Wknd Estimates: Nolan = 50M | BH6 = 56M+(pg 72) (who cares, our forum lives!)

[kayumanggi]

Early Weekend Projections & Analysis #Interstellar #BigHero6 http://t.co/tC3tqtP0dz

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

November 8, 2014

[Kvikk Lunsj]

 

I don't know. I may be in the minority, but for the most part I try to look at box office as a separate entity from the film itself. I'm pretty fascinated by it all. When we were back on mojo I was amazed with the posters and their predictions along with their calculations. I learned a lot. Of course there were always shenanigans like on here but there were more people more into the numbers more than the movie. I think those days have passed us by though.  Now don't get me wrong, I fall in love with movies like everyone else here and I want to see them light up the world. But if they don't then oh well, lol.

I look forward to it both it sucks when the movie want to do well doesn't. I am most disappointed with Noah since darren aronofsky will most likely never get a big budget movie again. I want Interstellar to break even so Nolan can do another ambitious blockbuster. 

[Dementeleus]

Yes, I know, but 150 mill for an original film from anyone not named Cameron should be considered a great number.  WW this still has a great chance at 600 mill.

I don't think so, at this point.

[Fullbuster]

I left that age bracket a couple weeks ago. I feel old and inadequate 

 

Youth is a state of mind

[CJohn]

The problem is IS will start losing theaters. Sure, it'll hang on to IMAX, but as we've seen, that's a limited benefit.

It will lose theaters to what? Dumb and Dumber Too?

[baumer]

I was thinking more Avatar/Inception than Gravity/Prometheus. 

 

But why?  Before Inception, what original film had Nolan done that would put him into that category.  Better yet, what film sold on a director's name, that is an original property, has made more than 150 mill?  Off the top of my head, I can think of Django, and that had arguably the biggest star in the world in it.  

[kayumanggi]

1	Big Hero 6	$57,500,000	--	3,761	--	$15,288	$57,500,000	1	Disney
2	Interstellar	$54,000,000	--	3,561	--	$15,164	$56,151,453	1	Paramount
3	Gone Girl	$6,000,000	-29%	2,224	-610	$2,698	$145,328,422	6	Fox
4	Ouija	$5,800,000	-46%	2,680	-219	$2,164	$43,255,085	3	Universal
5	St. Vincent	$5,600,000	-23%	2,455	-97	$2,281	$27,249,031	5	Weinstein Company
6	Fury (2014)	$5,500,000	-38%	2,834	-479	$1,941	$69,268,229	4	Sony / Columbia
7	Nightcrawler	$5,400,000	-48%	2,766	0	$1,952	$19,644,877	2	Open Road
8	John Wick	$4,100,000	-49%	2,152	-437	$1,905	$34,769,659	3	Lionsgate / Summit
9	Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day	$3,400,000	-48%	2,381	-515	$1,428	$59,113,370	5	Disney
10	The Book of Life (2014)	$2,800,000	-66%	2,166	-628	$1,293	$45,214,925	4	Fox
11	The Judge	$1,700,000	-49%	1,215	-727	$1,399	$42,509,245	5	Warner Bros.
12	The Maze Runner	$1,300,000	-43%	1,012	-608	$1,285	$99,009,487	8	Fox

 

Edited November 8, 2014 by kayumanggi

[Dementeleus]

It will lose theaters to what? Dumb and Dumber Too?

No, to MOCKINGJAY. It'll have the standard 2 week window, and then start to lose theaters like everyone else. The only hope is strong WOM so it doesn't drop theaters as quickly.

[ecstasy]

Yes, I know, but 150 mill for an original film from anyone not named Cameron should be considered a great number.  WW this still has a great chance at 600 mill.

 

I agree. I really didn't know what to predict for this movie. I knew it wouldn't flop for sure. I think its a good number, for a film that has no box office draws. But I'm just thinking about how many people that were in Pandas club. There were quite a few.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Yes, I know, but 150 mill for an original film from anyone not named Cameron should be considered a great number.  WW this still has a great chance at 600 mill.

Even if after Avatar if Cameron does 150m  blockbuster it would still be great along as the budget is not 300m. 

[baumer]

I don't think so, at this point.

 

But we don't really know right now what it's making.  I agree that 600 might be high, but is it unrealistic to think it could make 400 internationally?

[Dementeleus]

But why? Before Inception, what original film had Nolan done that would put him into that category. Better yet, what film sold on a director's name, that is an original property, has made more than 150 mill? Off the top of my head, I can think of Django, and that had arguably the biggest star in the world in it.

LINCOLN did 170 for Spielberg. 2012 for Emmerich. Edited November 8, 2014 by Telemachos

[WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot]

I'll repeat this one more time, even though it will get lost in the next 77 pages of how bad Interstellar opened.

 

Inception is an anomaly, not the rule for original films.

IS opened right in line with Gravity and Prometheus, two other films set in space dealing with the human condition...and here's the kicker....both of those had 3D.  So IS actually opened better.  

I'm not a revisionist, but I never expected IS to gross 75 mill OW or make 300 or make a billion.  Did I think it would open at 50?  Nope.....I honestly didn't know where it would open, but I would have guessed around 60.  

This is a good opening and with the holidays approaching, the decent WOM and IMAX until Hobbit comes out, the chances of this making 150 mill look really good.

You sound way too sensible. Box Office Loonie.

[ecstasy]

I look forward to it both it sucks when the movie want to do well doesn't. I am most disappointed with Noah since darren aronofsky will most likely never get a big budget movie again. I want Interstellar to break even so Nolan can do another ambitious blockbuster. 

 

Did you like Noah? I still haven't seen it.

[Elessar]

Yes, I know, but 150 mill for an original film from anyone not named Cameron should be considered a great number.  WW this still has a great chance at 600 mill.

 

With 150m domestic it's not going to make $450m overseas.

[Crusader]

Inception opened in the summer and lets not forget that Interstellar is also longer than it 

 

IMO it will clear 200 mil even with this kind of opening 

[forg]

St Vincent's hold is impressive

Edited November 8, 2014 by forg

[AniNate]

But why?  Before Inception, what original film had Nolan done that would put him into that category.  Better yet, what film sold on a director's name, that is an original property, has made more than 150 mill?  Off the top of my head, I can think of Django, and that had arguably the biggest star in the world in it.  

 

Avatar

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Did you like Noah? I still haven't seen it.

Yes I thought it was really good. 

[CJohn]

No, to MOCKINGJAY. It'll have the standard 2 week window, and then start to lose theaters like everyone else. The only hope is strong WOM so it doesn't drop theaters as quickly.

You make it sound like every theater only has one screen and that it has to dump Interstellar to put Mockingjay. His first big theater loss will be when Exodus opens. Until then it should hold well.