MovieMan89

The hallmark of a classic.

Spectre and SW7 should join too, though they will knock Minions back out. Still, half of the WW top ten set to be 2015 releases by early next year.

This is a B- post. Let me show you what an A+ post looks like: Gravity is an A+ film.

I'm hoping the mediocre trailers will mean I love the movie, since I loved Skyfall's trailers but was lukewarm on the actual movie.

Well that wasn't exactly a hard feat to accomplish...

Prometheus is amazing despite its flaws and all the haters really need to get over their major hangups on some of minuscule issues with it (if I hear the crew was stupid so the whole movie is one more time...). We get it, you hated it. Not sure why they constantly feel the need to trash it whenever anyone else expresses a favorable view.

The teaser of the song sounds like they're going for the same Shirley Bassey retro throwback vibe as with Skyfall. Meh. What happened to when a Bond song could be diverse in genre and reflective of an artist's sound? Why do they want the same boring retro orchestral pop song now?

I think this Holiday season will be eerily similar to summer with the top 4 films (SW, Bond, MJ2, TGD) pulling massive numbers, and then a huge gap between #4 and #5. Wouldn't be surprised if only a couple other Holiday films even do 100.

The Hateful Eight's weird release is throwing me off for predicting it. It only opens in a retrofitted 70mm format on the 25th, so I'm assuming that won't be many screens and will essentially be like a limited release right? It doesn't open on digital screens until the 8th of January, so basically it's missing the Holiday season in wide release if I understand correctly.

Was gone this weekend, but geez what a disappointing weekend after all the potential with MR2 and BM. So much for MT's decent track record. At least Everest did decent for IMAX only.

MT has not been that flawed concerning a movie in months though. It was extremely reliable this summer to get a general idea of things. The general idea of BM though was that it should be a massive breakout if it was 5x ahead of a YA sequel, which tend to dominate pre-sales. This is by far the biggest anomaly I've ever seen in MT's accuracy and if it continues they will no longer be very reliable at all. There's a reason why most of us who follow MT on a regular basis upped our predictions for BM so much. Because they do tend to be far more accurate than they are this weekend. The BM number is still great. Before the MT situation I was only expecting 25-30.

MR2 will probably still do over 100 though. Movie was only just slightly below the first in quality imo, so I'd expect WOM to be similar.

So about the same OW then for MR2 as the first. Could be worse, but definitely a little disappointing. We also know MT was indeed "drunk" this week. BM is an adult drama that was like 5x ahead of a YA sequel but still didn't outgross it on Friday. Obviously still an extremely strong opening for BM, MT was just way messed up on it though.

Great for everything really. BM could definitely pull 40 or more using Gone Girl as a comparison, and Everest could do a solid 10m which is not far off from MI4's IMAX debut. MR2 could be a little better, but it should at least do around the first.

WOAH. Maybe the best poster of the year.

They should have released this in March. The marketing was strong for it at the beginning of the year and I think it could have done 100+ in March fairly easily. Now the marketing has gone worse and more non-existent and there's too much competition. Still predicting 75-85 for it, but it could definitely do less. Unless this really is good enough for a BP nom, they should've kept the original date.

A: Domestic top 15: 1) Star Wars: The Force Awakens - $1B 2) Mockingjay part 2 - $410m 3) The Good Dinosaur - $340m 4) Spectre - $270m 5) The Peanuts Movie - $150m 6) Kung Fu Panda 3 - $148m 7) The Hateful Eight - $128m 8) Ride Along 2 - $120m 9) Joy - $118m 10) Daddy's Home - $94m 11) 13 Hours- $90m 12) Goosebumps - $83m 13) The Revenant - $80m 14) Bridge of Spies - $78m 15) Creed - $75m B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) The Force Awakens - $240m 2) Mockingjay 2 - $155m 3) Spectre - $98m 4) The Good Dinosaur - $70m 5) Kung Fu Panda 3 - $48m 6) The Peanuts Movie - $43m 7) Ride Along 2 - $41m C: Worldwide top 10: 1) Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 2.55b 2) Spectre - $1.125b 3) Mockingjay part 2 - $950m 4) The Good Dinosaur - $800m 5) Kung Fu Panda 3 - $425m 6) The Hateful Eight - $365m 7) The Peanuts Movie - $355m 8) The Revenant - $220m 9) Alvin 4 - $215m 10) Creed- $205m D: Total Grosses: Top 15 Dom) $3.18b Top 7 W/E) $700m Top 10 WW) $7.225b E: Top 5 Overseas Star Wars Territories: 1) China 2) Japan 3) UK 4) France 5) Germany 6) Australia F: Pre-season Questions: A generous risk-free question to start you off: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Daddy's Home B: 200M The Peanuts Movie C: 300M Spectre D: 400M MJ2 Each correctly predicted film scores you 10,000 points, get all four correct and receive 10,000 bonus points for 50k total. (This is the only preseason question where there is no penalty for being wrong so enjoy it). 1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the winter domestically: 1) Goosebumps - $80M 2) Krampus 3) Creed 4) Concussion Answer correctly: 10,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 10M and receive a 10,000 point bonus. 2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the winter domestically: 1) Point Break - $15M 2) The Nut Job 2 3) Victor Frankenstein 4) The Last Witch Hunter Answer correctly: 10,000 points Answer incorrectly: -5,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points Correctly predict the films gross to within 10M and receive a 10,000 point bonus. 3) Will at least 3 films make more than 300M domestically by the end of the game? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 4) Will animated films combine to make more than 500M domestically by the end of the game? (Chipmunks is not considered animated here) YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 5) Will at least 2 films make more than 140M OW domestic? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 6) Will any film in the top 15 domestic have its domestic total outgrossed by its Chinese total? YES Answer correctly: 15,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 10,000 points State that you abstain: 3,000 points 7) Will at least two months’ OW records be broken by the end of the game? (This is 3 day only) YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 8) Will at least 2 of the 5 top grossing sequels/prequels/reboots become the top grossing film of their franchise by the end of the game? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 9) Will at least 5 different films in the top 15 be nominated for Oscars in either Acting, Best Song, Best Director, Best Screenplay or Best Animation or Best Film? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 10) Will the combined gross of the top 2 films domestic exceed 1 Billion Dollars? YES Answer correctly: 20,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 15,000 points State that you abstain: 4,000 points 11) Will 300M dollars be closer to Kung Fu Panda 3’s Domestic total or its Chinese total? Chinese Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 12) Will any foreign film gross more money (in dollars) in its local market than the 15th highest grosser domestically does in the USA? ABSTAIN Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 13) Will any film be pulled from the schedules at any point during the game due to fear of war with North Korea? NO Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 14) Will any film opening in less than 500 theatres in its opening week, go on to gross more than 200M dollars domestically? NO Answer correctly: 25,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 20,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 15) Which combination of films will gross the most amount of money domestically during the game? 1) Mockingjay Pt 2, Bridge of Spies, The Night Before, In Heart of the Sea 2) Spectre, The Good Dinosaur, The Hateful Eight, Krampus 3) Crimson Peak, Peanuts, Kung Fu Panda 3, Goosebumps, 4) Star Wars, The Revenant, The Danish Girl, Zoolander 2 Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points 16) Which combination of films will gross the smallest amount of money during the game? 1) Burnt, Macbeth, Alvin and the Chipmunks, Pride and Prejudice and Zombies 2) Rock the Kasbah, Victor Frankenstein, Point Break, Ride Along 2 3) Jem and the Holograms, Sisters, The Nut Job 2, 13 Hours: Secret Soldiers of Benzhagi 4) Trumbo, Rings, Deadpool, Daddy’s Home Answer correctly: 30,000 points Answer incorrectly: lose 25,000 points State that you abstain: 5,000 points And Finally… The Return of the Jedi-centric questions: 1) Will Star Wars Gross over 400M domestically? By its second weekend, maybe before (YES) 2) Will Star Wars Gross over 500M domestically? The Knight never stood a chance (YES) 3) Will Star Wars Gross over 600M domestically? Avengers disassemble, dinos goin extinct (YES) 4) Will Star Wars Gross over 1B Worldwide? If it makes $0 OS, still YES 5) Will Star Wars Gross over 1.5B Worldwide? Ships be sinking, no iceberg needed (YES) 6) Will Star Wars finish top of all 3 main prediction charts? YES 7) Will 350M dollars end up being closer to Star Wars’ Opening Weekend total than its final domestic total? YES 8) If both are released before February 5th, will Star Wars’ China total be within 150M of Kung Fu Pandas’ (over or under) YES 9) Will Star Wars end up being one of the three highest rated Star Wars films on RottenTomatoes at the end of the game? YES 10) Will Star Wars have a domestic weekend increase at any point during the game? YES 11) Will Star Wars get nominated for at least 3 Oscars? YES 12) Will Star Wars manage at least 3 domestic weekends that are higher than Avatar’s comparative weekend totals in 2009/2010? YES 13) Will Star Wars manage at least 7 domestic weekends that are higher than Titanic’s comparative weekend totals in 1997/1998? YES 14) Will Star Wars gross more domestically in December than it does in January? YES 15) Will Star Wars be number 1 at the domestic Box Office for at least 5 weeks (consecutive or non-consecutive) YES 16) Will Star Wars’ combined total dollar gross from the UK and Australia exceed its domestic Opening Weekend total? YES 17) Will Star Wars achieve more than 10 Million admissions in South Korea? YES 18) Will China account for at least 20% of Star Wars’ worldwide total if released before February 1st? NO 19) Will Star Wars’ opening day (including previews) be enough for it to make the top 15 domestic regardless of its subsequent box office? YES 20) Will Star Wars still be in the domestic top 10 at the end of the game? YES

Public Enemies?

Probably not for long though given Alice 2 and Pirates 5 are sure to do him no favors, unless he's giving us a whole new take on both characters that managed to be interesting. Oh, and he also has Yoga Hosers on his slate with this gem of a plot synopsis: Two teenage yoga enthusiasts team up with a legendary man-hunter to battle with an ancient evil presence that is threatening their major party plans

Minions and Frozen aren't really that different. Both are films I think are great if you're a kid but pretty average otherwise. The big difference being that a bunch of adults disagree with me on that front where Frozen's concerned, for reasons I'll never know.

Actually its been quite the year for lowest grossing wide releases ever. D-Train is the 11th lowest grossing among movies in at least 600 theaters, WAYF will be #3 in 2000+, Mortdecai and Blackhat are numbers 4 and 6 respectively among movies in 2500+, and Strange Magic is 4th among the 3000+ releases. Trans4ter on its way to a bottom twenty finish in the 3000+ releases too. Bombs away!

Lol. Looks like it will end up the third lowest grossing release in at least 2000 theaters ever, alongside legendary films like Delgo and Oogieloves.

If this is like Skyfall that would be pure torture for me to have to see this 10+ times in the theater.

I wouldn't be surprised if this one ends up very frontloaded. Like a 120m OW and then a 2.6-2.7x multi. The OW should be huge though, that much we know.

Yes it does inflate perception a bit, since technically JW would be the bigger OS hit if F7 had done JW numbers in China. However, F7 would still have come close to 1b OS in such a case, so crazy achievement either way.