BSG: Congratulations to FILM!

[baumer]

I'm going to try and do some game maintenance today.

[baumer]

SOTM 7:  Chas percentage question:

 

On going.  There could be a lot of lost points here as HTTYD is really going to screw people up. But there is still a while before this can be scored. 

 

SOTM 5:  Biggest FUBAR questions....on going.  We should have an answer this weekend.

 

SOTM 6:  On going.  This too might be able to be answered very soon

 

SOTM 3:  What film will Neighbors finish higher than? It's really going to be a struggle to hit 150.  I guess the dollar theaters could get it there but it made 700K last weekend and its still 2.8 mill short.

 

SOTM 4:  This can be scored.  Have to double check and make sure it has not been scored yet.

[chasmmi]

SOTM4 got scored.

 

SOTM6 needs to wait for Godzilla to be released in Japan on 25th I think.

[chasmmi]

Looking at some of the preseason questions,

 

Q5- Looks like Xmen will pass 45M within a week or so with one more good hold.

 

Q7- Even if TF4 is locked for 900M, people saying yes are now hoping on Apes or Guardians to hit 900M

 

Q8- A big opening for Tammy will lock this question as Yes

 

Q9- Ok Fault broke 100M but are there any more dramas out there left?

[grim22]

DUFE opening under ETE screws everyone on the SOTM.

[chasmmi]

SOTM rests on whether the Earth to Echo 5 day can be lower than Blended's 14M 3 day and whether it's Wednesday will be less than 4.3M.

 

 

The 5 day opening could screw a lot of us.

[grim22]

SOTM rests on whether the Earth to Echo 5 day can be lower than Blended's 14M 3 day and whether it's Wednesday will be less than 4.3M.

 

 

The 5 day opening could screw a lot of us.

 

Unless night shows pick up, Deliver Us From Evil is most likely going to end up below Earth to Echo for the Opening day and the Opening weekend.

[baumer]

Well, Tammy and Blended are my two big missteps so far.  And Dragon 2 of course.  

[kitik]

Looks like Tammy might only be heading for TLAM2 numbers. (Too early to tell of course, but the opening day sure doesn't look promising.)

 

I'm pretty sure most people picked Tammy in their top 15, but probably at least a few people skipped it.

 

This ought to give a boost to Sex Tape. That comedy looks pretty straightforward, and that may appeal to some members of the GA. And HTTYD2 may open up some more space for Planes 2 too. I didn't have either Sex Tape or Planes 2 in my top 15, so I'm probably boned. Of course, the way this summer is going, maybe those 2 will flop too. Though you'd think at least one of them, if not both, will find the box office open enough for them to hit 100M.

 

 

On the plus side, Tammy not looking like a huge hit is probably good news for Edge Of Tomorrow making the top 15. EOT isn't a lock yet, but finishing above Tammy would seem to greatly increase it's odds. On the other hand, most people probably had both EOT and Tammy, so there won't be too much celebration.

[4815162342]

Tele's immortal so he doesn't care if he loses.

 

Is Telemachos immortal?

 

Are his methods supernatural?

[kitik]

Just looking at some random top 15's that people posted, there are a number of folks who still have a realistic shot at going 14/15 or even 15/15. (Though Tammy may eliminate a lot of people who were still harboring hopes of going 15/15.) Obviously the winner will be whoever does best from among that small group of players. There's no way the rest of us will be able to overcome the huge bonus points for getting that many correct.

[kitik]

here's the small list of people who did not pick Tammy in their top 15 (I may have missed 1 or 2)

 

 

MGS (name has changed, but he is still MGS to me)

 

Top 15
1. How to Train Your Dragon 2-325
2. Transformers-260
3. Days of Future Past-225
4. TASM2-220
5. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes-215
6. Godzilla-180
7. 22 Jump Street-175
8. Malficient-160
9. Neighbors-130
10. Fault of Our Stars-125
11. Guardians of the Galaxy-120
12. Think Like A Man Too-115
13. Edge of Tomorrow-110
14. TMNT-105
15. Million Ways To Die In The West-100

 

 

 

 

Mulder:

 

Top 15 of the summer-

1. How To Train Your Dragon 2-380 million

2. Transformers IV-350 Million

3. X-Men: Days of Future Past-270 Million

4. The Amazing Spider-Man 2-225 Million

6. Godzilla-220 Million

7. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes-215 Million

8. Guardians of the Galaxy-200 Million

9. 22 Jump Street-190 Million

10. The Purge: Anarchy-170 Million

11. A Million Ways To Die In The West-150 Million

12. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles-145 Million

13. Hercules-130 Million

14. Lucy-115 Million

15. Think Like a Man Too -110 Million

 

16 ((Backup number one)) Planes: Fire and Rescue 105 Milllion

17 ((Backup number two)) The Expendables 2 102 Million

 

 

 

punishment:

 

Top 15 Domestic:

 

1) How to Train Your Dragon 2 - $307m

2) Transformers: Age of Extinction - $276m

3) Godzilla - $235m

4) X-Men: Days of Future Past - $233m

5) The Amazing Spider-Man 2 - $230m

6) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - $173m

7) Guardians of the Galaxy - $155m

8) Maleficent - $150m

9) 22 Jump Street - $135m

10) Edge of Tomorrow - $112m

11) Neighbors - $107m

12) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - $92m

13) A Million Ways to Die in the West - $88m

14) Fault in Our Stars - $85m

15) Jupiter Ascending - $83m

 

 

16) Tammy - $82m

17) Think Like a Man Too - $75m

 

 

 

Gokai Red:

 

Top 15 Domestic
1. Transformers: Age of Extinction, 340m
2. How to Train Your Dragon 2, 323m
3. The Amazing Spider-Man 2, 288m
4. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, 215m
5. Godzilla, 208m
6. X-Men: Days of Future Past, 202
7. Maleficent, 188m
8. 22 Jump Street, 178m
9. Guardians of the Galaxy, 171m
10. The Fault in Our Stars, 168m
11. A Million Ways to Die in the West, 165m
12. Neighbors, 158m
13. Edge of Tomorrow, 147m
14. Think Like A Man Too, 138m
15. Jupiter Ascending, 128m
16. Planes: Fire and Rescue, 125m
17. Earth to Eacho, 123m

 

 

 

jajang:

 

Domestic Top 15

 

1. Transformers: Age of Extinction - 353.6m

2. How to train your Dragon 2 - 319.2m

3. X-Men: Days of Future Past - 276.7m

4. Godzilla - 256.6m

5. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - 218.2m

6. The Amazing Spider-man 2 - 206.5m

7. Neighbours - 186.0m

8. 22 Jump Street - 168.9m

9. Maleficent - 164.7m

10. Guardians of the Galaxy - 163.7m

11. Sex Tape - 138.8m

12. Fault in our Stars - 121.8m

13. Lucy - 103.1m

14. Edge of Tomorrow - 99.6m

15. Earth to Echo - 93.8m

 

Backup movies

16. Into the Storm - 84.8m

17. Planes: Fire and Rescue - 84.6m

 

 

 

bcf26

 

Top 15 Domestic

1. How To Train Your Dragon 2- 355M

2. X-Men: Days of Future Past- 310M

3. Transformers: Age of Extinction- 294M

4. The Amazing Spider-Man 2- 256M

5. Godzilla- 225M

6. Dawn Of The Planet Of The Apes – 217M

7. Maleficent- 148M

8. 22 Jump Street- 145M

9. The Fault In Our Stars- 137M

10. Guardians Of The Galaxy- 135M

11. Neighbors- 126M

12. Blended- 105M

13. Deliver Us From Evil- 104M

14. Planes: Fire and Rescue- 102M

15. Edge of Tomorrow- 100M

 

16. Tammy- 92M

17. Jupiter Ascending-85M

 

 

 

Moviegeek:

 

TOP 15 DOMESTIC
1) How to Train Your Dragon 2 – 346 million
2) X-Men: Days of Future Past – 281 million
3) Transformers: Age of Extinction – 268 million
4) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes – 263 million

5) Godzilla – 212 million
6) The Amazing Spider-Man 2 – 205 million
7) Guardians of the Galaxy – 176 million

8) 22 Jump Street – 166 million
9) Neighbors – 159 million
10) Maleficent – 143 million
11) The Fault in Our Stars – 140 million
12) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles – 109 million
13) The Hundred Foot Journey – 106 million
14) Planes: Fire and Rescue – 101 million
15) The Expendables 3 – 91 million

 

16) Blended – 90 million

17) Get on Up –86 million

 

 

 

 

Of course having searched through all the lists, it's still possible that Tammy will have a decent weekend and strong enough legs to get to a number like 80-90, which may get it into the top 15 for the summer anyways.

[Mulder]

I'm still fucked for many reasons.

[Michael Gary Scott]

If only I had put Tammy in a million ways place

[kitik]

If only I had put Tammy in a million ways place

 

Well, we'll see about Tammy, it's final number is still up in the air.

 

But right now I'm thinking the people that said Planes/Sex Tape or maybe even Lucy might be in the best shape.

[chasmmi]

Thank sod earth to echo opened below deliver from evil opening day

[Mattrek]

Looks like Tammy might only be heading for TLAM2 numbers. (Too early to tell of course, but the opening day sure doesn't look promising.)I'm pretty sure most people picked Tammy in their top 15, but probably at least a few people skipped it.This ought to give a boost to Sex Tape. That comedy looks pretty straightforward, and that may appeal to some members of the GA. And HTTYD2 may open up some more space for Planes 2 too. I didn't have either Sex Tape or Planes 2 in my top 15, so I'm probably boned. Of course, the way this summer is going, maybe those 2 will flop too. Though you'd think at least one of them, if not both, will find the box office open enough for them to hit 100M.On the plus side, Tammy not looking like a huge hit is probably good news for Edge Of Tomorrow making the top 15. EOT isn't a lock yet, but finishing above Tammy would seem to greatly increase it's odds. On the other hand, most people probably had both EOT and Tammy, so there won't be too much celebration.

I've been beating this drum for months now. Sex Tape is going to breakout big time. It's the perfect film and the past 2 comedies have disappointed numbers wise. 50m+ opening, 200m finish. This years Ted.

[Mattrek]

here's the small list of people who did not pick Tammy in their top 15 (I may have missed 1 or 2)Of course having searched through all the lists, it's still possible that Tammy will have a decent weekend and strong enough legs to get to a number like 80-90, which may get it into the top 15 for the summer anyways.

Punishment is already out. He had Jupiter Ascending which moved.

[grim22]

I've been beating this drum for months now. Sex Tape is going to breakout big time. It's the perfect film and the past 2 comedies have disappointed numbers wise. 50m+ opening, 200m finish. This years Ted.

 

It won't. Trust me on that. Sex Tape has an awesome awesome first hour, and the next 30 minutes are just so boring. The first hour is on par with some of the funnier comedies I have seen, especially a setpiece involving Rob Lowe. But the last 30 minutes or so bring all of the energy in the first hour to a screeching halt. Even a few surprises at the end cannot elevate it. The very end with the 

reveal of what is on the sex tape

is funny enough.

[druv10]

10) Will Transformers open to more than 12 million in UK (only Sunday estimates count)

 

Baumer, TF4 only has previews starting Saturday. It's OW isn't until next weekend. Unless it has massive previews 12M isn't happening but combining everything, next weekend should be over $12M.