MovieMan89

If Dory is headed to 500+, I will be very interested to see how Pets is affected. Would be insane if it still does 300+. It would certainly mean this year has seen the genre's popularity at an absolute all time high.

Let's be real here it would be far more Spy Kids than ET, this is Bay we're talking about.

Lol, it's like a ghetto IRL version of Wall-E, after he signed up for the military.

My Dory prediction started out at 500 in the game and I just kept gradually lowering it everytime I edited. Ugh, hate when that kind of thing happens!

Lmao, somewhere a fish not named Dory just lost her damn mind.

Ah yes, I had forgotten that. IO's re-expansion last year really was insane though. It went back to 3,000 theaters after dropping to like 700.

I feel like the all time DOM animation record is one Disney would actively care about, especially since Frozen has the WW one. So hopefully if it comes anywhere in the vicinity of Shrek 2 on its own, they find a way to get it over. IO got that massive re-expansion last labor day.

It already has a pretty huge 38m lead over TS3 through the same point though, so Shrek 2's record really should be toast.

I'm still very nervous about the weekend hold though. This summer keeps throwing us awful second weekend drops, even when it looks like they might not be that bad. Incredible Monday and Tuesday for it though, at any rate.

Not disagreeing, just saying it would have been impossible for it to have the legs it did without a Holiday release. It could have easily done 50m or more less.

Exactly. If you look at it, it's clear that Frozen's early run wasn't anything particularly spectacular until right around Christmas. That's when it's box office performance got crazy. Without that Holiday boost, who knows how much less it may have done. And who knows how having a huge direct competitor would have affected it.

Zootopia's DOM run is more impressive than Frozen's just for the record. Released in the heart of the school year, no holiday or summer legs to help it. A massive blockbuster direct competitor just a month later with The Jungle Book (something Frozen never had in its whole run). No merchandise frenzy or big soundtrack to elevate its popularity. No throngs of obsessed little girls seeing it over and over. Released in an increasingly harsher climate for legs and longevity. Nothing on its side but straight up immaculate WOM taking it to 85%+ of Frozen's total, despite all the disadvantages it had in comparison. Incredible.

These DOM weekends could be a real saving grace for me at this point, already have a cool 45k from them.

Pretty damn impressive when you also consider its OW only ranks 19th of all time.

Normally I would agree with you that it's a lock to beat it, but this summers multis have been catastrophic even for the well reviewed films. So can't say for sure because of that, but I do think it made just enough on OW to have an excellent chance of beating S2.

Lol, I didn't realize nearly every player in the game is losing points on everything so far WW save for maybe Dory and a few on Warcraft.

Wow, that's a way better Monday than I ever expected for Dory! Hope we're finally in for a blockbuster this summer that doesn't have amputee legs, because this 3x multi being an unreachable goal this summer is getting ridiculous.

May-July will see kid focused movies grossing upwards of $1b combined DOM. I fail to see where there is room for another 100+ grosser in that market until mid August at the earliest, unless we were talking about a WDAS, Pixar, or Illumination release.

I think Boxtrolls and ParaNorman were rather unappealing sells for kids, so it's impressive they even did what they did. Kubo looks like a fun adventure with gorgeous and very modern looking animation. I think the gross ends up much more on Coraline's level, especially with strong reviews. But 100 would still be a huge long shot for it, not predicting that.

This will be a WOM based movie since I think the opening is locked in the 20-30 range. If it's really well liked though, 100 could be a long shot possibility.

Unless marketing is misleading though, I can't see Storks getting remotely good WOM. Peregrine on the other hand definitely has the possibility for good WOM. Also I think Kubo has a solid chance to beat Coraline and become Laika's highest grosser. It looks far more CG than the typical stop motion film, which will inherently give it more appeal.

Ice Age is in for an epic tumble DOM. Ice Age 4 got away with not crashing hard because all it had to deal with that summer was Brave and Madagascar 3. Dory and Pets' combined domination of the market will be massive when IA5 releases, not to mention Angry Birds, Alice, BFG, and TMNT won't exactly have added up to chump change either. 100 is the ceiling for IA5 at this point, and that would only be if it gets WOM on the level of the first or third. Storks is September, not terribly long after this summer's kid onslaught. Especially since I see Pete's Dragon and Kubo both being mini August breakouts. I'd also put more stock in Peregrine being a Goosebumps level hit now that it moved to September. Which means Storks won't be void of competition, doesn't have to hit 100 by defualt. The Oscar contenders all depend on if they deliver or not. This time last year we were all saying Joy was locked for 100.

Storks looks on the level of The Nut Job or worse. You guys really think it's cracking 100? Angry Birds barely did it and I'd say had a lot more going for it.

All those in bold range from only slightly likely to massive long shots.

Just thought I'd drop by to say last night's ep may be the single greatest achievement in a TV series I have ever seen. That is all.