F8 grossed $618M OS-Ch, about -20% drop from F7 ($773M)
AoU grossed ~$706M Os-Ch, a -13% drop from TA ($805M).
*In AoU case though, it was a 3-year gap with 2015 ER being much worse compare to 2012. So even wonkily, if we factor that in, AoU OS-Ch likely increased from TA (or at the worst, stay flat)
JW may be more comparable to F7>>F8, so I expect ~20% drop OS on the worse side, and ~10% drop on the more optimistic end. Add in the big advantage of China increasing instead of staying flat (in dolllars) like with F8, and it’ll be in for a good run.