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grim22

Wknd Estimates: Nolan = 50M | BH6 = 56M+(pg 72) (who cares, our forum lives!)

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Disney showing how to estimate and calculate box office numbers.

Yeah, honestly if not conservatively, because even when they beat their own projections their stock price can take a good-sized hit like it did last week, when their quarterly projection was not exceeded by as much as usual. :blink: Disney seems to thrive these days on under-promising (as strange as this may seem given how self-promotional they've always been) and then exceeding expectations. With box office estimates it's not as extreme, so they try to be right on the mark or slightly below if anything--in the long run, that's smart, and thinking long-term is one thing that differentiates current Disney from the Disney of a decade ago.

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Big Hero 6 will easily be number 1 next weekend. Dumb and Dumber To just won't click enough with today's audiences to get much past $30m. It should beat Interstellar though. As far as I see ATM:

 

1. Big Hero 6 - $37m

2. Dumb and Dumber To - $29m

3. Interstellar - $25m

That the trailers for Dumb And Dumber To are getting a negative reaction won't help it much. BH6 WIll win again, but I see it a toss up between Dumb and Dumber To and Interstellar. The trailers for D and D To make it look very unfunny.

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I saw interstellar last night, the theater was less then a quarter full. and wtf is wrong with critics? this was one of the most subversive brilliant and incredible films I have ever seen! and I'm not even a Nolanite... I wasn't anyway.

Edited by KaloVisor
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