MovieMan89

Fortunately the Flopbender is used to the shade. It's where the movies he headlines spend their existence.

Interesting week. Depending on actuals I could get closest on as many as 4 questions, but then I kinda bombed on the rest. I don't think most people realized the theater counts for Macbeth and Legend this week based on the answers, but worked out well for me.

Truly pathetic for Heart of the Sea. Can't beat a 4th weekend movie that can barely pull 8 figures itself. I would feel bad for it if WB hadn't made THE stupidest and most unnecessary re-schedule of all time. They pretty much had this coming thinking they could open it a week before The Great Cinematic Eclipse. Sisters and Alvin are going to open to sub 10m or worse, and all the Xmas openers are going to open sub 20m (maybe even sub 15). TFA's presence will block the sun.

Admittedly haven't seen either, but I have been sensing Carol becoming the true front-runner for quite some time. Everything seems to be working in its favor, and it certainly doesn't hurt that it deals with a subject that 2015 was a watershed year for. Spotlight winning is still something I will have to see to believe. I didn't follow my initial instincts when I first saw Boyhood in the summer that it couldn't actually win, and I obviously should have. That was my first instinct also after seeing Spotlight.

I don't see Bridge of Spies missing in an expanded field, especially when War Horse didn't. I'd still put it as the most likely 6th nom after the 5 we basically know are getting in (Spotlight, Revenant, Martian, Room, Carol). Too much going for it compared to most of the other contenders. Hateful Eight is probably out of contention with the Globes snubs. Tarantino films have never missed on the big categories there but then gotten them at the Oscars.

There for sure is. The movie is way too slight to be considered a safe bet in any big category. While it hits the mark in each individual aspect of film-making, it is such a quaint movie that really does nothing to separate itself from countless other period piece romantic dramas. I'm not sure what will make it stand out enough to get nominated, except a weak field. If TFA is enough of a phenomenon and the Academy hops on board, Brooklyn would be the one I see getting axed. Or if they do decide IO deserves a nom, Brooklyn would be the one I see getting axed. Or if The Big Short picks up enough momentum for a nom, and etc. Though at the moment I feel like only 6 movies are very safe bets (though amazingly Max is quickly becoming a 7th), so there is still room I suppose.

Annoyed it's going to beat MI5 by such a small amount. Would've been nice to have the truly superior spy film win.

Nice rebound for Peanuts. Finally really good for TGD, but the damage is done.

Lord what a flop. With its drop next weekend it is bound to miss out on 40m DOM. 30m isn't even locked if it opens to 11.

I feel like Howard has had this "Oscar guy" perception attached to him for years, which is ironic since he really hasn't received that much recognition from them (only 2 BD noms and 3 BP noms I believe). Rush was a fantastic film and still couldn't make an awards season dent, so it truly is mind boggling how they thought Sea would. And they clearly must have to move it for no good reason to a week right before Star Wars.

I think for some reason I thought Serkis was part of the Disney one, not making his own.

Watch all the holdovers drop 50%+ next weekend. Sea might go like 70%.

Lol, there's another big budget Jungle Book coming out besides the Disney one? How did I miss that?

Yeah, gotta have all the ones we specifically stated correct on that film. And if I understand that last bit right that means you can't get point for all the things its nominated in if you went specific, just the categories you chose?

Hey maybe the movie will beat the OW record on OD (110 Thursday/99 Friday). The forum would be toast.

What? That's not how I read the points working at all. It's supposed to be if something you specifically state doesn't get nominated then you lose all those points (i.e. I put Best Pic for Spotlight and if it doesn't get that I lose on all the Spotlight points). You don't have to guess every single thing it will get a nom for though. That would be practically impossible to predict right. Unless I read it wrong, in which case tons of people are screwed.

The weekend thread this time next week:

Yikes, looks like Sea is flopping harder than I already expected. Shoot, there goes my In the Heart of the Sea over Star Wars club.

Cranston is picking up momentum, and Depp has maintained his. I think Fassbender will end up getting snubbed in a total SJ shut out (Big Short knocks it out of screenplay and Mirren knocks Winslet out of supporting).

Ha, no idea how I missed that since here I was pointing out the dates to you. Thanks.

EDIT: nvm

Ugh, the Globe noms are really throwing off my confidence in the acting categories now. Will Vikander and/or Mara be lead now? Will Keaton and Ruffalo cancel each other out again?

So it looks like Mad Max may officially have a shot at the nom at this point. Shocked but thrilled.

So then will they be competing in that category at the Oscars? Cause things are going to get ugly if so.

Go Mad Max!!! It won't happen, but I would legitimately be thrilled to see Spy take the Comedy/Musical category. Easily my fav out of those films. Lmao at Ruffalo getting nominated, but for Infinite Polar Bear and not Spotlight. Why are Vikander and Mara both in the lead category? Hope that doesn't happen at the Oscars.