cory

Hopefully it was just because of NBA, but it's only slightly harsher than I anticipated.

Yeah I'm feeling around a 52-55M 2nd weekend right now. Low: 15-20-14 = 49 (-53%) Older skewing: 16-21-15 = 52 (-49%) Younger skewing: 16-23-15 = 54 (-47%) Still thinking 301-304M total. 3.0X is not in play yet.

Yeah Lionsgate probably netted a decent payday from this because of their financing model and DOM performance, but they would have to put up a much larger % of the budget for a sequel since intl markets didn't respond to PR. If they budgeted it for a 60/35 theatrical maybe it could work.

Nah, Spider-Man is the only traditional entry, and then it's a 5 month gap until Ragnarok and JL. We saw Apoc suffer last year because it followed 2 traditional CMBs. Next year however, will be the true test.

It opened on a Monday and it still did over 3x when you take out its Mon-Thurs gross. Insane.

It can hold 7% worse than JW (with similar competition) and still cross $300M. Definitely possible.

As it stands Iron Man 2 and Guardians 2 are the only MCU sequels which only require watching one previous film.

Especially with summer weekdays starting to kick in after its first week. I guess the public wasn't ready for a masterpiece.

Guardians dropped 49% from true-3-day in late summer, should hold a smidge better than that in early summer.

DC/Marvel true solo debuts BOM-Adjusted OW (in millions of USD) Spider-Man 174.7 Deadpool 136.4 Iron Man 121.4 Guardians 103.2 Wonder Woman 100.5 Hulk 91.1 Batman 90.2 X-Men 89.3 Doctor Strange 85.5 Fantastic Four 77.3 Captain America 72.4 Thor 72.1 Watchmen 65.4 Ant-Man 61.3 Daredevil 59.1 Ghost Rider 58.3 Green Lantern 58.3 Constantine 41.1 Blade 32.2 Superman 28.2 The Punisher 19.7 Supergirl 15.1 Jonah Hex 6.0 Steel 1.7 BOM-Adjusted PTA (in thousands of USD) Superman 55.5 Spider-Man 48.3 Batman 41.1 Deadpool 38.3 Iron Man 29.6 X-Men 29.5 Guardians 25.3 Hulk 24.9 Wonder Woman 24.1 Doctor Strange 22.0 Fantastic Four 21.5 Captain America 19.5 Thor 18.2 Watchmen 18.1 Ghost Rider 16.1 Ant-Man 15.9 Green Lantern 15.3 Blade 13.9 Constantine 13.7 Daredevil 11.6 Supergirl 9.4 The Punisher 7.4 Jonah Hex 2.1 Steel 1.3

100% agree. I love the DCEU but SS got butchered.

I think WB will put the estimates at $101,500,000 to make it look less weird.

I've seen the following SH movies in theaters: Batman Forever X2 Spider-Man 2 Batman Begins X-Men The Last Stand Spider-Man 3 (Midnight) Iron Man The Incredible Hulk The Dark Knight Watchmen Iron Man 2 X-Men First Class Captain America John Carter The Avengers The Dark Knight Rises (Midnight) The Amazing Spider-Man Iron Man 3 X-Men: Days of Future Past Captain America: The Winter Soldier Guardians of the Galaxy Age of Ultron Civil War Doctor Strange Power Rangers Guardians 2 Wonder Woman

Thanks darling. 100m still in play 11-27-35-28

She's only had the 70s show and a 2009 animated movie before this. Everything else was with Justice League.

Supergirl 1984 was the first.

Jasmine Masters is the Charlie Chaplin of our times.

Hmm, I was hoping PR would hold a little better. I think the problem is that it's too slow and interpersonal to be a kids movie, but it gets too silly at times to attract a general audience. I'd like to see a sequel, if only to see the characters again.

Well yes, SS is definitely the more successful project overall.

SS's marketing budget and residuals are probably astronomically higher than STB's.

So yeah, turns out Star Trek was done in by its release date more than anything else.

Star Trek has been brought back from extinction twice, it's not going anywhere.

It would have to land at the low end of tracking for OW and get an atrocious multiplier for a semi-non-sequel to miss 300.

Will any movie land in the increasingly elusive $200-299 million range this year?

"Fatigue" isn't the right word, it's more that it's a known quantity at this point. Happened with HP too, it's just settling into a groove.