically? YES Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 14) Will any domestic film get more than 8 million admissions in South Korea? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 15) Will any film make more than $45M in Germany? NO Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 16) Will at least 3 comedy films (as listed by BOM) make over $100M domestic? YES Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 17) Will any film open to 1st place domestically in its opening weekend and then drop more than 64% in its second week? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 18) Will any film in the worldwide top 10 NOT be in the domestic top 15 films at the end of the game? YES Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 6,000 points 19) Which combination of films will gross the most amount of money domestically during the game? 1) Finding Dory, Civil War, Popstar: Never stop Never Stopping, Mike and Dave need Wedding Dates 2) Apocalypse, Star Trek 3, Sausage Party, Alice Through the Looking Glass 3) Warcraft, Neighbours 2, Tarzan, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2 4) Jason Bourne, Central Intelligence, Secret Life of Pets, Conjuring 2 Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 20) Which combination of films will gross the smallest amount of money during the game? 1) Pete’s Dragon, Keanu, The Shallow, Nine Lives, 2) Legend of Tarzan, Ratchett and Clank, Me Before You, Arms and the Dudes 3) Ice Age, Money Monster, Lights Out, The Space Between Us, 4) Ben Hur, Now You See Me 2, The Shallows, Mechanic: Resurrection, Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points Jajang’s (JJ-8) little set of Questions. Answer if you Dare! Part A: A Fish called Dory 1) Will Finding Dory produce the biggest “animated” opening weekend of 2016 ? (Current Record – 2016 = Zootopia 75.1m) YES 2) Will Finding Dory produce the biggest “animated” opening weekend ever ? (Current Record = Shrek the Third : 121.6m) YES 3) Will Finding Dory make more than 300m domestically ? YES 4) Will Finding Dory make more than 400m domestically ? YES 5) Will Finding Dory top the Summer Game domestically ? (ie. #1 film for the game) NO 6) Will Finding Dory make more than 1B worldwide ? YES 7) Will Finding Dory become the #1 Animated Film Worldwide (Current #1 = Frozen 1.277B) NO 8) How many weekends will an Animated Film be on top of the weekend chart ? (You have a Cushion of 1 Weekend – so if you are off by 1 you still get this correct) 4 9) Will any of the listed Animated Films have a weekend drop of “< 30%” in their 2nd weekends ? NO 10) How many Animated Films will be in the top 15 for the summer game ? (you have a Cushion of 1 Film) 3 Part B: It’s a Comic Book World 1) A comic book film is expected to make the highest opening weekend during the summer game (Many of you will have it as your number 1 Weekend). Name that Film OR if you don’t think a Comic Film will be the number 1 weekend this summer, then put NONE. CIVIL WAR 2) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Iron Man 2 (128.1m) on Opening Weekend? YES 3) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Iron Man 3 (174.1m) (and inherently more than BVS) on Opening Weekend? YES 4) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than Captain America: The Winter Soldier (259.8m)? YES 5) Will Captain America: Civil War become the biggest MCU film which doesn’t have “The Avengers” in its title (ie. More than Iron Man 3 (409m)) YES 6) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than X-Men: Days of Future Past (90.8m) on Opening weekend? YES 7) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than Deadpool (132.4m) on Opening weekend (this would make it the largest of the X-Men series)? NO 8) Will X-Men: Apocalypse make more than X-Men: The Last Stand (234.4m)? YES 9) Will X-Men: Apocalypse become the biggest of the X-Men series/franchise (Deadpool – Final number isn’t done yet)? NO 10) Will Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows make more than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) (65.6m) on Opening weekend? NO 11) Will Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows make more than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) (191.2m)? NO 12) Will Suicide Squad make more than Captain America: The First Avenger (65.1m)? YES 13) Will Suicide Squad (Total) make more than Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice Opening Weekend (170m – estimate)? YES 14) Will All Comic Book films (Total) make more than 1 Billion domestically (Total of all 4 films together)? YES 15) Will any Comic Book film drop more than 62% in it’s second weekend? (this will always reference 3 day totals only) YES 16) In how many of the following markets will a Comic Book film be the number 1 film (Total Gross) during the Game? (You have a cushion of 1 country) (Australia; Brazil; China; France; Germany; Mexico; Russia; South Korea; United Kingdom) 7 17) Will Captain America: Civil War make more than 1 Billion Worldwide? YES 18) Will Captain America: Civil War (Worldwide Total) OR X-Men: Apocalypse (Worldwide Total) make than Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows (Worldwide Total) AND Suicide Squad (Worldwide Total) Worldwide? NO 19) Will at least 2 Comic Book films receive a Cinema Score of at least “A”? YES 20) How Many Comic Book films will be in the ALL 3 of the main game charts? (there is no Cushion for this one!) 3 REMEMBER!!! USE THIS TEMPLATE (WITHOUT DELETING ANYTHING) AND RECEIVE 20,000 BONUS POINTS ABSOLUTELY FREE!!!

This is totally insane and will make studios completely re-consider R rated blockbusters as a risky gamble. The marketing was just saturated to unavoidable levels and I think that's what really makes this stand out compared to other big budget R movies. Although we already saw something similar to an extent with Revenant. If studios are figuring out that a big budget R movie has to have the marketing campaign on the level of its pg-13 peers to be able to perform like them, and it's actually giving results, then it could open up huge possibilities for artistic integrity in blockbusters.

Damn, that's rough for KFP3. Can't imagine what would have happened if it had kept that much more competitive Xmas date. I guess DOM audiences truly never wanted any sequels to the first despite it being well liked. Just goes to show success and good reception doesn't always equal sequel demand. Of course OS has made them worthwhile for profit, but i think dwa should stop here. Meanwhile, Home's random breakout becomes even more perplexing as it seems like that could have just been a fluke for dwa and they are still on the downward spiral.

Baumer has a weird fixation with at sea movies it seems. His obsession with Titanic, his $175m Heart of the Sea winter game prediction, now this. Just become a sailor Baumer.

Expected for The Finest Hours. The marketing basically said, "hey, under 60? Nothing to see here!" Decent and expected for kfp3. Though you never know how high or low animated opening Sat jumps will be in a time of year like this

Wouldn't surprise me if it follows the second's DOM run down to a tee.

But opening "well" for this movie would be like 15m. Why on earth would it do much more?

The trailer for this is actually the only one I saw all 4 times when I saw Star Wars. I don't know how much it was attached with most of the TFA screenings, but if it was a lot then that should have led to great awareness for it.

Lol, let's not get ridiculous. What kind of crazy ass, unrealistic scenario is that?

YES. Deal with it.

I'd little to no chance on Allegiant, Cloverfield, or Keanu. Obviously no for Finest Hours. Barbershop has 100 potential, the first two both adjust to roughly that area. Greek Wedding 2 I still think is great counter-programming to BvS and should manage 100. Miracles From Heaven has a decent shot if it performs like Heaven is For Real. The Boss is McCarthy, and she took the much less appealing Tammy close to 100, so don't count that out. Finally, Hunstman can't exactly be written off either since the first grossed over 150m (even though I'd be shocked if this one does hit 100). Summer and holiday will be what inflate the 100 list this year though. We've got like 35 of them vying to join the club in those months.

The New Dominion The Shadow Dominion The First Dominion The Dark Dominion Yes, I like the word 'dominion.' And dominion in this case pertaining to the First Order gaining control of a certain part of the galaxy.

If this is a feast or famine year then a whole bunch of big budget films are in trouble this summer.

I think it's best if we exclude Mortdecai from the espionage genre. Or any genre...

Looks like 100 is officially dead for Sisters along with any other 2015 film not at that mark. 2015 is our first year without 30 since '08 then.

Forgot about Sully and Silence, though can officially cross out 13 Hours off my long shots list.

Lmfao, I legitimately forgot about BoS' existence when do those spy rankings, even though it's nominated for BP. Kinda says it all for my opinion of it I guess.

1. Rogue Nation 2. Spy 3. UNCLE 4. Kingsman (got too over the top for my tastes) 5. Spectre

Spectre's final act was absolutely a disaster. When they blow up the base and Bond says something along the lines of "it's not over yet!", I literally thought to myself "dear god, there's more of this?"