Weekend Prediction thread 7/4-7/7 Independence Day weekend Play the Derby

[jeremybelmondo]

1.Captain America CW: 74.5 M

2.Jungle Book: 16.5 M

3.Money Monster 12 M

4.Mother's Day 3.5 M

5.The Darkness 2.6 M

[Krissykins]

Yeh THE DARKNESS is another Blumhouse Tilt release. I don't know why they bother doing this.

 

Green Inferno had the same release strategy, it didn't work!

 

They put the films only in cinemas that horror films tend to do well in, and the focus the marketing only online toward horror fans. No TV/outdoor spend.

[mrqe93]

$75mil for CW

[johnboy3434]

CW projections based on Monday numbers...

 

Friday: $23.4M (+165%)

Saturday: $37.7M (+60.9%)

Sunday: $26M (-31%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $87.2M (-51.3%)

[Blankments]

On 5/5/2016 at 1:49 AM, Blank Panther said:

Starting next week, I will do my hometown theaters; thus, I will log this week so I can compare with ups and downs next week. The drive-in (which is included) is Captain America: Civil War and The Huntsman: Winter's War.

Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice and Criminal are gone. Drive-in is Captain America: Civil War and Star Wars: The Force Awakens.

 

Captain America: Civil War - 40/2/19/2/1/3 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX/IMAX 3D) total 67 (up 3)
Money Monster - 21 (debut)

The Jungle Book - 14/5 (2D/3D) total 19 (up 2)
The Darkness - 17 (debut)

Mother's Day - 15 (no change)

Keanu - 12 (down 3)

The Huntsman: Winter's War - 10 (down 6)

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - 9 (up 6)
The Boss - 8 (down 3)
Ratchet and Clank - 8 (down 3)

Green Room - 7 (up 1)

A Hologram for the King - 6 (debut)
Zootopia - 3 (down 10)
Barbershop: The Next Cut - 2 (down 3)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 1 (return)

[Truckasaurus]

BvS already gone after less than two months, but TFA still sticks around. Disney is a beast.

[Lordmandeep]

I think 70 million + 2nd weekend is certain for Civil War. 

[cannastop]

56 minutes ago, Truckasaurus said:

BvS already gone after less than two months, but TFA still sticks around. Disney is a beast.

Gone from what?

[Truckasaurus]

3 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Gone from what?

  

From @Blank Panther's hometown theaters. 

[Blankments]

Force Awakens is just back for the drive-in double feature with Civil War. Think it's interesting they went that over Jungle Book or Zootopia though

[johnboy3434]

CW projections based on Tuesday numbers...

 

Friday: $24.9M (+149%)

Saturday: $38.8M (+56%)

Sunday: $26.4M (-31.9%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $90.1M (-49.7%)

[eXtacy]

People are over-predicting Jungle Book as it will drop a decent amount thanks to Mothers Day
 

 

83m Civil War

14.5m Jungle Book

9.0m Money Monster

Edited May 11, 2016 by eXtacy

[johnboy3434]

Money Monster OW prediction:

 

Friday: $6.5M

Saturday: $6.42M (-1.32%)

Sunday: $4.03M (-37.1%)

OPENING WEEKEND TOTAL: $17M

 

 

And my prediction for The Darkness...

 

Friday: $2.56M

Saturday: $2.98M (+16.1%)

Sunday: $1.85M (-37.7%)

OPENING WEEKEND TOTAL: $7.39M

[SWXII]

On 5/8/2016 at 1:05 PM, SWXII said:

Captain America: Civil War - $73

The Jungle Book - $20

Money Monster - $10.9

The Darkness - $7

Zootopia - $1.5

 

Upping CW to 80M.

[johnboy3434]

CW projections based on Wednesday numbers...

 

Friday: $22.5M (+177%)

Saturday: $37M (+64.5%)

Sunday: $25.8M (-30.3%)

SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $85.3M (-52.4%)

[juggy12]

$76-80M

Around ultron's numbers

[Julianjunja]

Civil War $80-85M

[Maxmoser3]

Predictions for May 20-22. Neighbors 2: 43.2 million, Angry Birds:41.5 million, The Nice Guys:16.2 million.

[Impact]

Angry Birds: 43.3M

Neighbors 2: 37.5M

Nice Guys: 14M

[Krissykins]

Angry Birds $41,000,000

Neighbours 2 $29,000,000

The Nice Guys $16,000,000