Friday Estimates: Maze Runner: 11.25, Walk among Tombstones 4.7M , All numbers in first post

[kayumanggi]

It did almost 40M this weekend OS with UK and China still left. 

 

Time for Phase 2.

 

 

I think 300 M worldwide is possible.

[CJohn]

I think 300 M worldwide is possible.

It depends on the legs. I loved the movie but this has a fanbase and legs may not be very good.

[kayumanggi]

It depends on the legs. I loved the movie but this has a fanbase and legs may not be very good.

 

It still has a lot of major markets left. Let's say it ends up with 80 M domestic, I think 220 M overseas isn't too much to ask. Current markets alone will give it more than 110 M already.

[wileECoyote]

Rank* Title Friday 9/19 (Estimates) Saturday 9/20 (Estimates) Sunday 9/21 (Estimates) Monday 9/22 1 THE MAZE RUNNER Fox 3,604 $11,250,000 -- / $3,122 $11,250,000 / 1 $13,425,000 +19.3% / $3,725 $24,675,000 / 2 $7,825,000 -41.7% / $2,171 $32,500,000 / 3 N/A 2 A WALK AMONG THE TOMBSTONES Universal 2,712 $4,700,000 -- / $1,733 $4,700,000 / 1 $5,100,000 +8.5% / $1,881 $9,800,000 / 2 $3,326,000 -34.8% / $1,226 $13,126,000 / 3 N/A 3 THIS IS WHERE I LEAVE YOU Warner Bros. 2,868 $3,900,000 -- / $1,360 $3,900,000 / 1 $4,975,000 +27.6% / $1,735 $8,875,000 / 2 $2,985,000 -40% / $1,041 $11,860,000 / 3 N/A 4 NO GOOD DEED (2014) Sony / Screen Gems 2,175 $2,955,000 +182.2% / $1,359 $32,863,000 / 8 $4,650,000 +57.4% / $2,138 $37,513,000 / 9 $2,595,000 -44.2% / $1,193 $40,110,000 / 10 N/A 5 DOLPHIN TALE 2 Warner Bros. 3,656 $2,140,000 +365.6% / $585 $20,205,000 / 8 $4,230,000 +97.7% / $1,157 $24,435,000 / 9 $2,635,000 -37.7% / $721 $27,070,000 / 10 N/A 6 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY Buena Vista 2,846 $1,381,000 +147.7% / $485 $309,870,000 / 50 $2,478,000 +79.4% / $871 $312,348,000 / 51 $1,321,000 -46.7% / $464 $313,669,000 / 52 N/A 7 LET'S BE COPS Fox 2,312 $770,000 +141.4% / $333 $75,291,000 / 38 $1,255,000 +63% / $543 $76,546,000 / 39 $650,000 -48.2% / $281 $77,196,000 / 40 N/A 8 THE DROP Fox Searchlight 1,192 $645,000 +119.5% / $541 $6,285,000 / 8 $930,000 +44.2% / $780 $7,215,000 / 9 $475,000 -48.9% / $398 $7,690,000 / 10 N/A 9 TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES (2014) Paramount 2,348 $625,000 +135.1% / $266 $182,993,000 / 43 $1,270,000 +103.2% / $541 $184,263,000 / 44 $755,000 -40.6% / $322 $185,018,000 / 45 N/A 10 IF I STAY Warner Bros. 2,371 $540,000 +136.3% / $228 $46,377,000 / 29 $865,000 +60.2% / $365 $47,242,000 / 30 $430,000 -50.3% / $181 $47,672,000 / 31 N/A

 

That Tombstone Sunday drop seems a little too soft

[CJohn]

And Italy, France, Germany, Japan, Venezuela and many others.

FOX is having one fantastic year.

 

It still has a lot of major markets left. Let's say it ends up with 80 M domestic, I think 220 M overseas isn't too much to ask. Current markets alone will give it more than 110 M already.

 

It is going to destroy Divergent OS. 

Edited September 21, 2014 by CJohn

[kayumanggi]

'The Maze Runner' earned $37.6 million overseas this weekend. Early total: $49 million. http://t.co/44EuFMWEjO pic.twitter.com/GCI8E61MTg

— Box Office Mojo (@boxofficemojo)

September 21, 2014

[kayumanggi]

There. 110 M plus from the current overseas markets alone. 220 M won't be difficult imo.

[kayumanggi]

I enjoyed both THE MAZE RUNNER and DIVERGENT.

[iceroll]

I'm so happy for The Maze Runner. After so many YA flops, it's very refreshing to have a good one succeed.

[La Binoche]

Is Maze Runner any good? I watched Divergent yesterday and it's laugh-out-loud bad. 

[Cedarpoint1111]

Is Maze Runner any good? I watched Divergent yesterday and it's laugh-out-loud bad.

Well... First of all yes. Maze runner is good but that's coming from someone who enjoyed divergent. So... Don't waste your time I guess.

[CJohn]

Is Maze Runner any good? I watched Divergent yesterday and it's laugh-out-loud bad. 

I think Maze Runner is much better but I liked Divergent so forget about it.

[zackzack]

Is Maze Runner any good? I watched Divergent yesterday and it's laugh-out-loud bad. 

 

It is just meh but not really laugh-out-loud bad.

I also don't think the Hunger Games movies are 

exceptionally good anyway. Twilight? Don't even ask me.

[kayumanggi]

I think Fox could win the year. Fox has never won a year since 2000 (BOM has data since year 2000 only). The closest was in 2005 when it ranked second after WB.

[CJohn]

I think Fox could win the year. Fox has never won a year since 2000 (BOM has data since year 2000 only). The closest was in 2005 when it ranked second after WB.

Gone Girl, Penguins of Madagascar, Exodus and Night at the Museum 3 need to perform very well.

[James]

Gone Girl, Penguins of Madagascar, Exodus and Night at the Museum 3 need to perform very well.

Not really. At this point Fox is almost locked to win the year. The only studio that has even the smallest chance to beat them is WB, but for that it would need Anabelle, Horrrible Bosses 2 and The Judge all to overperform. 

[kayumanggi]

Gone Girl, Penguins of Madagascar, Exodus and Night at the Museum 3 need to perform very well.

 

Not really. WB only has THE HOBBIT III to rely on. Disney only has BIG HERO 6. Even if these Fox films don't make big numbers, I think Fox will win the year.

[DAJK]

Is Maze Runner any good? I watched Divergent yesterday and it's laugh-out-loud bad.

I thought Maze Runner was great, but Divergent wasn't very good.

[DAJK]

Even on the low end, this movie is a success. 70DOM and 170OS is the floor now, and that's still 240WW... on a 34M budget!!

[kayumanggi]

Even on the low end, this movie is a success. 70DOM and 170OS is the floor now, and that's still 240WW... on a 34M budget!!

 

170 M overseas is low. A lot of major markets are still left to open.