peludo

That is very low. From the current $339m, 550 would be (nearly) done just with what it still have to make in USA and China. Then add the rest of the markets. Those markets have done $75m last weekend. I find difficult they do not make another $125m. We would have 650-675. And I am being conservative. IMHO, 700 is the real target.

The logic tells me that it will finish in 675-700 range. Maybe a bit more. I see the Deadline range too optimistic.

Do you think that? It still has to make 7 million what means x5.1 multiplier since last weekend... yes, it can do it, although I still do not see it locked.

November 4th-6th (bold titles are local films) # (Last). Title: Total Gross (nº of weekend) 1 (3) . Trolls: €4,152,230 (2nd) 2 (2) . A monster calls: €23,036,429 (5th) 3 (N) . Sully: 1,317,539 (NEW) 4 (1) . Doctor Strange: €4,377,156 (2nd) 5 (N) . 100 metros: €587,408 (NEW) 6 (4) . Ouija: Origin of evil: €2,278,278 (2nd) 7 (5) . The girl on the train: €3,336,029 (3rd) 8 (6) . Inferno: €5,243,861 (4th) 9 (7) . Que Dios nos perdone: €1,004,823 (2nd) 10 (8) . The accountant: €2,236,404 (3rd) 11 (9) . Storks: €5,874,472 (6th) 12 (N) . Blair Witch: €201,708 (NEW) 13 (10). Miss Peregrine's Home...: €6,236,402 (6th) 14 (11). Ozzy: €1,794,303 (4th) 15 (12). I, Daniel Blake: €328,504 (2nd) 16 (N) . One piece film gold: €69,684 (NEW) 17 (N) . La danseuse: €42,688 (NEW) 18 (13). Sausage party: €3,801,510 (5th) 19 (14). Mechanic: Resurrection: €1,933,456 (5th) 20 (16). Elle: €825,582 (6th) I will have admissions data tomorrow, but A monster calls is already the biggest film of the year, both gross and admissions (over 4 million). IMO, just Rogue One can beat it, but I do not think it will go so high. Maybe it will drop like in US (if we attend predictions), to about half than SW7 did. That would mean 16-18 million euros, quite far of the 26-27 million that A monster calls can make at the end of its run.

So, that means: 1. Trolls: $1.75m 2. A monster calls: $1.6m 3. Sully: $1.5m 4. Dr. Strange: Maybe around 1-1.2m??

One thing is money and another one ranking. It can be having a standard 50% drop. Last weekend: Dr. Strange €1.9m, A monster calls €1.8m and Trolls €1.3m. A monster calls and animated films drops better than SH films and let's say that Sully starts over €1m. Not a surprising ranking.

Maybe it can make Hobbit figures. Although I think that to repeat some characters from LOTR was a big advantage for Hobbit that FB do not have.

These days we talk a lot about bad exchange rates, but FOTR and HP1 were still more damaged than today films. Incredible figures for both. Btw, @The Dark Samurai, thank you very much for the list . I find this kind of rankings way more interesting than the ordinary WW list

Ant-man did, if my data are correct, 671.74m Yuan, what means $99.3m with today ER.

November 4th-10th: 1. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 2. Wonder Woman 3. War for the Planet of the Apes 4. Beauty and the Beast 5. Rogue One 6. Arrival 7. Dunkirk 8. Thor: Ragnarok 9. Blade Runner 2049 10. La La Land

The film keeps growing in my mind. I saw the theatrical cut at theaters and it had problems, but the extended version is quite more clear and solid. It still has some problems but I still do not understand the aversion towards this. In fact, I am starting to think about it as a good film. B+

Probably. Just saying that Dr. Strange will fall way more than AMC. Although it was pretty obvious.

October 28-30th (bold titles are local films) # (Last). Title: Total Gross (nº of weekend) Admissions 1 (N) . Doctor Strange: €1,949,632 (NEW) 287,569 2 (1) . A monster calls: €20,179,516 (4th) 3,601,110 3 (N) . Trolls: €1,353,467 (NEW) 221,612 4 (N) . Ouija: Origin of evil: €968,832 (NEW) 142,235 5 (2) . The girl on the train: €2,534,345 (2nd) 562,580 6 (3) . Inferno: €4,643,474 (3rd) 880,939 7 (N) . Que Dios nos perdone: €410,509 (NEW) 57,070 8 (5) . The accountant: €1,711,238 (2nd) 372,937 9 (4) . Storks: €5,441,734 (5th) 899,022 10 (7) . Miss Peregrine's Home...: €5,935,455 (5th) 1,036,529 11 (6) . Ozzy: €1,560,660 (3rd) 305,434 12 (N) . I, Daniel Blake: €114,482 (NEW) 16,397 13 (8) . Sausage party: € 3,701,647(4th) 668,033 14 (9) . Mechanic: Resurrection: €1,879,300 (4th) 324,461 15 (10). Mike and dave need wedding dates: €401,201 (2nd) 101,371 16 (14). Elle: €773,325 (5th) 125,647 17 (11). Bridget Jones Baby: €5,258,713 (7th) 845,651 18 (16). Little men: €102,900 (2nd) 20,475 19 (12). Snowden: €460,060 (3rd) 91,797 20 (13). El hombre de las mil caras: €2,542,552 (6th) 402,284 A Monster Calls (AMC) will beat Dr. Strange next weekend. It has only dropped a 35% after Fiesta del Cine, period where AMC has sold over 800,000 admissions. With Dr. Strange release, let's take a look at MCU in Spain: 1. The Avengers: €16,247,441 (2,393,746 admissions) 2. Age of Ultron: €12,080,731 (2,113,640) 3. Iron Man 3: €9,987,310 (1,439,808) 4. Civil War: €9,943,247 (1,757,054) 5. Thor: €8,531,648 (1,184,549) 6. Guardians of the Galaxy: €7,677,639 (1,362,516) 7. Iron Man: €7,637,408 (1,315,743) 8. Thor 2: €6,551,855 (1,021,672) 9. Captain America: €5,795,028 (887,376) 10. Iron Man 2: €5,700,867 (918,409) 11. The Winter Soldier: €5,656,274 (1,046,324) 12. The Incredible Hulk: €4,895,584 (865,257) 13. Ant-Man: €3,807,391 (672,359) Until October 31st, it has been sold 82 million admissions, a 13% more than last year. The problem of this is that in the last 2 months of past year were released 8 Apellidos Catalanes and SW7, which sold more than 10 million admissions combined. I do not see potential until the end of the year to compensate this.

Well, the mouse bought many of the successes they are having. If I am not wrong, they spent 15 billion buying Marvel, Pixar and Lucasfilm. They are not specially creative. They bought the material and now they are exploiting it. Of course, good for them for making so good business, but it is starting to be a monopoly.

First Friday data say that Dr. Strange is beating "A monster calls" in Spain. There are not numbers, just ranking. The question is to know if it will keep the top spot the whole weekend but I think it can make quite decent numbers.

October 28 - November 3: 1. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 2. Wonder Woman 3. War for the Planet of the Apes 4. Beauty and the Beast 5. Dr. Strange 6. Rogue One 7. Arrival 8. Dunkirk 9. Blade Runner 2049 10. Moana

Already with provisional data (comScore), La Fiesta del Cine has set a new record with more than 2.6m admissions.

October 21-23th (bold titles are local films) # (Last). Title: Total Gross (nº of weekend) Admissions 1 (1) . A monster calls: €15,639,191 (3rd) 2,414,103 2 (N) . The girl on the train: €967,865 (NEW) 140,628 3 (2) . Inferno: €3,243,391 (2nd) 498,663 4 (3) . Storks: €4,826,090 (4th) 736,079 5 (N) . The accountant: €647,420 (NEW) 90,632 6 (6) . Ozzy: €1,148,647 (2nd) 190,695 7 (5) . Miss Peregrine's Home...: €5,289,131 (4th) 852,294 8 (4) . Sausage party: €3,116,996 (3rd) 488,813 9 (7) . Mechanic: Resurrection: €1,620,432 (3rd) 245,811 10 (N) . Mike and dave need wedding dates: €150,701 (NEW) 22,332 11 (9) . Bridget Jones Baby: €5,140,740 (6th) 806,157 12 (8) . Snowden: €326,018 (2nd) 51,259 13 (10). El hombre de las mil caras: €2,425,199 (5th) 367,425 14 (12). Elle: €689,229 (4th) 104,731 15 (13). The secret life of pets: €21,747,508 (12th) 3,901,168 16 (N) . Little men: €43,900 (NEW) 6,339 17 (11). The Magnificent Seven: €3,058,927 (5th) 489,954 18 (N) . La próxima piel: €37,368 (NEW) 5,531 19 (15). A quiet passion: €205,542 (3rd) 94,696 20 (14). Don't breathe: €3,825,073 (8th) 613,852 Fiesta del Cine (Tuesday): 909,442 admissions sold. I do not have every data from previous editions but if the biggest day had been 2 years ago with more than 800,000 adm, this Tuesday figure means a new absolute record. 1,546,629 2-days cume. So final Monday figure is 637,187. Edit: A monster calls has sold 200,000 admissions on Monday and 300,000 on Tuesday. It is very likely to sell another 300k on Wednesday. It should cross the 3m admissions mark today. And with Inferno at theathers, the Robert Langdon films are: The Da Vinci Code: €26,782,492 (#15 all time) 5,071,930 adm (#28 all time) Angels & Demons: €15,770,005 (2,642,626 adm)

Fiesta del Cine (Monday): 603,809 admissions sold. It is a 563% higher than last Monday. Source: comScore It means a record for the first day of every edition of this initiative. The absolute record is for the 3rd day of Spring 2014 edition (8 apellidos vascos was in theaters). Over 800,000 admissions. For the record: May 2016 (Monday): 425,167 admissions

Ok, I see that JTTW2 will be the beast of the year, maybe even challenging The Mermaid (with today ER, Mermaid would had grossed $500m). What about Beauty and the Beast? Considering the success of Jungle Book, could it be a 1 billion Yuan contender? maybe more?

Really? over TF5? TF4 was 700m higher than JTTW (1 1/3 year gap). Is JTTW2 really so anticipated in China to match that difference?

Weekend estimates: 1. A monster calls: €2.6m (-28%) 2. The girl on the train: €0.9m 3. Inferno: €0.8m 4. Storks: €0.6m 5. The accountant: €0.6m Today starts La Fiesta del Cine (Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday). A monster calls will obviously be the winner.

October 21 - 27: 1. Wonder Woman 2. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 3. War for the Planet of the Apes 4. Beauty and the Beast 5. Dr. Strange 6. Arrival 7. Dunkirk 8. Blade Runner 2049 9. Rogue One 10. Moana

Sure. In fact, I started that debate It is clear that China is a very special case. And for that reason, these forums have an specific section dedicated to that market. Even, we started some months ago to talk about DOM / China / OS-C when we talked about predictions. I agree with you in that sense. For this reason and when you see Dory making barely $500m without China (when its run had finished) and you compare with Nemo, which did $530m (about $500m with ER, the same than Dory), 13 years ago, without 3D and without the expansion of Latin American and Asian markets (beyond China), you see that the result is disappointing. No matters how you look at it.

I do not think it is useless. You can just take the billion data as a huge success. And in fact to reach 1 billion for any movie is very big. That for sure. But I see it a quite superficial conclusion. We are here because we love films, for sure. And many of us tend to celebrate figures of those films we love. But we are here because we love the box office analysis too (at least, that is my case). And to analize the OS figures is complex enough to say that it is not the same the Dory's billion than the Zootopia's one (even although for the studios mean the same money). We tend to just split DOM and OS as if OS total can be considered as a whole market, and that is not correct. It is not the same to reach 1 billion with a 50/50 DOM/OS ratio than with a 30/70. And it is not the same to be the biggest animated film ever in China or to have a forgettable run. Said this, I am not trying to over/underestimate what Dory, Zootopia or whatever film had done. Just to understand why these numbers have happened and what can mean for future similar films.