MovieMan89

Damn that movie has some abysmal sat holds.

Yes, another 35% weekend hold!

Oh, now it makes sense. Didn't see the original post.

How the hell is JB being #1 for Sat even possible with that Fri #? Did it have like a 250%+ Sat increase?

Was it a venomoth?

Ah man I missed a Pokemon thread? Will have to look through later.

If Singer's not directing Apocalypse then it had damn sure better be Vaughn. Otherwise my expectations for it will be very low.

That Dragon number is just awful. And talk about JB plummeting since rth's initial numbers.

Hell, Apes could win the summer if the benchmark is only 230m.

Adjusted for inflation, Who Framed Roger Rabbit looks to be the lowest grossing #1 summer movie since 1980. Comes out to $302m or so. Yeah, I don't think TF4 is beating that. And it would have to beat it by like 50m+ to sell more tickets with 3d and IMAX.

Do you guys realize if TF4 doesn't have at least a 95m OW or so DOFP could be the highest grossing movie of the summer with a whopping 230m or so? I mean holy fuck that would be awful for the #1 summer movie.

However if TF4 opens sub 90m next weekend I'm officially blaming Dragon and several other movie's performance on a new box office slump.

It's a massive disappointment if it can't even match the original. However we don't even have a concrete second Friday number yet, so let's hold off a bit longer on what its legs will be like.

Madagascar 3 had an 85% second Friday jump the same time of year with a higher first Thursday. If HTTYD2 can't even match that then I'm totally out of ideas for what on earth went so wrong with it.

If it drops over 40% this weekend that goal is out too. Maybe 200 can be the goal, but even that may not happen without a sub 40% drop this weekend.

Nope. Those are all the BSG predictions, they had to be in before the first weekend in May.

Total apples to oranges comparison there. No one had any reason to think Frozen could do more than 200m pre release, hence why no box office analyst, forum poster, or intelligent being on earth predicted 300m+ for it. We had plenty of reasons to think Dragon 2 could break 300 though.

Geez so only 15 out of 65 or so went under 300 in the BSG, and no one under 250. That says it all for the epic disappointment it is. Especially since people on this board tend to be more conservative with animated predictions.

Damn. Even 7.5 wouldn't be that great. What the fuck is up with that movie at the BO?

Did rth give any Dragon number?

Awesome # for Jersey Boys. Could be a 100m+ grosser if it opens around 30m. I came so close to putting it in my top 17 in the BSG too, damn,

I'll probably get burned again, but I have a really good feeling about Dragon's hold this weekend.

Abstain

All questions worth 1000 pts Due regular time All questions pertain to the top 12 1) Will Think Like a Man Too make more than 40 mill? NO 2) Will Think Like a Man Too make more than 3.05 mill for Thurs? NO 3) Will The Jersey Boys make more than 14.5 mill? YES 4) Will 22 Jump Street fall more than 55%? NO 5) Will HTTYD2 decline less than 40%? YES 6) Will 22JS finish second? NO 7) Will Fault in our Stars drop more than 45%? YES 8) Will EOT have a Friday increase of more than 75%? YES 9) Will any film increase on Thurs? NO 10) Will any film decrease my less than 20% on Sunday? YES 11) Will any film decrease by less than 30%? YES 12) Will Frozen finish first in Japan, again? YES 13) Will FIOS drop on Saturday? NO 14) Will Maleficent finish higher than Jersey Boys? NO 12/14 3000 13/14 5000 15/15 7000 What finishes in spots: (to make up for last week) 2000 each, if you get all 8 spots, 25,000 pts If you get the spots 10-11-12-13, then you get a bonus of 10,000 No, you cannot get a bonus of 35,000, it's either or. 4 Jersey Boys 5 Maleficent 6 Edge of Tomorrow 7 The Fault in Our Stars 10 Chef 11 A Million Ways to Die in the West 12 Neighbors 13 Blended Bonus 1: What will the top ten cume be? 5000 133.550 Bonus 2: What will the drop be for Blended? 5000 60.785 Bonus 3: What will 22JS make on Friday? 5000 9.390