MovieMan89

Wow, if other big cities start shutting down like that nothing might make 10m this weekend.

A big YES to the first and third items, but a massive HELL TO THE NO for that second one.

Let's just set out sights on this getting past the incredibly high bar of Vampire Academy's gross, then we can maybe set our sights on the big dogs like the Host.

Those poor struggling artists.

Dory and Pets are far more likely to hurt it than it hurt them.

They have been extra spicy with their consensuses lately.

Butler is such a wasted action star. He's actually starting to look old, and it made me realize that he effectively wasted his prime action star years making crap like this (and terrible rom-coms).

I think awareness is huge because the damn marketing has been relentless. However, I don't think it's at all safe to say 50+ OW yet given I'm sure there are tons of people who can't stand the marketing. It is very divisive.

I had 5th Wave and The Boy pegged for 6th and 7th place this weekend.

There are only like 6 movies so far that won't be all walls of red.

The poster is incredible. If this were the 90's this would be so massive.

76/176 for Deadpool!?! Wow, some are in for mighty disappointments if that's really the expectation.

Cinderella was such an incredibly dull movie for such strong reviews and box office. I can't even imagine its target young girl audience remembers it anymore.

It has 3 pans.

Welcome again to the dark side and our infinite cookie supply.

Is there though? I'm honestly not trying to troll since I love the first film, I just don't think Avatar has anywhere near the fanbase at this point that the first Terminator or Alien film had. Those films got more and more popular with each passing year after they were released, and by the time the sequels were about to come out they were more popular than ever. Yes Avatar was huge in its initial run, but I still don't think it has maintained much relevance among the GA. And each passing year does matter because it gets further and further in the back of the GA's minds. I honestly feel like a lot of people are saying "so what?" to these sequels at this point. They will need to knock it out of the park with marketing right out of the gate. I think this will very much be its predecessor all over again in having to convince the GA to get on board first with great marketing and then with great WOM. If it lacks either of those, then it will fail. This is not a hype movie.

Probably but not obviously. The two are awfully close in gross heading into the weekend, and TFA is likely to have the stronger holds on 2/3 days. There's a chance.

Lol, Kal was just arguing with me the other day that this was a lock for 2017 when I said it had like a 5% chance.

I'd say TFA has a shot at going back to #1 for the weekend. It's only gonna be around 300k behind Revenant on Thursday and it's ahead on MT right now. TFA should have the better Sat/Sun holds.

1. Which new opener will make the most this weekend? Shitty DeNiro 2. Will at least 1 new entry enter into the top 3? 2000 NO 3. Will the Big Short drop less than 8% this weekend? NO 4. Will Norm of the North have the biggest drop amongst all animated (including Alvin) films this weekend? YES 5. Will the Revanant finally hit the number 1 spot this weekend? 3000 NO 6. Will Sisters remain in the top 10 this weekend? 3000 NO 7. Will the forest finish above Norm of the North? NO 8. Will Star Wars cross 875M total by the end of the weekend? YES 9. Will Spotlight finish above Brooklyn this weekend? 2000 NO 10. Will any film in the top 12 drop more than 62%? YES 11. Will Monster Hunt have a PTA above $6000? NO 12. Will any film increase 2005 or more on Friday? 2000 YES 13. Will any film decrease more than 47% on Sunday? NO 14. Which film in the top 8 will have the highest PTA? 3000 The Revenant 15. Do you miss the lack of bear films being released this weekend? Bearly 10/15 - 2000 11/15 - 3000 12/15 - 4000 13/15 - 6000 14/15 - 8000 15/15 - 10000 Part 2 1. What will the 3 highest new openers combined OW be? 5000 24.875 2. What will Creed's total be by end of Saturday? 5000 108.115 3. What will Ride Along make on Sunday? 5000 4.480 Part 3 1. The Revenant 3. Ride Along 5. 13 Hours 8. Daddy's Home 10. Norm 13. The Hateful Eight 16. Brooklyn 2000 each plus... 4/7 - 2000 5/7 - 5000 6/7 - 8000 7/7 - 11000

Hollywood Studios will be a construction war zone starting later this year until 2019-2021. Stay away from there.

Grr, damn snowstorms always getting in the way of box office this time of year. I've seen a movie in a Colorado blizzard before, priorities people.

Yeah, I heard that but there's nothing in the world that would make me buy a 2018 opening for SW land. I've followed too many Disney park constructions to get fooled. Construction for it would have had to be at least close to going vertical for that to have a chance. They've yet to even announce where exactly they're building it in Hollywood Studios. And in Disneyland they are going to have to completely re-route the Rivers of America/Disneyland Railroad, as they are cutting it short to create some new land. They're also demolishing Big Thunder Ranch for it, which I don't believe has started either yet. I'm guessing IX's release in 2019 is their current target, but I only give that about a 50/50 chance of happening even if they really try.

TFA is in good shape for a great hold this weekend. Could do up to 18m with a 2m Thursday.