Eric the Clown Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 8 hours ago, Impact said: Well Avengers 3 is almost here! Since Avengers 3 opens in the Spring (well anything in May is really Spring, but not according to Hollywood), that would technically make Deadpool 2 the Summer opener. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric the Clown Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 Isn't it obvious who's really kicking off the summer this year? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 #BreakingIn 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
envyblog Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 such little ambition here. calling it. IW opens with $300 million (+/- a few mills) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted April 16, 2018 Share Posted April 16, 2018 A Quiet Place - $23.9M Rampage - $18.9M I Feel Pretty - $14.1M Super Troopers 2 - $9.4M Blumhouse's Truth or Dare - $6.91M Ready Player One - $6.45M Blockers - $5.6M Isle of Dogs - $4.16M Black Panther - $4.04M I Can Only Imagine - $2.53M Traffik - $2.5M Tyler Perry's Acrimony - $1.68M Sherlock Gnomes - $1.44M Chappaquiddick - $1.38M Beirut - $1.02M The Miracle Season - $819k A Wrinkle in Time - $759k Love, Simon - $594k Sgt. Stubby: An American Hero - $585k Pacific Rim Uprising - $523k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted April 17, 2018 Share Posted April 17, 2018 Spoiler got predicts for movies out till after Thursday. took Sat/Sat PTA %, (from this Sat and last Sat) and applied it to last Mon + Tues PTA for each film. configured Weds + Thurs to get the totals. Ramp - 11.368 - 47.121 AQP - 11.789 - 111.795 ToD - 5.204 - 23.872 RP1 - 3.192 - 118.114 Blockers - 3.428 - 40.832 BP - 1.779 - 676.012 Dogs - 1.624 - 20.550 Imagine - 1.305 - 76.598 Chappa - 1.171 - 12.212 Acrimony - 1.195 - 39.023 Sherlock - 0.461 - 37.689 Miracle - 0.504 - 7.546 Beirut - 0.640 - 2.747 Time - 0.311 - 92.787 Sergeant - 0.248 - 1.548 Uprising - 0.406 - 58.012 Love - 0.266 - 39.595 Paul - 0.253 - 16.648 Tomb - 0.165 - 56.392 GND3 - 0.043 - 5.480 Peter - 0.083 - 113.952 Game - 0.108 - 67.995 Jumanji - 0.051 - 404.002 Showman - 0.065 - 173.362 Midnight - 0.026 - 9.433 Sparrow - 0.049 - 46.564 Annihil - 0.053 - 32.738 The Ultimate Predictions -42% - Rampage - 20.63 - 67.75 -42% - A Quiet Place - 19.22 - 131.02 - new - I Feel Pretty - 19.00 - 19.00 - new - Super Troopers - 9.90 - 9.90 -33% - Ready Player One - 7.72 - 125.83 - 59% - Truth or Dare - 7.58 - 31.45 -33% - Blockers - 7.17 - 48.00 -33% - Black Panther - 3.86 - 679.87 -36% - Isle of Dogs - 3.49 - 24.04 -32% - Imagine - 2.83 - 79.43 -51% - Acrimony - 1.78 - 40.80 -45% - Chappaquidd - 1.68 - 13.89 -45% - Sherlock - 1.31 - 39.00 -54% - Miracle - 1.01 - 8.56 -44% - Beirut - 0.97 - 3.72 -46% - Wrinkle - 0.75 - 93.54 -50% - Rim - 0.73 - 58.74 -48% - Sergeant - 0.68 - 2.23 -50% - Love - 0.53 - 40.13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted April 17, 2018 Share Posted April 17, 2018 3 hours ago, Thematrixfilm said: Reveal hidden contents got predicts for movies out till after Thursday. took Sat/Sat PTA %, (from this Sat and last Sat) and applied it to last Mon + Tues PTA for each film. configured Weds + Thurs to get the totals. Ramp - 11.368 - 47.121 AQP - 11.789 - 111.795 ToD - 5.204 - 23.872 RP1 - 3.192 - 118.114 Blockers - 3.428 - 40.832 BP - 1.779 - 676.012 Dogs - 1.624 - 20.550 Imagine - 1.305 - 76.598 Chappa - 1.171 - 12.212 Acrimony - 1.195 - 39.023 Sherlock - 0.461 - 37.689 Miracle - 0.504 - 7.546 Beirut - 0.640 - 2.747 Time - 0.311 - 92.787 Sergeant - 0.248 - 1.548 Uprising - 0.406 - 58.012 Love - 0.266 - 39.595 Paul - 0.253 - 16.648 Tomb - 0.165 - 56.392 GND3 - 0.043 - 5.480 Peter - 0.083 - 113.952 Game - 0.108 - 67.995 Jumanji - 0.051 - 404.002 Showman - 0.065 - 173.362 Midnight - 0.026 - 9.433 Sparrow - 0.049 - 46.564 Annihil - 0.053 - 32.738 The Ultimate Predictions -42% - Rampage - 20.63 - 67.75 -42% - A Quiet Place - 19.22 - 131.02 - new - I Feel Pretty - 19.00 - 19.00 - new - Super Troopers - 9.90 - 9.90 -33% - Ready Player One - 7.72 - 125.83 - 59% - Truth or Dare - 7.58 - 31.45 -33% - Blockers - 7.17 - 48.00 -33% - Black Panther - 3.86 - 679.87 -36% - Isle of Dogs - 3.49 - 24.04 -32% - Imagine - 2.83 - 79.43 -51% - Acrimony - 1.78 - 40.80 -45% - Chappaquidd - 1.68 - 13.89 -45% - Sherlock - 1.31 - 39.00 -54% - Miracle - 1.01 - 8.56 -44% - Beirut - 0.97 - 3.72 -46% - Wrinkle - 0.75 - 93.54 -50% - Rim - 0.73 - 58.74 -48% - Sergeant - 0.68 - 2.23 -50% - Love - 0.53 - 40.13 RPO and Blockers are not dropping 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted April 17, 2018 Share Posted April 17, 2018 Rampage showed very good holds on Sat and Sun. Hoping for a sub-50% 2nd weekend drop. RPO dropped only 41% in the 2nd weekend but it had burnt off demand on Thu. So 45-50% drop for Rampage would be very good and gives an 18-20m weekend, not far from TR's 23.6m ow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenedictL11 Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 17 hours ago, Thematrixfilm said: Reveal hidden contents got predicts for movies out till after Thursday. took Sat/Sat PTA %, (from this Sat and last Sat) and applied it to last Mon + Tues PTA for each film. configured Weds + Thurs to get the totals. Ramp - 11.368 - 47.121 AQP - 11.789 - 111.795 ToD - 5.204 - 23.872 RP1 - 3.192 - 118.114 Blockers - 3.428 - 40.832 BP - 1.779 - 676.012 Dogs - 1.624 - 20.550 Imagine - 1.305 - 76.598 Chappa - 1.171 - 12.212 Acrimony - 1.195 - 39.023 Sherlock - 0.461 - 37.689 Miracle - 0.504 - 7.546 Beirut - 0.640 - 2.747 Time - 0.311 - 92.787 Sergeant - 0.248 - 1.548 Uprising - 0.406 - 58.012 Love - 0.266 - 39.595 Paul - 0.253 - 16.648 Tomb - 0.165 - 56.392 GND3 - 0.043 - 5.480 Peter - 0.083 - 113.952 Game - 0.108 - 67.995 Jumanji - 0.051 - 404.002 Showman - 0.065 - 173.362 Midnight - 0.026 - 9.433 Sparrow - 0.049 - 46.564 Annihil - 0.053 - 32.738 The Ultimate Predictions -42% - Rampage - 20.63 - 67.75 -42% - A Quiet Place - 19.22 - 131.02 - new - I Feel Pretty - 19.00 - 19.00 - new - Super Troopers - 9.90 - 9.90 -33% - Ready Player One - 7.72 - 125.83 - 59% - Truth or Dare - 7.58 - 31.45 -33% - Blockers - 7.17 - 48.00 -33% - Black Panther - 3.86 - 679.87 -36% - Isle of Dogs - 3.49 - 24.04 -32% - Imagine - 2.83 - 79.43 -51% - Acrimony - 1.78 - 40.80 -45% - Chappaquidd - 1.68 - 13.89 -45% - Sherlock - 1.31 - 39.00 -54% - Miracle - 1.01 - 8.56 -44% - Beirut - 0.97 - 3.72 -46% - Wrinkle - 0.75 - 93.54 -50% - Rim - 0.73 - 58.74 -48% - Sergeant - 0.68 - 2.23 -50% - Love - 0.53 - 40.13 I seriously doubt AQP will drop that high with the WOM it's been getting. It ain't dropping lower than Blockers either. What made you change your predict for AQP from $22 to $19M? Please explain. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 55 minutes ago, BenedictL11 said: I seriously doubt AQP will drop that high with the WOM it's been getting. It ain't dropping lower than Blockers either. What made you change your predict for AQP from $22 to $19M? Please explain. not sure. AQP averaged $3,760 on Saturday, and $5,441 the Saturday before. That is a .691 ratio. Applying this same ratio (.691), makes about $2,600 and assuming it retains at least 3,589 locations, would make roughly 22M weekend #3. I might have went around 10% lower so the averages would be closer to Rampage weekend #2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 6 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said: not sure. AQP averaged $3,760 on Saturday, and $5,441 the Saturday before. That is a .691 ratio. Applying this same ratio (.691), makes about $2,600 and assuming it retains at least 3,589 locations, would make roughly 22M weekend #3. I might have went around 10% lower so the averages would be closer to Rampage weekend #2 If it follows last week with a 20% lower Friday jump: 3.3M 2.3M 2.3M 6.2M 8M 5.3M 19.5M Weekend This isn't accounting for the inevitable Saturday increase in the 30s or higher. There's almost no way it's going below 20M this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: If it follows last week with a 20% lower Friday jump: 3.3M 2.3M 2.3M 6.2M 8M 5.3M 19.5M Weekend This isn't accounting for the inevitable Saturday increase in the 30s or higher. There's almost no way it's going below 20M this weekend. 2.6 - Monday 3.4 - Tuesday 2.6 - Wednesday 2.6 - Thursday 5.5 - Friday 8.25 - Saturday (-39%) 5.5 - Sunday if the second weekend was frontloaded Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenedictL11 Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 (edited) 34 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said: not sure. AQP averaged $3,760 on Saturday, and $5,441 the Saturday before. That is a .691 ratio. Applying this same ratio (.691), makes about $2,600 and assuming it retains at least 3,589 locations, would make roughly 22M weekend #3. I might have went around 10% lower so the averages would be closer to Rampage weekend #2 why would blockers drop lower than aqp when it has more comedy ocompetition with I feel pretty and it’s wom is way lower? Aqp had to face two big openers in its 2nd weekend and in it’s 3rd weekend, none of the 3 new openers will beat TOD; let alone, Rampage. Edited April 18, 2018 by BenedictL11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenedictL11 Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 13 minutes ago, Thematrixfilm said: 2.6 - Monday 3.4 - Tuesday 2.6 - Wednesday 2.6 - Thursday 5.5 - Friday 8.25 - Saturday (-39%) 5.5 - Sunday if the second weekend was frontloaded It’s not just increasing 111% this Friday when it’s Monday drop was in the 70s 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 (edited) Predictions Spoiler (-37.1%) - A Quiet Place - 20.75 - 130.95 (-47.6%) - Rampage - 18.75 - 64.35 (new) - I Feel Pretty - 18.00 - 18.00 (new) - Super Troopers 2 - 12.50 - 12.50 (-35.8%) - Ready Player One - 7.40 - 126.00 (-63.0%) - Truth or Dare - 6.90 - 29.33 (-46.6%) - Blockers - 5.75 - 46.95 (new) - Traffik - 3.75 - 3.75 (-35.1%) - Black Panther - 3.75 - 680.11 (-35.2%) - Isle of Dogs - 3.55 - 24.50 (-34.8%) - I Can Only Imagine - 2.70 - 79.65 (-42.5%) - Acrimony - 2.10 - 41.12 (-45.8%) - Sherlock Gnomes - 1.30 - 39.40 (-36.4%) - Beirut - 1.10 - 3.96 (-57.0%) - Miracle Season - 0.95 - 8.65 (-47.8%) - Wrinkle in Time - 0.72 - 93.68 (-62.1%) - Pacific Rim - 0.55 - 58.65 (-50.0%) - Love, Simon - 0.53 - 40.26 (-44.3%) - Paul, Apostle - 0.34 - 17.01 (-45.7%) - Tomb Raider - 0.25 - 56.67 (-41.9%) - Peter Rabbit - 225k - 114.211 (-49.0%) - Game Night - 175k - 68.186 (-43.1%) - God's Not Dead 3 - 70k - 5.557 (-48.1%) - Death Wish - 40k - 33.868 (-73.1%) - Midnight Sun - 25k - 9.468 *** Chappaquiddick - 1.83 - 14.29 Sgt. Stubby - 0.51 - 2.15 Avengers - Infinity War Spoiler screens lost on left (-300) - # of screens the second number '3,508' (-300) - 3,508 - A Quiet Place - 12.00 - 151.11 (-500) - 3,615 - Rampage - 10.57 - 82.91 (------) - 3,440 - I Feel Pretty - 8.64 - 30.39 (------) - 2,038 - Super Troopers - 5.04 - 23.70 (------) - 1,046 - Traffik - 1.81 - 7.14 (-600) - 2,468 - Truth or Dare - 4.22 - 36.60 (-700) - 2,508 - Ready Player - 4.06 - 132.55 (-700) - 2,434 - Blockers - 4.07 - 54.86 (-600) - 1,330 - Panther - 2.33 - 684.94 (-700) - 1,247 - Isle of Dogs - 1.66 - 27.51 (-700) - 1,294 - Imagine - 1.33 - 81.71 (-500) - 648 - Acrimony - 0.85 - 42.52 (-800) - 655 - Chappaq - 0.68 - 15.96 (-900) - 559 - Sherlock - 0.42 - 40.32 (-600) - 522 - Miracle - 0.22 - 9.41 (-400) - 265 - Time - 0.27 - 94.14 (-600) - 146 - Pacific - 0.18 - 59.02 (-300) - 191 - Love - 0.18 - 40.57 (-300) - 455 - Beirut - 0.45 - 4.80 WEEKEND - May 4-6 Spoiler INFINITY WAR Overboard - 9.50 - 9.50 Tulley - 9.50 - 9.50 AQP - 8.19 - 163.19 Rampage - 6.71 - 92.14 Bad Samaritan - 6.00 - 6.00 I Feel Pretty - 5.65 - 39.02 RP1 - 2.98 - 136.61 Blockers - 2.65 - 58.69 Truth or - 2.57 - 40.13 Panther - 1.48 - 686.99 Isle of Dogs - 0.94 - 29.01 Imagine - 0.85 - 82.97 Edited April 23, 2018 by Thematrixfilm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dandeak2000 Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 20th - 22nd April 2018 ($89) 1. A Quiet Place $21.5/$133.5 (-35%) 2. Rampage $16.1/$62 (-55%) 3. I Feel Pretty $15 4. Super Troopers 2 $7.5 5. Truth or Dare $7.1/$30 (-62%) 6. Ready Player One $6.3/$125 (-45%) 7. Blockers $5.9/$46.5 (-45%) 8. Black Panther $3.8/$680.5 (-35%) 9. Traffik $3 10. Isle of Dogs $2.8/$23.5 (-50%) 27th - 29th April 2018 ($303.6) 1. Avengers: Infinity War $262.5 2. A Quiet Place $10.8/$150.5 (-50%) 3. Rampage $7.2/$73 (-55%) 4. I Feel Pretty $6.8/$25.5 (-55%) 5. Super Troopers 2 $3.4/$13 (-55%) 6. Blockers $3/$51.5 (-50%) 7. Black Panther $2.9/$685.5 (-20%) 8. Truth or Dare $2.8/$34.5 (-60%) 9. Ready Player One $2.7/$129.5 (-55%) 10. Isle of Dogs $1.5/$26.3 (-45%) Spoiler 4th - 6th May 2018 ($148.4) 1. Avengers: Infinity War $112.9/$440 (-57%) 2. Overboard $9 3. Tully $6.5 4. A Quiet Place $5.9/$160 (-45%) 5. Rampage $4/$79.5 (-45%) 6. I Feel Pretty $3.4/$33 (50%) 7. Bad Samaritan $2.2 8. Black Panther $1.7/$688.3 (-40%) 9. Blockers $1.65/$54.3 (-45%) 10. Truth or Dare $1.1/$36.5 (-60%) 11th - 13th May 2018 ($112.9) 1. Avengers: Infinity War $64.4/$538 (-43%) 2. Life of the Party $17 3. Breaking In $13.5 4. Overboard $4.5/$16.5 (-50%) 5. A Quiet Place $3.8/$166.3 (-35%) 6. Tully $3.3/$12 (-50%) 7. Rampage $2.4/$83.5 (-40%) 8. I Feel Pretty $1.9/$36.3 (-45%) 9. Bad Samaritan $1.1/$4.2 (-50%) 10. Black Panther $1/$690 (-40%) 18th - 20th May 2018 ($225) 1. Deadpool 2 $152.5 2. Avengers: Infinity War $29/$582.5 (-55%) 3. Show Dogs $15 4. Life of the Party $7.7/$29.5 (-55%) 5. Book Club $7.3 6. Breaking In $6.1/$23.5 (-55%) 7. A Quiet Place $2.3/$170.5 (-40%) 8. Overboard $2.1/$20 (-53%) 9. Tully $1.7/$15 (-50%) 10. Rampage $1.3/$85.8 (-45%) 25th - 27th May 2018 ($264.8) 1. Solo: A Star Wars Story $165 2. Deadpool 2 $64.1/$262.5 (-53%) 3. Avengers: Infinity War $12.8/$602.5 (-56%) 4. Show Dogs $8.3/$23.3 (-45%) 5. Life of the Party $4.2/$36.3 (-45%) 6. Book Club $3.7/$13.5 (-50%) 7. Breaking In $3.1/$28.5 (-50%) 8. A Quiet Place $1.4/$172.8 (-40%) 9. Overboard $1.2/$22 (-45%) 10. Tully $1/$16.8 (-40%) 1st - 3rd June 2018 ($145.9) 1. Solo: A Star Wars Story $69.3/$270 (-58%) 2. Deadpool 2 $35.3/$315.5 (-45%) 3. Action Point $12.5 4. Adrift $8.5 5. Avengers: Infinity War $8.3/$615.5 (-35%) 6. Show Dogs $5/$31.5 (-40%) 7. Life of the Party $2.5/$41 (-40%) 8. Book Club $2/$15.5 (-45%) 9. Breaking In $1.6/$31.3 (-50%) 10. A Quiet Place $0.9/$174.5 (-35%) 8th - 10th June 2018 ($123.8) 1. Solo: A Star Wars Story $36/$327.5 (-48%) 2. Ocean's 8 $35 3. Deadpool 2 $21.2/$348 (-40%) 4. Hereditary $10.5 5. Action Point $5.6/$21.5 (-55%) 6. Avengers: Infinity War $5.4/$624.5 (-35%) 7. Adrift $4/$15.3 (-55%) 8. Show Dogs $3.3/$37 (-35%) 9. Life of the Party $1.6/$44.8 (-35%) 10. Book Club $1.2/$17.5 (40%) 15th - 17th June 2018 ($232.5) 1. The Incredibles 2 $150 2. Solo: A Star Wars Story $19.8/$358.5 (-45%) 3. Tag $18.5 4. Ocean's 8 $15.8/$60 (-55%) 5. Deadpool 2 $12.7/$368 (-40%) 6. Hereditary $5/$19 (-52%) 7. Avengers: Infinity War $3.8/$631 (-30%) 8. Action Point $2.8/$26.5 (-50%) 9. Show Dogs $2.1/$40.5 (-35%) 10. Adrift $2/$18.8 (-50%) 22nd - 24th June 2018 ($278.6) 1. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom $165 2. The Incredibles 2 $72/$265 (-52%) 3. Tag $10.2/$36 (-45%) 4. Solo: A Star Wars Story $9.9/$375 (-50%) 5. Ocean's 8 $7.1/$71.5 (-55%) 6. Deadpool 2 $6.4/$378.5 (-50%) 7. Hereditary $3/$24 (-40%) 8. Avengers: Infinity War $2.2/$635 (-42%) 9. Action Point $1.5/$30.3 (-48%) 10. Show Dogs $1.3/$42.8 (-40%) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxmoser3 Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 Infinity War: $200 million Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted April 21, 2018 Author Share Posted April 21, 2018 How high will Avengers 3 be I wonder? On another note-I just realized that this is the first year in a long time I didn't see a single March release in theaters! (I haven't seen any April releases either) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...