druv10 Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 (edited) And what is needed for CF to have the smallest 2nd weekend drop for a film that opened over 120 million? 78.6M would give it smaller drop than TA. Edited November 30, 2013 by druv10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 (edited) And what is needed for CF to have the smallest 2nd weekend drop for a film that opened over 120 million? It's not going to "beat" TA's 50.3% drop but to answer your question, it needs to exceed $78.563million 1 - .503 = .497 (that's what you multiply by..not .503) .497 X 158,074,286 = $78.563 million Example: Take a film that grosses $10 million in its OW and drops 80% in its 2nd weekend. In order to estimate that 2nd weekend gross you multiply $10 x (1-0.8) = $10 x 0.2 = $2 million (horrible drop! ) Edited November 30, 2013 by lilmac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Saturday Update: Lionsgate reports this morning that The Hunger Games: Catching Fire earned another $31.25 million on Black Friday, up 110 percent from its Thanksgiving Day haul. That brings the sequel up to a $253.2 million domestic haul through 8 days of release, 33 percent ahead of the pace of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I. BoxOffice projects Catching Fire will bring in $75 million for its sophomore weekend as part of a record $110.7 million five-day Thanksgiving window (topping 2001's Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone which grossed $82.39 million). Frozen is successfully capturing an audience that has been underserved in recent weeks: families, once again proving that female-leaning films can succeed even in a competitive marketplace. Stellar reviews have been driving buzz for the film, and early word of mouth appears quite strong with 91 percent Flixster users approving of or still anticipating seeing the film. BoxOffice is projecting a $67 million 3-day weekend gross forFrozen, making for a stellar 5-day debut of $93.3 million. http://www.boxoffice.com/latest-news/2013-11-28-north-america-the-hunger-games-catching-fire-and-frozen-both-on-pace-for-record-breaking-thanksgiving-weekend-performances Insane weekend for top 2. Records falling left and right. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Not if you're outside the top 2. Underwhelming after Frozen and Katniss...I know. There's enough win between the Top 2 to make up for that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviefanatic Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Well then i want this to make 78.7 million this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Is 400m possible for cf, if not what is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Is 400m possible for cf, if not what is$400m is now a foregone conclusion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 This time last weekend the panic was palpable. Now, it's a celebration. I suppose CF's weekend numbers were just altered by the shift in release date. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 So CF will end this weekend with a 50m lead on THG, and a weekend that's 20m higher. I think beating THG is a lock now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 (edited) Can Hunger Games and Frozen survive next weekend? I hope for 25M for both. Edited November 30, 2013 by CJohn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Is 400m possible for cf, if not what is 400M is locked. I've it finishing between 415-420M with outside shot at 450M, if it really holds well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Is 400m possible for cf, if not what is It's essentially made the same through two weekends as TDK. It obviously won't do 533 million, but it's not doing 130 million less, either. So yea, 400 is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 My projections are pretty much the same as boxoffice.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 Is 400m possible for cf, if not what is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 And the Katniss roller coaster continues... http://accursedarachnid.wordpress.com/2013/11/26/box-office-analysis-catching-fire-vs-deathly-hollows-part-1-135/ VS Catching Fire grosses 135+% of Harry Potter 7 = $400 million. Day - HP7 Gross – Chg – CF Gross – Chg – Difference – Gap 8. $28.12m +82% $31.25m(EST) +110% +3.13m -4.37m 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 My projections are pretty much the same as boxoffice.com Your projections are.......ready for it?...this is going to be hilarious...Fake! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 400M is locked. I've it finishing between 415-420M with outside shot at 450M, if it really holds well.My one concern is beating THG so that stupid $400m sequel rule can finally be put to rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 Post-Thanksgiving holds for the big boys (> $30mil Thanksgiving weekend grossers) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 And the Katniss roller coaster continues... http://accursedarachnid.wordpress.com/2013/11/26/box-office-analysis-catching-fire-vs-deathly-hollows-part-1-135/ VS Catching Fire grosses 135+% of Harry Potter 7 = $400 million. Day - HP7 Gross – Chg – CF Gross – Chg – Difference – Gap 8. $28.12m +82% $31.25m(EST) +110% +3.13m -4.37m That's the biggest single day lead yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Can Hunger Games and Frozen survive next weekend? I hope for 25M for both.Neither of them are going to fall THAT hard. I'm expecting 31-33M for Frozen and 30-33M for CF. It'll be a close race to #1 next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
